The 2024 NHL Entry Draft Big Board (mid-season version)

by | Feb 22, 2024 | 7 comments

Welcome to the 2024 Sound Of Hockey Big Board (mid-season edition). Later in this post, we’ll also get into a mid-season update on the 2024 NHL Draft “data-only” top prospects ranking, which we published initially in the preseason.

What is the Big Board? It’s a composite ranking of 2024 NHL Draft-eligible prospects based on reputable draft analyst and public scouting service lists. Put differently, it’s a list designed to provide the current, mid-season “public consensus” on the top players in the draft.

To build the Big Board we used mid-season ranking lists from Central Scouting, Bob McKenzie (TSN), Corey Pronman (The Athletic), Scott Wheeler (The Athletic), Steven Ellis (Daily Faceoff), Elite Prospects, and Scouching.  Good-Friend-of-the-Pod Chris Peters’ mid-season list came out after I compiled the rankings. This version of the Big Board is skaters only. If you’re interested in how we do this, we explained it all here.

We published the Sound Of Hockey Big Board in advance of the 2022 Draft and the 2023 Draft. This is the first time we’re also doing an earlier mid-season check-in. To be clear, though, the intention is to return before the draft with the full, final version based on final draft lists, just as we have done in the past.

In the interim, we wanted to use this mid-season list to kick off expanded draft coverage here at Sound Of Hockey. In some form or another, we expect to be able to deliver data and scouting videos on the vast majority of the top prospects in the 2024 NHL Draft. Keep tabs with Sound Of Hockey for further updates on that. 

The 2024 Sound Of Hockey Big Board (mid-season edition)

You can find the 2024 Sound Of Hockey Big Board (mid-season version) in Google Sheets HERE

Important note on using the Sound Of Hockey Big Board: If you want to filter the data by various categories, highlight row 2, then select “Data,” “Filter Views,” and “Create New Temporary Filter View.” This will allow you to manipulate the data in a way visible only to you.

Here is a snapshot of top-64 prospects in the 2023 NHL Entry Draft, sorted by the overall composite rank:

RankNameTeamLeagueBirthdateHeightWeightPosShotRe-Draft?
1Macklin CelebriniBoston Univ.NCAA6/13/200672190CL
2Artyom LevshunovMichigan State Univ.NCAA10/28/200574208DR
3Ivan DemidovSKA-1946 St. PetersburgMHL12/10/200571181RWL
4Anton SilayevTorpedo Nizhny NovgorodKHL4/11/200679211DL
5Cayden LindstromMedicine Hat TigersWHL2/3/200675.25210CL
6Cole EisermanU.S. National U18 TeamNTDP8/29/200671.75197LWL
7Sam DickinsonLondon KnightsOHL6/7/200674.75204DL
8Berkly CattonSpokane ChiefsWHL1/14/200670.75170CL
9Konsta HeleniusJukuritLiiga5/11/200670.75180CR
10Zayne ParekhSaginaw SpiritOHL2/15/200672178DR
11Zeev BuiumUniv. of DenverNCAA12/7/200572183DL
12Trevor ConnellyTri-City StormUSHL2/28/200672.75156LWL
13Carter YakemchukCalgary HitmenWHL9/29/200574.75190DR
14Michael Brandsegg-NygardMora IKHockey
Allsvenskan
10/5/200573198RWR
15Adam JiricekHC PlzeňCzechia6/28/200674.5178DR
16Tij IginlaKelowna RocketsWHL8/4/200671.75186CL
17Liam GreentreeWindsor SpitfiresOHL1/1/200674.5211RWL
18Igor ChernyshovDynamo MoskvaKHL11/30/200574192LWR
19Beckett SenneckeOshawa GeneralsOHL1/28/200674.25175RWR
20Nikita ArtamonovTorpedo Nizhny NovgorodKHL11/17/200571187LWL
21Ryder RitchiePrince Albert RaidersWHL8/3/200671.75175RWR
22Sacha BoisvertMuskegon LumberjacksUSHL3/17/200674178CL
23Emil HemmingTPSLiiga6/27/200672.75201RWR
24Aron KiviharjuHIFKLiiga1/25/200669.25170DL
25Andrew BashaMedicine Hat TigersWHL11/8/200571.25184LWL
26Michael HageChicago SteelUSHL4/14/200672.5190CR
27Charlie ElickBrandon Wheat KingsWHL1/17/200675.25200DR
28Tanner HoweRegina PatsWHL11/28/200569.75182LWL
29Cole BeaudoinBarrie ColtsOHL4/24/200673.75209CL
30Cole HutsonU.S. National U18 TeamNTDP6/28/200670.25165DL
31Dean Letourneau2/21/200678210CR
32Alfons FreijVäxjö Lakers HC J20J-20 Nationell2/12/200672.5187DL
33Matvei ShuravinKrasnaya Armiya MoskvaMHL3/22/200675195DL
34EJ EmeryU.S. National U18 TeamNTDP3/30/200675185DR
35Adam JechoEdmonton Oil KingsWHL3/24/200676.75201CR
36Leo Sahlin WalleniusVäxjö Lakers HC J20J-20 Nationell4/10/200671.5176DL
37Terik ParascakPrince George CougarsWHL5/28/200671.5176RWR
38Dominik BadinkaMalmö RedhawksSHL11/27/200575183DR
39Luke MisaMississauga SteelheadsOHL11/25/200570175CL
40Miguel MarquesLethbridge HurricanesWHL3/8/200670.5173RWR
41Henry MewsOttawa 67’sOHL3/9/200672183DR
42Maxim MasseChicoutimi SaguenéensQMJHL4/7/200673.75192RWR
43Matvei GridinMuskegon LumberjacksUSHL3/1/200673185RWL
44Jett LuchankoGuelph StormOHL8/21/200670.75185CR
45Leon MuggliEV ZugNL7/9/200671.75165DL
46Tomas GalvasBílí Tygři LiberecCzechia2/11/200670.5148DL
47Jesse PulkkinenJYP U20U20 SM-sarja12/27/200478203DLY
48Veeti VaisanenKooKooLiiga2/15/200672177DL
49Yegor SurinLoko YaroslavlMHL8/1/200673191CL
50Ben DanfordOshawa GeneralsOHL2/6/200673194DR
51Stian SolbergVålerengaNorway12/29/200574196DL
52Will SkahanU.S. National U18 TeamNTDP5/14/200676211DL
53John MustardWaterloo Black HawksUSHL8/16/200672.5184CL
54Lucas PetterssonMoDo Hockey J20J-20 Nationell4/17/200671168CL
55Simon ZetherRögle BKSHL10/18/200575186CR
56Marek VanackerBrantford BulldogsOHL4/12/200672.5175LWL
57Kamil BednarikU.S. National U18 TeamNTDP5/26/200672186CL
58Raoul BoilardBaie-Comeau DrakkarQMJHL1/7/200673.25184CL
59Teddy StigaU.S. National U18 TeamNTDP4/5/200669.5177CL
60Sam O’ReillyLondon KnightsOHL3/30/200673186RWR
61Ondrej KosKOOVEEMestis3/7/200674167LWL
62Julius MiettinenEverett SilvertipsWHL1/20/200674.75205CL
63Spencer GillRimouski OcéanicQMJHL8/17/200675.75185DR
64Christian HumphreysU.S. National U18 TeamNTDP2/4/200670.75170CR

Mid-season 2024 NHL Draft “data-only” top prospects ranking

As mentioned at the top of this article, we also updated our preseason “data-only” ranking of top NHL prospects. This is a fundamentally different project than the Big Board. It is not built on the scouting lists of others. Instead it is a list compiled solely from player data (specifically, scoring production, league, age, size, and position). 

As we have explained in earlier posts, we have built this ranking using an NHL equivalency (or “NHLe”) calculation applied to the player’s 2023-24 season scoring points. We then make modest adjustments based on factors known to be linked to prospect success rates, including (1) re-draft status, (2) age, and (3) height. On average, a six-foot-two winger who scores at the same rate as a five-foot-seven winger in junior hockey is more likely to contribute at the NHL level. Likewise, a player who scores a point per game as an 18-year-old in his league is more likely to become an NHL regular than a player who reaches that threshold for the first time as a 21-year-old. Finally, we then made a modest adjustment to bump up the ranking of (1) defensemen relative to forwards and (2) a small handful of low-producing players playing in top professional leagues.

