Three Takeaways – Sluggish play costs Kraken in 3-2 loss to Blues

Three Takeaways – Sluggish play costs Kraken in 3-2 loss to Blues

The Kraken seem to have a way of rising to the occasion when they know they’re up against a tough opponent—and easing off when playing against squads below them in the standings. After a high-intensity, nearly perfect defensive effort to earn a 2-1 win over the high-flying Carolina Hurricanes on Monday, the Kraken let a long stretch of uninspired play sink them against the fire-selling St. Louis Blues on Wednesday.

“I don’t think it was anything they were doing,” coach Lane Lambert said when asked about his team’s struggle to hold momentum. “We just didn’t continue with our pressure. There’s no excuse for it. I don’t have an answer for you.”

After jumping out of the gates, the Kraken eased off the gas long enough to cost themselves two critical points.

Here are Three Takeaways from a killer 3-2 loss to the St. Louis Blues.

Takeaway 1: A hot start, and then a lull

For the first few minutes of the game, it looked like the Kraken might run up the score on the Blues. They immediately tilted the ice, fired five shots on Joel Hofer before St. Louis generated anything at the other end, and even scored an easy-looking goal when Jaden Schwartz cleaned up a juicy rebound off an Adam Larsson point shot just 31 seconds into the contest.

But after that, the momentum swung toward St. Louis. The Blues had the better of the play from about the five-minute mark of the first period through the midpoint of the second.

During that stretch, Logan Mailloux tied the game 1-1 at 6:50 of the first after a defensive breakdown (I couldn’t help notice Chandler Stephenson puck watching at the top of the crease) allowed him to wrap the puck around into an open net. St. Louis then took a 2-1 lead at 7:40 of the second on a well-executed rush finished by recent Kraken killer Dylan Holloway.

Schwartz downplayed the notion that Seattle went quiet for nearly half the game.

“It was a pretty back-and-forth game. It was right there. It’s a one-goal game, so a save here, a bounce there.”

He’s not wrong—the Kraken were a bounce away from tying it. But easing off the pressure for that extended stretch ultimately did them in.

Takeaway 2: A nice pushback

To their credit, the Kraken mounted a strong pushback, particularly after falling behind by two goals in the third period.

Seattle generated sustained offensive-zone time and, on many nights, would have found the equalizer—especially during a 6-on-4 advantage in the final two minutes when they created several quality chances.

“We had good O-zone time,” Schwartz said. “We obviously could be around the net a little bit more, there’s rebounds, and their goalie played well. So we could have maybe had more traffic, but we had a good push… We had chances.”

Ultimately, though, only Dunn was able to solve Hofer, who came up with a handful of large stops down the stretch.

Takeaway 3: Robert Thomas had a nice game

The Blues appear to be firmly in sell mode with Friday’s trade deadline fast approaching. One name frequently mentioned as potentially available is Robert Thomas, and I paid close attention to him in this game to see how he might look in deep sea blue.

To be clear, I have no indication that the Kraken are actively pursuing Thomas or that he’d have interest in coming to Seattle, but he’s one of the more intriguing forwards rumored to be available.

Based on Wednesday’s showing, I can confirm that I wouldn’t mind seeing him in a Kraken sweater. The 26-year-old, 6-foot, 207-pound center had a strong game, recording an assist on Mailloux’s early goal and scoring what turned out to be the game-winner. On that play, Thomas found a soft spot in the slot, took a feed from Brayden Schenn, and ripped a shot against the grain that beat Philipp Grubauer.

I’ve always assumed Seattle would be more inclined to pursue a scoring winger than another center. But if a theoretical deal for Thomas involved Shane Wright heading the other way, the roster construction could make sense: Thomas and Matty Beniers as the top two centers, Chandler Stephenson as the 3C, and some combination of Freddy Gaudreau and Ben Meyers filling the 4C role.

I’m convinced that acquiring Thomas would represent a significant upgrade to the roster. I’m just not anywhere close to convinced the Kraken will actually land him.

Darren Brown

Darren Brown is the Chief Content Officer at soundofhockey.com and the host of the Sound Of Hockey Podcast. He is a member of the PHWA and is also usually SOH’s Twitter intern (but please pretend you don’t know that). Follow him @DarrenFunBrown and @sound_hockey or email darren@soundofhockey.com.

