The Seattle Kraken wrapped up their preseason schedule with a 4-2 victory over the Edmonton Oilers on Wednesday. Winning and losing doesn’t matter much in preseason, but it’s still nice to finish with a winning record at 3-2-1. This game also marked the end of training camp. The team will have the next two days off for team-building activities before returning to practice Saturday in preparation for the regular-season opener at home against the Anaheim Ducks on Oct. 9.
Here are Three Takeaways from a 4-2 Kraken win over the Oilers.
Takeaway #1: Special teams
The Kraken special teams got plenty of work in this one. In the first period alone, there were eight penalties, four for each team. The period ended 3-1 in Seattle’s favor, and all three Kraken goals came on special teams. Josh Mahura and Eeli Tolvanen scored power-play goals with blasts from the point, while Ryan Winterton added a shorthanded tally after intercepting a poor pass by Edmonton goalie Calvin Pickard below the goal line and wrapping it into an open net. Tolvanen’s goal came during a 5-on-3. Jaden Schwartz provided the screen on both of the power-play goals by Mahura and Tolvanen.
Seattle’s penalty kill technically gave up just one power-play goal on five Edmonton attempts, including some 5-on-3 time. However, the Oilers’ second goal came seven seconds after a penalty expired, showing there’s still work to do in cleaning up those situations. Last season, Seattle occasionally allowed goals just after a kill or power play, an area that could still use improvement.
Berkly Catton had a rough night, spending time in the box for three stick penalties. Coach Lane Lambert said, “He’s not the only one who took stick penalties and hooking and this and that. We just have to clean that up overall, as a group.”
Takeaway #2: Slow start in the second
Seattle jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first period and almost looked like they expected Edmonton to fold. After the Oilers scored late in the first and started the second on the power play, momentum shifted. The Kraken struggled to clear the zone, and Edmonton cut the deficit to one. Joey Daccord held strong as Seattle adopted a bend-don’t-break approach for about 10 minutes before regaining some offensive push.
On one hand, it was good to see Seattle weather the storm, but this is not a formula for consistent success. Coach Lambert noticed the lack of spark and shuffled the right wingers, moving Tolvanen, Winterton, and Jani Nyman around. The change worked, and Seattle began generating chances again, finishing the period ahead 3-2.
Nyman hops up with Schwartz and Wright and nearly cashes in, but Pickard outwaits him. #SeaKraken still holding a 3-2 lead. pic.twitter.com/hqiJsFbhvt
For a guy battling for one of the final roster spots, Winterton definitely left a solid final impression in the minds of the front office and coaches on Wednesday. The 22-year-old winger had two goals, including a shorthanded tally, despite getting just 10:07 of ice time. His second came early in the third to restore a two-goal cushion. Off a slick feed from Freddy Gaudreau, Winterton corralled the pass on his backhand, shifted to his forehand, and lifted it over Pickard’s glove. These were the first goals of the preseason for the 22-year-old forward.
Winterton started the night with Schwartz and Shane Wright, but with so many early penalties, he rarely played with them. He later settled in alongside Tye Kartye and Gaudreau, and the trio clicked well. Asked if he got what he wanted from shuffling the right wings, Lambert replied, “I did out of Winterton.”
Winterton earned first-star honors and yeeted the fish after the game.
Looking ahead to the regular season
There are still roster decisions to come, but preseason is in the books. Now, the focus shifts to the regular season and hopefully getting a couple key players back from injury in time for the meaningful games. Despite dealing with injuries, Seattle finished with a winning record (3-2-1), and all three goaltenders turned in solid performances. Adding Matt Murray provides extra competition in the crease, which should help push everyone.
Nyman didn’t score Thursday but saw time with Wright and Schwartz, where he looked comfortable and got some scoring chances. He consistently gets into scoring positions, but he seems to need a playmaker to set him up.
How do you think this preseason went for the Kraken? Are you more or less optimistic about the upcoming season? Comment below.
Blaiz Grubic
Blaiz Grubic is a contributor at Sound Of Hockey. A passionate hockey fan and player for over 30 years, Blaiz grew up in the Pacific Northwest and is an alumni of Washington State University (Go Cougs!). When he’s not playing, watching, or writing about hockey, he enjoys quality time with his wife and daughter or getting out on a golf course for a quick round. Follow @blaizg on BlueSky or X.
