Down on the Farm – Jacob Melanson is speeding toward an NHL future despite the demotion

Welcome to “Down on the Farm,” your weekly Seattle Kraken prospects update. This week, we’ll dig in on Jacob Melanson’s development and NHL performance following his reassignment to the AHL on Thursday, Jan. 15. Beyond that, we have news on a couple of notable all-star elections, weekly and season-to-date data updates, all-shifts videos, the Sound Of Hockey Prospect of the Week, and a preview of the week ahead, as always.

If you have a Seattle Kraken prospect–related question you’d like to see featured in a future column, drop us a note below or on X or BlueSky at @deepseahockey or @sound_hockey.

Jacob Melanson has improved drastically in one specific way

Following a spate of injuries at the NHL level, the Seattle Kraken recalled 2021 fifth-round pick Jacob Melanson and deployed him for regular shifts on the team’s fourth line. Over a 15-game stretch from Dec. 14, 2025, through Jan. 12, 2026, with Melanson, 22, in the lineup for an average of 9:25 TOI per night, the Kraken went 9-4-2.

As Kraken GM Jason Botterill told the KHN Pregame Show on Wednesday, Nov. 14, the first word that comes to mind when you think of Jacob Melanson is “physicality.”

Among all players with at least 50 minutes of time on ice in the NHL this season, Melanson’s 28 hits per 60 minutes ranked second in the entire league—behind only Garnet Hathaway’s 30 hits per 60. This certainly brought a unique element to the Kraken lineup, which otherwise skews smaller and lighter. After Melanson, only Tye Kartye (18 hits per 60 minutes) ranked within the top 100 in this physicality rate metric.

The eye test told us that Melanson’s hard-nosed play style also seemed to inspire and catalyze the team to positive results.

That said, we should be cautious about confusing correlation and causation. Melanson was on the team during a hot streak, but he averaged fewer minutes on the ice than any of his teammates during that stretch and contributed just two points (one goal and one assist).

We also know hits alone do not necessarily correlate with team success. More hits often means you’re chasing an opponent in possession. And, to make matters worse, a player can leave his team vulnerable when he plays out of structure solely for the sake of being physical. Defense is more difficult four on four than it is five on five.

At least one scout criticized Melanson’s past play at the AHL level for precisely this reason. J.D. Burke of Elite Prospects wrote this about Melanson during the 2023-24 season: “I’m not a big fan of his game though. I suspect he’ll be so undisciplined that he’ll hurt your team more than he helps it at the NHL level. I’m not even just talking about the senseless penalties. He’s basically always out of position, and his linemates may as well be shorthanded in the offensive zone.” I admit that there were times when watching Melanson’s AHL games over the last couple of years that I had similar thoughts.

This year has been different, though. Melanson has done a much better job of controlling his aggression and deploying it within the framework of the play to win advantages rather than conceding them. This is underlined by the fact that he took zero penalties in 141 NHL minutes despite playing with emotion and “on the edge.” He also showed playable offensive instincts, often working to the front of the net after winning possession on the forecheck.

See more

MELLY CELLY! 🚨

The fourth line does it AGAIN, and this time, it's Jacob Melanson getting his FIRST NHL GOAL!

Nice play by Winterton to get his own rebound and send it across.

1-1 #SeaKraken pic.twitter.com/DJmg7QhQFs

— Sound Of Hockey (@sound_hockey) January 6, 2026

Indeed, Botterill told KHN that he thinks Melanson has “improved drastically, even [since] training camp.” Discipline in channeling his physicality has been one area of improvement.

That said, from my vantage point, Melanson’s biggest developmental strides over the last year-plus have come in his skating.

A few months after Melanson was drafted, Elite Prospects gave him a significantly below-average skating grade. Cam Robinson wrote that “this is a player who lacks the foot speed to really contend for a future offensive role in the NHL.” Melanson is “[b]lessed with good size and tenacity to use it on the forecheck,” Robinson wrote, but “[f]ifth-round picks are long shots to make the NHL, [and] ones that have challenges moving around are even less likely. Melanson falls into the latter category.”

That does not compute with the player I saw this past month, who was capable of outracing opponents to retrieve pucks for offensive-zone possession or scoring chances. So, I sought out Melanson’s player-tracking data to see if the numbers lined up with my eye test. The results were really interesting.

The NHL does not make analyzing NHL Edge data at scale very easy. It tends to present the data in counterintuitive ways. And it only provides results on an individual player basis, which makes scraping the data at scale quite difficult. That said, a couple of invaluable web resources, like Pucklytics, have done that yeoman’s work, and my insights are indebted to their efforts. (Pucklytics is missing a handful of players due to data retrieval errors here or there, but the numbers below should be in the right ballpark.)

According to NHL Edge, among all players with at least 10 games played, Jacob Melanson ranked ninth in the NHL in average skating speed at even strength. His average speed was second on the Kraken, behind only teammate Ben Meyers. This result was encouraging, but it also makes sense given that you want your fourth line to come out and play aggressively.

I also wanted to determine whether Melanson’s top-end speed was competitive. His top speed (22.19 miles per hour) ranked fourth on the Kraken, behind only Chandler Stephenson, Berkly Catton, and Ryan Winterton.

That said, what he may lack in true top-end speed, he more than made up for in his ability to hit speeds above 20 miles per hour with regularity. NHL Edge categorizes a skating speed over 20 miles per hour as a “speed burst.” Melanson has 19 speed bursts per 60 minutes on ice. This figure ranks third in the entire league, behind only Connor McDavid (23) and Vinnie Hinostroza (20).