10 for 10: 10 data points from Seattle Kraken games 51–60

10 for 10: 10 data points from Seattle Kraken games 51–60

The Seattle Kraken’s signature win on Monday against the Carolina Hurricanes marked Game 60 of the season, which means it’s time for another 10 for 10. If you’re new here, this series pulls together 10 data points from the last 10 games to help show where the Kraken are trending, what’s working, and what still needs attention as the playoff race tightens.

Let’s jump in.

Data Point 1: How they fared

The Kraken went 7-3-0 over their last 10 games, beginning on Jan. 25 against the New Jersey Devils. When you compare that stretch to the other Pacific Division contenders and the wild-card hopefuls, you can see how they’ve positioned themselves firmly in the playoff race.

Data Point 2: Change over the season in the Pacific Division

One fascinating trend this year is the shifting landscape of the Pacific Division. The top five Pacific teams from last season have all seen significant dips in points percentage, while the bottom three have taken major steps forward and are now in playoff contention. No other division has seen a swing this dramatic.

Data Point 3: Holding on to leads

This chart is a bit of an eye-sore, but I stumbled across it over the weekend and couldn’t look away. The Kraken have won 100 percent of the games in which they held a two-goal lead at any point. They’re one of just three teams with a perfect record (23-0-0) in that situation.

If you look one column to the left, their 69.0 percent win rate when holding a one-goal lead is right around league average.

Data Point 4: Goals against (minus empty-net goals)

We knew in the offseason that new head coach Lane Lambert would bring a more defensive mindset and structure to the 2025–26 Kraken. That was on full display early in the season as Seattle squeaked out low-scoring wins by minimizing goals against. Things slipped a bit in Games 21–30 and 41–50, but the last 10 games have been outstanding in terms of limiting goals allowed.

Data Point 5: Goals for (minus empty-net goals)

Goal scoring remains an area of opportunity for the Kraken. They’ve struggled for much of the season, and it’s been a recurring theme in national media skepticism about their playoff chances.

Their 2.9 goals for (minus empty-net goals) over the last 10 games is still in the bottom half of the league, but it’s encouraging to see improvement.

Data Point 6: Goals by player (excluding empty-net goals)

Digging deeper into the scoring, Shane Wright and Matty Beniers led the way over the last 10 games with four goals each, excluding empty-netters. Jordan Eberle scored five goals in that span, but two came into an empty net.

Data Point 7: Home is where the wins are

If you’ve been attending games this season, you’ve probably felt a little extra pep in your step walking out of Climate Pledge Arena.

It gets better: in calendar year 2026, the Kraken are 8-2-1 at home.

Data Point 8: Winning in the division

The Kraken are also showing up against their Pacific Division opponents, posting the best points percentage within the division.

Data Point 9: Expected to lose

It’s no secret that much of the national media is betting against the Kraken making the playoffs. With so many analysts based in the Eastern time zone, I’m guessing they’re not staying up late for Kraken games, and if they are, they might be more inclined to watch the flashier West Coast teams like the Sharks or Ducks. I’ve got no problem with that, but it does mean they lean heavily on publicly available advanced analytics.

One category they often rely on is “expected goals” models. For those unfamiliar, expected goals (xG) estimates the likelihood that a given shot becomes a goal based on factors like shot location, shot type, pre-shot movement, game state, and more. They’re useful directional indicators of how well a team played, regardless of the actual result.

In a single game, the sum of expected goals for minus expected goals against is often used to determine who “should have” won. Over the season, these accumulate into an expected goal differential.

The Kraken rank 29th in expected goal differential but 17th in actual goal differential (excluding empty-net goals). Knowing how these stats are used, it’s easier to understand the national pessimism.

Public models are great tools, I use them all the time, but they’re incomplete and can sometimes be misleading. I’m not declaring this a playoff team with certainty, but I’ve long believed the Kraken do something different that public models don’t fully capture.

Data Point 10: Signature win and shot suppression

This 10-game segment closed with a signature win in Game 60, when the Kraken beat one of the NHL’s best teams, the Carolina Hurricanes. Some fans expressed concern about the shot count, but I felt comfortable with how Seattle was playing. After the first period, I thought they had a formula to win. Sure enough, they scored twice in the second (and had a third goal negated by an offside challenge) and held on for a 2–1 victory.