With CHL seasons now underway, junior hockey leagues across the world are back on the ice for games. That means it’s time to publish our annual “preseason” NHL Draft watchlist. Several public scouting and analysis resources have published lists with a handful high-end players to watch. We’re digging deeper, giving you a list of 200 first-time eligible and 100 re-entry candidates for you to follow as the season progresses.
The “Data Score” approach
This is not a traditional scouting assessment of prospects. Instead, as in years past, we built our watchlist using quantifiable data only. Think of it as a supplement to the scouting and analytical work on prospects being published by other sources like Elite Prospects. It can be revealing in its areas of agreement or disagreement with the work of traditional scouting services.
What does our data-only analysis involve? As I have done in years past when looking at NHL Draft prospects (or NHL-affiliated prospects), I have organized this player list by “Data Score”—a rough metric we came up with here at Sound Of Hockey. Data Score begins with the bedrock of an NHL equivalency (“NHLe”). NHLe is a method to compare the scoring proficiency of players in the various professional and junior leagues across the globe. I used Thibaud Chatel’s model, which is the most up-to-date public research in the area. Check out Chatel’s Substack for an in-depth discussion of NHLe. For this project, I used Chatel’s newest model, which has been updated to account for 2024-25 season data.
What’s new this year? In contrast with years past when I looked at only a one-year sample to create this list, this time I applied this NHLe to multiple years of scoring data for these prospects—specifically the 2023-24 and 2024-25 seasons. More recent play is given more weight. I think this is an important upgrade to the approach and one I will be continuing to iterate on moving forward.
After deriving an NHLe from the scoring data, I then make adjustments for age, height, and position, as well as a modest upward adjustment to the NHLe for low-scoring players playing in high-level professional leagues. I then normalize the resulting output and call it the prospect’s “Data Score.” This number no longer projects NHL scoring but is (hopefully) useful in describing the relative strength of prospects. I’ve gone through the methodology in more detail previously here and here.
After refining my data-gathering methods, the full watchlist, which will be made available to Sound Of Hockey Patreon members shortly, covers approximately 25,000 draft eligible skaters. This is up dramatically from the lists of approximately 10,000 skaters I have made in previous years.
The 2026 NHL Draft watchlist
The draft has at least one elite player at the top in Gavin McKenna. I compiled all potentially draft-eligible prospects for the 2026 NHL Draft before filtering out those who had already been selected in previous drafts. Even if those drafted players were left in consideration, Gavin McKenna would be the second overall prospect on the list, behind only Macklin Celebrini, who played last year in the NHL. McKenna’s scoring profile, at his age, is rare.
Beyond McKenna, the top 10 to 15 of this draft looks quite strong. Forward Ryan Roobroeck’s name seems to get lost in the shuffle when discussing the high-end players in this class, but he has piled up 139 points in 127 OHL games over the last two seasons for the Niagara IceDogs. He has the chance to be a star. Beyond him, there are a number of interesting defense prospects, including two-way force Keaton Verhoeff and the QMJHL’s undersized point-producing dynamo Xavier Villeneuve.
Revisiting the 2025 NHL Draft preseason list
How much can you learn about a player’s draft projection from looking at biometric data and scoring data from seasons before the draft year in question? As you might expect, it’s not perfect. Players—particularly first-time draft-eligible players—often take a very large statistical leap in their draft seasons as they continue to mature.
For example, Matthew Schaefer averaged only .30 points per game in his draft-minus-one year, which contributed to his placement at No. 57 overall on the 2025 NHL Draft preseason watchlist. He then proceeded to electrify scouts with his international play and piled up 1.29 points per game in the OHL in an injury-shortened draft season en route to becoming the No. 1 overall pick in the 2025 NHL Draft.
Could another elite player emerge from lower in the top 100 this year? It’s certainly possible. And there are always going to be players that teams and scouts “like” (or “dislike”) more than their scoring data would suggest.
That said, it is remarkable how much you can learn even from scoring data predating the draft year. Looking back at the top-32 first-time eligible prospects on our 2025 NHL Draft preseason watchlist, draftniks will see a lot of familiar names. Nine of the top-11 picks are there, as are 15 first-round picks overall. If you extend to look at the first-time eligible skaters ranked from 33 to 64 on our preseason list, you’ll find seven more first-round ricks, including Schaefer.
Similarly, if you rewind to our 2024 NHL Draft preseason watchlist, you’ll find that four-of-the-top five picks in the 2024 Draft were in our preseason top 32, as well as 15 first-round picks overall.