This is an enormous developmental leap for a player who had “challenges moving around” as a junior player.

Put it all together, and Melanson is now able to deliver game-changing pace and physicality at the NHL level in 10-minute increments. In a 15-game sample, he leveraged those traits to positive relative shot-quality results despite starting more than his fair share of shifts in the defensive zone.

Everything about Melanson’s 15 games in the lineup points to a prototypical fourth-line profile moving forward. He’s not only an identity player, but also a positive play driver from the bottom of the lineup.

Notwithstanding all of this, Melanson’s run with the NHL team came to an abrupt end—for now—on Thursday, when the team reassigned him to the AHL. The move was necessary to open a roster spot for Brandon Montour in the defenseman’s return from injured reserve.

Why did this happen? As Sound Of Hockey‘s Darren Brown detailed before Montour’s activation, there was a necessary bit of “asset management” going on here. Only Melanson and Winterton could be reassigned to Coachella Valley without risking waivers. It’s understandable that the team opted to keep the longer-tenured Winterton for now.

That said, I think it’s fairly clear that Melanson has a real NHL career ahead of him as an 11th or 12th forward. I would be surprised if he was not in an NHL lineup “permanently” within the next 12 months.

As for the Kraken, they are winless in two games since removing Melanson from the lineup. After the team’s Jan. 14 game against the New Jersey Devils, coach Lane Lambert said: “I thought we played slow hockey tonight. Prior to the game, we said we were going to have to play fast and I didn’t think we were sharp. And part of being sharp is you play with some speed.” If that sharpness and speed isn’t there in the days ahead, the solution may be in Coachella Valley.

Notes on four more Kraken prospects

Nikke Kokko | G | Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL)

Top goalie prospect Nikke Kokko had to leave last Saturday’s game with an apparent (significant) lower-body injury. The team announced later in the week that Kokko is out week-to-week. While we hope for the best, this seems like an injury that could be on the longer side of the week-to-week timeline. I wonder if the Firebirds may benefit from a conditioning stint for Matt Murray to help bridge the gap until Kokko returns.

Jagger Firkus | F | Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL)

In his second professional year, Firkus has emerged as a point-per-game producer at the AHL level. He paces the Firebirds with 35 points (14 goals and 21 assists). That production has made him an AHL All-Star, as announced by the team on Jan. 15.

Tyson Jugnauth | D | Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL)

AHL rookie blueliner Tyson Jugnauth will join Firkus at the All-Star Game. This is an especially impressive feat for the rookie professional, and the achievement has its roots in hard work in Seattle this past summer. From my vantage point, Jugnauth still has a lot of work to do defensively, but this honor provides meaningful validation. The arrow is pointed in the right direction.

Jani Nyman | F | Coachella Valley Firebirds (AHL)

After a bit of a slow start back in the AHL following his reassignment, forward Jani Nyman caught fire over Coachella Valley’s last two games, compiling four goals in that stretch. Overall, he has five goals and an assist in seven AHL games this season. He seems to have gotten his legs back under him in an offensive role. The plan for the time being is likely for Nyman to keep that production rolling with the Firebirds until an injury (or other transaction) creates space for his recall in a top-nine role.

See more

🚨 nyman extends the lead to 3-1! 🚨 pic.twitter.com/w7rinlqcu3

— Coachella Valley Firebirds (@Firebirds) January 15, 2026

Kraken prospects data update

Jakub Fibigr debuted for the Windsor Spitfires this week, registering an assist in two games.

Jake O’Brien has yet to return to Brantford’s lineup due to a multi-week injury. Most recently, he missed a matchup with Fibigr and Nathan Villeneuve’s Spitfires last Sunday.

Fresh off a disappointing World Junior Championship, in which he didn’t play a single minute, Kim Saarinen started twice in Liiga this past week. He won both games, one by shutout. This effort was enough to edge fellow Finn Jani Nyman for Sound Of Hockey Prospect of the Week.

Semyon Vyazovoi continues to stack success in the KHL. His three-win week warranted Prospect of the Week consideration too.

Sound Of Hockey Prospect of the Week tracker

3: Jagger Firkus, Kim Saarinen

2: Julius Miettinen, Nathan Villeneuve

1: Barrett Hall, Ollie Josephson, Tyson Jugnauth, Nikke Kokko, Jake O’Brien, Semyon Vyazovoi, Zaccharya Wisdom

Previewing the week ahead

We have an active week ahead of us. We’ll give our Deep Sea Hockey Games of the Week to Friday and Saturday matchups between Clarke Caswell’s Univ. of Denver Pioneers against Ollie Josephson’s Univ. of North Dakota Fighting Hawks. The NCHC matchups features two top-10 teams and should be great competition.

Tracking 2026 NHL Draft prospects: Adam Valentini

After projected top-10 picks Gavin McKenna, Tynan Lawrence, and Keaton Verhoeff, Adam Valentini may be the next most notable draft-eligible college hockey player this season—him or Illia Morzov. Valentini’s 18 points trail only McKenna among all first-eligible NCAA players. Many draft prognosticators have the 5-foot-11, left-shot forward going within the top 50 picks in the draft.

Recent prospect updates

January 9, 2026: World Juniors reports, CHL trades

January 2, 2026: Mid-season Kraken prospect ranking

December 26, 2025: Watching Kraken prospects at the 2026 World Junior Championship

December 20, 2025: Resetting Seattle Kraken draft capital after the Mason Marchment trade

December 13, 2025: Ryan Jankowski talks Kraken prospects

December 5, 2025: World Juniors Announcements, Kokko saving the day for the Firebirds