The reason I believed they had a shot was the way they limited Carolina’s quality opportunities. To illustrate, look at the Hurricanes’ shot attempts over their last four games.

It’s clear Seattle did the best job of limiting high-danger attempts in front of the net. Don’t get me wrong — it wasn’t easy, and Joey Daccord still had to play a terrific game, but it was a full-team effort to suppress Carolina’s chances.

Taken together, these 10 games showed a team sharpening its defensive identity, finding just enough offense, and banking points at the right time. There’s still plenty to prove, but the Kraken continue to hang around and make things interesting.

Three Takeaways – Full-team effort leads to signature 2-1 Kraken win over Hurricanes

Three Takeaways – Full-team effort leads to signature 2-1 Kraken win over Hurricanes

That was a massive win for the Seattle Kraken, who knocked off the second-best (now third-best) team in the NHL thanks to a complete, full-team, 60-minute effort that featured opportunistic scoring, staunch defending, and outstanding goaltending.

The Carolina Hurricanes played exactly the game we expected from them, tilting the ice for long stretches and throwing the kitchen sink at Joey Daccord. But the Kraken’s structured defense was nearly perfect on the night, and when it wasn’t, their goaltender bailed them out almost every time.

Considering Carolina had won five straight and was 10-0-2 in its previous 12, this was something of an unexpected victory for Seattle. Not only was it a big win because of the opponent, it also vaulted the Kraken past Edmonton for third place in the Pacific Division and gave them a five-point cushion over San Jose, Nashville, and Los Angeles for the final wild-card spot.

Here are Three Takeaways from a memorable 2-1 Kraken win over the Hurricanes.

Takeaway 1: The Big Rig game

Was that the best game Jamie Oleksiak has ever played as a Kraken?

Despite his massive frame, I don’t recall him ever looking downright scary to opposing players trying to enter the Seattle zone—but he did in this one against Carolina. The Big Rig finished with 11 hits, a new career high.

“He was outstanding,” Daccord said of Oleksiak. “He’s just such a beast. He’s an absolute beast, he’s a warrior, blocking shots, I thought he had a great stick tonight. He made so many good plays tonight, and then obviously just burying guys too.”

Plus, when the Kraken were forced to kill a 6-on-4 situation over the final 1:29 of the game, he came up with a critical shot block, then won a puck battle to get it out of danger and briefly relieve pressure.

Two of his biggest hits—one on Taylor Hall with 22 seconds left in the first period and another on Seth Jarvis with 14 minutes remaining in the third—indirectly led to scoring chances going the other way.

If Oleksiak played like that every night, he’d be one of the most feared and dominant shutdown defensemen in the sport.

“I just thought he was hard,” Lambert said. “I think there’s games where he’s equally as hard. Maybe the hits don’t show up, necessarily, on the score sheet so much. But his presence, and certainly his presence around the net in the defensive zone for us tonight was huge.”

Takeaway 2: Joey was excellent, too

It’s true Seattle’s defensive structure was mostly airtight in this game, with many of Carolina’s attempts coming from the outside. But you don’t win a game in which you’re outshot 36-15 without a special night from your goalie.

Daccord was visibly dialed in from the opening face-off. There weren’t many acrobatic saves—largely because he was square to shooters and the Kraken kept chances to the perimeter—but his play reading, puck tracking, and rebound control were excellent.

The home crowd chanted Joey’s name multiple times throughout the night—rightfully so—and he earned first-star honors.

“A big thing with playing a shot volume team [like Carolina] is just controlling your rebounds,” Daccord said. “Because they’re going to try to just get pucks in that create chaos, so if I can suck up pucks, get a lot of whistles, put pucks in the corner, that helps our D a lot in terms of just killing their motion in the offensive zone and resetting the play with a D-zone drop.”

There were brief stretches this season when it felt fair to wonder whether Daccord would rediscover the elite form that endeared him to fans last year. He appears to have found it. He’s now won six of his last seven starts, dating back to Jan. 25.

This is a very good time for Daccord to be playing his best hockey.

Takeaway 3: Critical goals at critical times

Seattle did an excellent job keeping the game low-scoring, but you still have to capitalize when opportunities arise.

The Kraken appeared to score three goals but were only credited with two after a beautiful give-and-go between Jaden Schwartz and Kaapo Kakko was overturned on an offside challenge.