These results almost replicate the success rate of source-consulting prospect analysts evaluating the prospect landscape at this time of year. For example, last year at this time, Corey Pronman—who is as well-sourced as any prospect analyst currently working—correctly predicted 19 first-round skaters on his initial 2025 draft first-round board.
The accuracy of the watchlist as a predictive tool declines the deeper you go into it, but the success rate at the top of the list gives me confidence that the Data Score approach can serve its purpose as a guide to tracking players who could end being high draft picks.
Other watchlist takeaways and local connections
The run of top prospects playing junior hockey in the Pacific Northwest has not broken yet. No. 11 ranked Mathis Preston and No. 18 ranked Chase Harrington will play for the Spokane Chiefs of the WHL this season. And even though the Victoria Royals lost Verhoeff to the University of North Dakota there are other intriguing prospects playing throughout the WHL’s Western Conference. No. 6 ranked defenseman Ryan Lin will play for the Vancouver Giants and No. 13 ranked defenseman Carson Carels will play for the Prince George Cougars.
Looking at the league landscape, eight players on our preseason top-32 first-time eligible prospects watchlist played their draft minus-one seasons in the WHL, which tied with the OHL for most overall. Add in 3 from the QMJHL and 19 of the top 32 played in the CHL. This underscores the strength of that league—at least before the NCAA rule changes that resulted in several prominent players opting to play college hockey in their draft years, including Verhoeff and McKenna.
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Do you have any questions? Reach out to us in the comments below or on Twitter/X @deepseahockey or @sound_hockey or on BlueSky at @deepseahockey or @soundofhockey.com.
Header photo of Mathis Preston taken by Brian Liesse, courtesy Seattle Thunderbirds.
Curtis Isacke
Curtis is a Sound Of Hockey contributor and member of the Kraken press corps. Curtis is an attorney by day, and he has read the NHL collective bargaining agreement and bylaws so you don’t have to. He can be found analyzing the Kraken, NHL Draft, and other hockey topics on Twitter and Bluesky @deepseahockey.
The Seattle Kraken fell 2-1 in a shootout loss to the Calgary Flames on Monday night. Seattle carried the play most of the game, outshooting Calgary 36-21. The Kraken outshot the Flames in every period, including overtime, but eventually lost in the fourth round of the shootout, when Matvei Gridin scored the winner.
Flames goaltender and Calder Trophy finalist Dustin Wolf stole the show with a .972 save percentage. Seattle generated 3.8 expected goals for, which usually leads to a win. If this had been the regular season, the Kraken at least would have earned a point. It’s not the result they wanted, but the important thing is it’s still preseason, and none of it matters.
Takeaway #1: Berkly Catton scores his first Kraken goal
The 2024 No. 8 pick flashed his offensive skill and led all Kraken skaters with five shots on goal. He buried a rebound in the second period for his first NHL preseason goal and Seattle’s lone tally.
Catton looked more confident with the puck and worked well cycling with linemates. He also led Kraken forwards with three blocked shots. His night wasn’t flawless, but it stood out as his best preseason performance yet.
Takeaway #2: Hopefully Dunn is not done
Vince Dunn has a history with Calgary’s Martin Pospisil, who was suspended in 2023-24 for a dangerous hit on Dunn. For a preseason contest, this game turned physical, with scrums closing both the first and second periods.
In the second, Pospisil caught Dunn with a high stick. Dunn exchanged words while heading to the box and was assessed a minor for roughing. Pospisil received two minors for high-sticking and roughing. Tempers were rising, and it looked like more was coming, but before his penalty expired, Dunn headed to the dressing room and did not return to the game.
#SeaKraken Dunn has words for #Flames Popisill who get 2 minutes for high sticking and 2 minutes for cross-checking. Dunn gets 2 for roughing.
It’s unclear what Dunn’s injury might be. He took the high stick and, just seconds earlier, had blocked a shot that caused him to grimace. After the game, coach Lane Lambert said Dunn was being evaluated.
Seattle already has a growing injury list, and Dunn’s absence would be another significant setback. The Kraken cannot afford to lose him for any significant period.
Takeaway #3: Gruuuuu looked sharp
Philipp Grubauer was tested early when Calgary forward Matt Coronato broke free for a wrist shot on the game’s first chance. The German Gentleman turned it aside and cleared the rebound, preventing Seattle from falling behind early. The Kraken responded with 17 first-period shots.
Goaltenders often say seeing pucks early helps them settle in. Grubauer was sharp from the start and finished with a .952 save percentage. This loss wasn’t on him, and Seattle will hope his strong play carries into the regular season.