That play came at 7:57 of the second period, with Seattle already holding a 1-0 lead thanks to Kakko’s icebreaker on a 2-on-1 with Berkly Catton. The overturned goal could have deflated the group—but instead, the Kraken responded with a crucial tally from their fourth line.

The sequence started with Jacob Melanson doing Jacob Melanson things in the defensive zone. After Daccord rimmed the puck around the boards, Melanson beat Sebastian Aho to it, absorbed contact against the wall, and protected the puck long enough to slide it to Adam Larsson, who quickly transitioned play up ice.

“‘Mel’ made a great play on the wall, got it to ‘Lars’ in the middle,” Meyers said. “He just moved it quick to me, I got it to Freddy, and then just drove the net. I was able to put her home after a great pass from Freddy too.”

Meyers’ finish wasn’t pretty, but it counted—and it ended up being the game-winner after Nikolaj Ehlers cut the lead to 2-1 late in the second.

From there, it was defend, defend, defend until the fans counted the Kraken down to the final horn, after which Daccord was mobbed by his teammates.

Darren Brown

Darren Brown is the Chief Content Officer at soundofhockey.com and the host of the Sound Of Hockey Podcast. He is a member of the PHWA and is also usually SOH’s Twitter intern (but please pretend you don’t know that). Follow him @DarrenFunBrown and @sound_hockey or email darren@soundofhockey.com.

Monday Musings: Shaking off the Olympic rust

Monday Musings: Shaking off the Olympic rust

The Kraken returned to action last week, and that means Monday Musings returns as well. It was a bit of a slow start from the out of the blocks, but the boys are officially back.

A slow start and a needed bounce-back

The Kraken returned to action with two road games: one against the Dallas Stars and the other against the St. Louis Blues. I can understand the stinker of a game against the Stars where they lost 4-1, but the 5-1 loss to the Blues had me panicking a bit.

The Blues are currently 31st in the league, and the night they played the Kraken, they were without one of their best players, Robert Thomas. This is the NHL, where anyone can beat anyone, but with the standings so tight right now, you would have expected a better overall effort from a team fighting for a playoff spot.

Fortunately, they finished the week with a decisive 5-1 win against a quite frankly bad Vancouver Canucks team. The Kraken jumped out to a 2-0 lead about halfway through the first period. Other than a five-minute stretch in the second when the Canucks pulled within one, this game felt very one-sided.

The Canucks are bad, but the Kraken still really needed to take care of business there and not let this post-break skid fester.

Firing up the line blender

It has been interesting to watch the forward lines get jumbled up over the last three games as the team tries to figure out some post-Olympic break chemistry.

In the three games last week, only the Matty Beniers, Jordan Eberle, and Jared McCann line stayed together. Meanwhile, a new combination of Shane Wright, Berkly Catton, and Kaapo Kakko looked very good against the Canucks despite not scoring. They collectively had nine shot attempts, and a few times, Wright and Catton found themselves in 2-on-1 opportunities but just couldn’t finish the play. I would really like to see that line stick together a bit longer to see if they can start generating some goals.

Power play finally breaks through

For the first time since coming back from the Olympic break, the Kraken finally broke through for a power-play goal on Saturday against the Canucks.

Up until that goal, they were 0-for-8 on the power play since the break. That isn’t great, but it seemed like they were still generating quality chances on the man advantage in those two road games. Here is a look at the power-play shots by game:

Note that blocked shots are captured at the location of the block and not the origin location of the shot. This might make the blocked shots appear closer to the net and therefore more dangerous than they initially were.

Trade deadline approaches

The NHL Trade Deadline is coming up on Friday. I provided an overview of possible trade deadline strategies and how the Kraken might fit with them earlier last week. We then posted a Kraken Roundtable that touched on some trade deadline specifics.

Nothing has materially changed since then. In short, I could see the Kraken moving a player or two from the pending free agent group of Jamie Oleksiak, Jaden Schwartz, or Eeli Tolvanen. Jordan Eberle is also on an expiring deal, but I would be surprised to see him get moved unless he has made it clear to management that he wants a realistic shot at the Stanley Cup this year.

Other musings

  • The Kraken scored one goal in each of their games Wednesday and Thursday. It was their first time scoring one goal or fewer in two consecutive games since Nov. 9 and 11.
  • Saturday night was the 22nd game the Seattle Kraken held a two-goal lead at any point. Would you believe me if I told you that they are one of three teams not to lose a game when they had a two-goal lead at any time? The other teams are Minnesota and Colorado.
  • In case you missed it, Darren posted the (somewhat) funny “hat trick that wasn’t” on Saturday. I wonder when the actual scoring change happened, because it wasn’t announced in the arena until Eberle scored his apparent third goal. The goal that got changed occurred five minutes earlier. There were four stoppages between the changed goal and Eberle’s faux-goal.
  • Jordan Eberle’s 22 goals this season is the most he’s had through 57 games since 2011-12.
  • I’m interested to see which AHL players might get the call-up after the trade deadline. There is no roster limit, but the team is limited to only three four call-ups after the trade deadline. There’s a decent chance we see Jagger Firkus get the opportunity, but beyond that, it might be more of a situational need.
  • It would not surprise me to see one or two Kraken pending free agents signed to an extension before the trade deadline on Friday.
  • Finally, the organization lost Tye Kartye on waivers this week. Kartye was a hard working player that made it to the NHL the hard way. I don’t think there will be a Kraken fan from Season 2 that will ever forget his debut.

Visual of the week

The Kraken do have one of the more challenging schedules remaining among the teams fighting for a playoff position.

Players of the week

Julius Miettinen (EVT/SEA): The 2024 second-round selection of the Seattle Kraken had a monster week with seven goals and four assists over three games. Miettinen is second in the WHL in points per game.

Jordan Eberle (SEA): The Kraken captain had two goals and one assist in their game against Vancouver. He currently leads the team in goals and continues to defy his age.

Alexis Bernier (CHQ/SEA): The Kraken’s third-round selection of the 2024 draft had been injured most of the season and finally got back into a game on Jan. 23. The Chicoutimi Saguenéens defenseman has 10 points in 13 games since then, including three assists in two games over the weekend.

Goal of the week

Nothing super special about this one, but you’ve got to love seeing a 35-year-old vet beating a 22-year-old rookie down the ice to reestablish a two-goal lead.

The week ahead

The week kicks off with a tough matchup against the Carolina Hurricanes on Monday night. The Canes are second in the league with a .695 points percentage and are 8-0-2 over their last 10 games. The Kraken are a surprising 2-2-0 against the Hurricanes at Climate Pledge Arena. When they played them in Raleigh back in January, the Kraken had just 12 shots in their 3-2 loss, but somehow managed to hold a 2-1 lead in the third period. I am not expecting much from this game but will still want to see a lot of “compete” from the Kraken.

The schedule gets easier on Wednesday when the Kraken host the Blues. Yes, those are the same Blues that beat the Kraken 5-1 last Wednesday. The Blues won their first road game since Dec. 20 when they beat the Wild on Sunday. Regardless, I expect the Kraken to come out pissed and hopefully demonstrate that last Wednesday’s loss was a bit of a fluke.

Finally, the Ottawa Senators come to town on Saturday. The Senators are fighting for their playoff lives, as they currently sit five points out of the last wild-card spot with two teams between them and that spot. Regardless of what happens in the Senators’ two games between now and Saturday, I expect a lot of desperation from them, which should make for an entertaining game.

These games are critical, but I am not going to be overdramatic and call them “must-win” games. Obviously, wins are important, but if they can capture three of six points, they will be fine to stay in the playoff hunt. Four would be good, and five would be fantastic.

It has been a while, how are we all feeling out there?

Three Takeaways – Eberle scores two (not three) goals, Kraken roll Canucks 5-1

Three Takeaways – Eberle scores two (not three) goals, Kraken roll Canucks 5-1

Oh, there you are, Kraken!

After looking rather poor in their first two games out of the break, the Seattle Kraken were more like themselves against a weaker opponent Saturday and rolled to a comfortable 5-1 victory over the Vancouver Canucks.

Jordan Eberle scored twice and even tricked the home faithful into throwing their hats on the ice—the second time that’s happened to Seattle fans this season. Chandler Stephenson had a goal and two assists, Matty Beniers stole Eberle’s second goal, and Vince Dunn scored in his 600th career game.