Strong performance, but no result
The Kraken played a physical, structured game, and on most nights would have come away with the win. In the NHL, though, all teams can win on any given night.
The forward lines looked steady, with Mason Marchment, Shane Wright, and Eeli Tolvanen standing out as a potential regular-season trio.
Seattle closes the preseason Wednesday against the Edmonton Oilers in a matchup expected to feature a roster closer to resembling the Opening Night lineup.
Blaiz Grubic
Blaiz Grubic is a contributor at Sound Of Hockey. A passionate hockey fan and player for over 30 years, Blaiz grew up in the Pacific Northwest and is an alumni of Washington State University (Go Cougs!). When he’s not playing, watching, or writing about hockey, he enjoys quality time with his wife and daughter or getting out on a golf course for a quick round. Follow @blaizg on BlueSky or X.
Welcome to “Down on the Farm,” your weekly Seattle Kraken prospects update. This week we’ll go over the latest prospect news from Kraken training camp, including a number of junior reassignments. We’ll also get into a few exciting professional debuts for Kraken prospects playing overseas.
For our feature this week, we caught up with Jon-Randall Avon (who prefers “J.R.”) the day after he made his Kraken preseason debut in Calgary. We touched on a variety of topics including the trade that brought him to Seattle, his friendship with Tucker Robertson (his counterpart in the trade), and his off-ice interests. Let’s dive in.
J.R. Avon is feeling like himself in fresh start with Kraken
The Philadelphia Flyers traded the 22-year-old Avon to Seattle just a couple weeks before camp began. Avon told us he had “a little bit of a sense” that he could be on the move from Philadelphia after he sat during Lehigh Valley’s playoff run last season, but it was “still a shock.”
Flyers general manager Daniel Briere told him that “[Avon] and the guy that got traded [back to Philadelphia] were kind of in similar spots of, not necessarily getting pushed aside, but not looked at the same.” So it was an opportunity for a “fresh start” for both with a new organization.
After talking with his parents and agent after the trade, one of the first text messages Avon sent was to his former Peterborough Petes teammate Tucker Robertson, because he thought he was getting the chance to reunite with Robertson again after the two played together for four years in the OHL. Avon recounted, “I texted him saying, ‘Hey, I’m coming to Seattle,’ and then he texted me back saying ‘Hey, I’m going to Philly.'” Avon previously had no idea that Robertson was the return going back to Philadelphia in the deal.
Avon laughed and called the situation “honestly a bit weird” because the two are “good buddies” and “pretty close” after playing together for so long. They have talked a lot since the trade about what to expect in Seattle and Philadelphia.
Right after the trade, Kraken GM Jason Botterill told Avon the organization was “excited to have [his] speed in the lineup.” Avon agrees that his skating is a difference maker for him. “Speed is definitely my big advantage. [The preseason game in Calgary] wasn’t my greatest, but I definitely have speed as one that I can bring to get in on the forecheck, get pucks, and get scoring chances.”
As for his best position, Avon said that he feels like a natural center since that’s the position he played until he arrived in Lehigh Valley. That said, he has played almost exclusively on the wing as a pro, so that position also feels very natural to him at this point. In Tuesday’s preseason game in Calgary, Avon shifted from wing to center after Chandler Stephenson departed with an injury, and Avon noted his center instincts kicked in seamlessly.
Avon conceded he does feel some pressure going into the last year of his contract and with a new organization, but at the same time, he has enjoyed his time in Seattle and feels like he can “play free” with the Kraken. “I feel like I can be myself instead of trying to be someone else.”
Off the ice, Avon is primed to fit in with his Firebirds teammates—including his training camp roommate Jagger Firkus—because one of his favorite hobbies is golf. He said he has gone out to play with Firkus in the Seattle area a couple times already, but he declined to get into who played better because, as he noted with a laugh, they were both “using rentals.” I suspect we might have gotten a more direct answer, if not an unbiased one, from Firkus.
Kraken reassign six from camp to the CHL
On Monday, the Kraken reassigned six 18- and 19-year-old junior-eligible players from the training camp roster back to their CHL clubs. The reassignments included 2025 first-round pick Jake O’Brien and second-round pick Blake Fiddler, both of whom played in Sunday’s preseason opener against Vancouver and performed well, as they have done throughout camp.
Two junior players remain in camp: Nathan Villeneuve, who is injured and currently rehabbing, and Berkly Catton. Neither player is AHL-eligible this season, so they will need to be offered back to their junior teams if they don’t stick around on the Kraken roster or injured list out of camp.
The #SeaKraken have reassigned the following players to their junior clubs:
Most of the six reassigned players are returning to highly competitive junior teams. The CHL’s Top-10 Ranking after Week 1 of the season put Fiddler’s Edmonton Oil Kings at No. 3, O’Brien’s Brantford Bulldogs at No. 5, Reynolds’ Newfoundland Regiment at No. 8, and Miettinen’s Everett Silvertips at No. 9.
Catton’s Spokane Chiefs also rank highly, coming in at No. 6 in the poll. Whether Catton joins Spokane’s WHL Championship chase this season is very much in doubt, though. On this week’s episode of the Sound Of Hockey Podcast, I explained the positives I saw in Catton’s play through two preseason games, particularly in Calgary, and why I’ve never been more confident in his ability to stick with the NHL club. My co-hosts John Barr and Darren Brown were more measured in their evaluations, and left the door open that Catton may not be ready for a full-time NHL role this season if he does not continue to progress. I suspect the best read of Catton’s standing falls somewhere in the middle, which makes this one of the top storylines to monitor as the regular season approaches in less than two weeks.
Notes on three Kraken prospects
Maxim Agafonov | D | Salavat Yulaev Ufa (KHL)
Last week’s notes section was riddled with injury updates. This week, we’re able to strike a more positive theme: professional debuts. Maxim Agafonov continued his ascent, taking a few shifts in the KHL last Saturday for Salavat Yulaev Ufa. Though his role wasn’t significant—he played just over three-and-a-half minutes in the game—Agafonov’s presence in the KHL alone is notable. Currently, he is the sixth-youngest player active in the KHL—a highly competitive professional league. Not bad for the 2025 fifth-round pick.
Karl Annborn | D | HV71 (SHL)
Speaking of impressive ascents for a late-round pick, 2025 seventh-round pick Karl Annborn played in his first two games in the SHL, Sweden’s top professional league, over the last week. Similar to Agafonov, Annborn averaged about three-and-a-half minutes of ice time per game as HV71 managed his initial pro exposure.
Visa Vedenpää | G | Kärpät (Liiga)
After missing almost all of last season, Vedenpaa is healthy and getting his first time in goal in Liiga, Finland’s top professional league. The 20-year-old Vedenpaa entered last Saturday’s game for Karpat when veteran Niklas Rubin departed less than four minutes in. Vedenpaa then earned the start in the team’s next game on Wednesday too. The stat lines aren’t overly impressive, but it is encouraging that Vedenpaa is getting these opportunities after a lost year of development.
Kraken prospects data update
In our data updates moving forward, we’ll highlight in gold any league debuts. As mentioned above, we have three such debuts this week. Otherwise, the stat lines for Seattle’s overseas prospects were fairly uneventful this week.
Semyon Vyazovoi has played in only one of his KHL team’s seven games to date. He struggled in just 23 minutes in goal in his sole appearance. We’ll need to monitor for news whether his inactivity is injury-related, as I’m inclined to suspect, or due to performance.
Sound Of Hockey Prospect of the Week
In what was probably the least-competitive week we have tracked for this “honor”—no skater prospect scored for his club team—goalie Kim Saarinen was legitimately excellent again, turning away 22 of 24 shots in an overtime win for HPK. This earns him a second consecutive early season Sound Of Hockey Prospect of the Week title. As is (probably) said when it comes to Sound Of Hockey Prospect of the Week, they don’t ask how, they just ask how many. And Saarinen now has two before most players in Seattle’s organization have even started playing.
Previewing the week ahead
In our weekly previews moving forward, we’ll highlight in deep sea blue our “Deep Sea Hockey Game of the Week.” This week, Skellefteå’s game on Tuesday at 10:00 am PDT will be broadcast on FloHockey, offering an opportunity to check in on prospect Zeb Forsfjall. Elsewhere, we can expect most of the players Seattle reassigned to the CHL to begin their junior seasons this weekend, starting with Jakub Fibigr and the Brampton Steelheads Friday afternoon at 4:00 pm PDT. Remember that the WHL can be viewed on Victory+ this year and the QMJHL and OHL are on FloHockey now.
Curtis Isacke
Curtis is a Sound Of Hockey contributor and member of the Kraken press corps. Curtis is an attorney by day, and he has read the NHL collective bargaining agreement and bylaws so you don’t have to. He can be found analyzing the Kraken, NHL Draft, and other hockey topics on Twitter and Bluesky @deepseahockey.