“I thought we were consistent, really from the drop of the puck,” coach Lane Lambert said. “In my mind, we were all business, and I say that—I don’t think we’re not all business other nights, but I think from a leadership standpoint, our leadership group, I thought we were all business this morning in morning skate, and I think it carried over. So I liked our consistency from start to finish.”

Here are Three Takeaways from a 5-1 Kraken win over the Canucks.

Takeaway 1: Beniers steals a hat trick from Eberle

The game came almost a month to the day after Jared McCann appeared to score a hat trick in a 5-1 win over the Washington Capitals. In that Jan. 27 game, McCann’s third goal was wiped out after a linesman spotted a high-sticking penalty by Matty Beniers prior to the score. That left a lot of fans at Climate Pledge Arena newly hatless for no reason.

Saturday featured a similar twist.

With Seattle holding a 2-1 lead late in the second period, Eberle stepped up and blocked a shot by defenseman Elias Pettersson at the point, springing himself on a breakaway. He showed good speed for a 35-year-old winger and even better hands, bobbling the puck before regaining control and chipping a backhander off Kevin Lankinen and in to make it 3-1.

Eberle appeared to follow that up with a power-play goal at 11:56 of the third. Taking Stephenson’s high-to-low feed near the bottom of the left circle, he drove into the crease and jammed the puck around Lankinen with Beniers crashing the far post.

Then, when Eberle scored into an empty net at 17:00 of the third to seal the 5-1 win, hats rained down on CPA ice.

BUT WAIT.

Much like the Jan. 27 game, there was a late change that erased the hat trick. This time, it was a scoring change on Eberle’s second goal—the power-play “jam job.” The official scorer ruled well after the fact that the puck hit off Beniers and went in, crediting Beniers with his 15th goal of the season and dropping Eberle back to 22 on the year.

“I felt bad for the fans,” Eberle said with a laugh. “I think that’s the second time that’s happened this season, too, with Jared McCann when they disallowed it and gave us a penalty. So I think we owe the fans some hats.”

Takeaway 2: Solid team effort

After lacking their pre-Olympic mojo in the first two games out of the break, the Kraken looked far more dynamic against Vancouver. Yes, part of that is because the Canucks are bad. But in the NHL, you still have to execute to win, regardless of opponent—and Seattle executed.

The defensive structure was there. The offensive opportunities were there. And Joey Daccord was sharp in net, stopping 27 of 28 shots. He also narrowly missed the elusive goalie goal, firing just wide of the empty net late.

Everyone did their part to create offensive opportunities in this one.

Seattle had more jump early and a much clearer scoring mentality throughout the game. After jumping out to a 2-0 lead but seeing it cut to 2-1 at 8:28 of the second, there was no panic. They simply kept playing, and once Eberle made it 3-1, it felt like Vancouver wasn’t getting back in.

Just a steady, professional effort from the goalie out.

Takeaway 3: Important win

Getting back into rhythm after a long break is difficult, especially for teams that don’t rely on high-end superstars to bail them out. The Kraken had built momentum before the hiatus, but they needed to rebuild it.

Against Dallas and St. Louis, they didn’t look close to playing their game. Against Vancouver, they looked much closer.

“Every game’s huge, but… you can’t let two [losses] become three,” Lambert said. “You have to stop the bad before it gets really bad, and we knew that we didn’t play as good as we can in the first two games back from the break. So we got that one, and now we’ve got to move on. We’ve got Carolina on Monday, and they’re a very, very good hockey team.”

It’s worth remembering that in the 2022-23 playoff season, Seattle came out of the break and immediately lost three straight to the Islanders, Devils, and Rangers, ultimately dropping four of five on that road trip before eventually righting the ship.

Still, with the standings as tight as they are, this version of the Kraken can’t afford many prolonged slides. Getting the two points Saturday was massive.

Still clinging to the final wild-card spot, the win gave Seattle a three-point cushion over Nashville and Los Angeles and moved them back within one point of the all-important third spot in the Pacific Division.

Believe it or not, Seattle now has a better points percentage than the third-place Edmonton Oilers.

Darren Brown

Darren Brown is the Chief Content Officer at soundofhockey.com and the host of the Sound Of Hockey Podcast. He is a member of the PHWA and is also usually SOH’s Twitter intern (but please pretend you don’t know that). Follow him @DarrenFunBrown and @sound_hockey or email darren@soundofhockey.com.