So, without further ado, you can find the mid-season 2024 NHL Draft “data-only” top prospects ranking in Google Sheets HERE.

Important note on using the data-only ranking: If you want to filter the data by various categories, highlight row 2, then select “Data,” “Filter Views,” and “Create New Temporary Filter View.” This will allow you to manipulate the data in a way visible only to you.

Curious how the 2024 Sound Of Hockey Big Board (mid-season edition) compares with a data-only list? We were too. Here are the top 40 first-time draft eligible players on the Big Board, listed in rank order with a comparison to their data-only rank order. 

For example, while Macklin Celebrini is No. 1 on both lists, Artyom Levshunov is No. 2 on the Big Board but No. 6 in the data-only ranking. Konsta Helenius, by contrast, is No. 9 on the Big Board but No. 4 in the data-only ranking. 

This is a way to see graphically which players are relatively higher ranked by scouts and which players are relatively favored by a data-only look. Whichever approach you prefer, it stands out that there is a good deal of consensus between the scouts and the data at the top.

We were also curious to look at which players have risen in the data-only rankings since the preseason rankings (which were based on 2022-23 season data). Here is a chart of the top 35 players in the mid-season data-only ranking, listed in rank order, with comparison to their preseason ranking.

Macklin Celebrini has been a steady No. 1 prospect based on the data alone. And none of the top 10 in the mid-season data ranking “came out of nowhere” from the preseason version. After that, though, you see a number of new players jumping into the mix with breakout 2023-24 seasons. It underscores what we said in the preseason post: The 18-year-old draft year tends to be a huge development year and reveals a lot about the pro potential of a prospect.

***

As we said, keep it here for more draft coverage this spring. What would you like to see us cover? What questions do you have? Feel free to contact us in the comments here or on X (formerly known as Twitter).

Header photo of Berkly Catton by Larry Brunt, courtesy of the Spokane Chiefs.

Curtis Isacke

Curtis is a Sound Of Hockey contributor and member of the Kraken press corps. Curtis is an attorney by day, and he has read the NHL collective bargaining agreement and bylaws so you don’t have to. He can be found analyzing the Kraken, NHL Draft, and other hockey topics on Twitter and Bluesky @deepseahockey.

7 Comments

  1. Mike Davis

    Awesome work Curtis! The SOH Big Board helps me keep track of incoming draft eligible talent and helps me imagine what the next Kraken team might look like.

    Reply
  2. djdw00

    I’d much rather be eyeing the playoffs, but I do enjoy the draft prospect breakdowns and last season I really didn’t pay attention at all. This season, unfortunately, I’m once again curious.
    Michael Brandsegg-Nygard… my wife is Norwegian (born in Norway Norwegian), so he’s very high on our draft board and quite possibly slotted right around where the Kraken may be.
    I was very surprised to see so little separation on Trevor Connelly between his “Big Board” and “Data-Only” rank. I thought maybe some of the “off ice” history might show up. Curious for your thoughts, Curtis.
    Thanks for all the hard work…
    Go Kraken!!!

    Reply
    • Curtis Isacke

      Trevor Connelly was pretty high in the preseason data only ranking and has held pretty consistent in his positioning based on this year’s data. So, his one-year snap shot probably undersells him because he has less “small sample size” risk in his data than some others.

      But I agree with you that it’s interesting the public rankings don’t seem to be downgrading him too much. Curious to see where he actually goes. Right now I’d expect him to go early or mid-teens based on talent that may be in the ~10 range. So not a big fall.

      Reply
      • djdw00

        This is exactly why I’m curious/concerned about Connelly… his draft positioning. He may be right in Seattle’s wheelhouse (nautical Kraken reference).
        I can see Seattle saying, “this isn’t who we are”, and passing on a player who is by far the best available. At the same time, given the reputation Seattle has established, I can also see them as one of the few teams who could vet him, select him, and defend the choice with accountability and a clear plan of oversight and development… but I hope they take the Norwegian instead.
        Go Kraken!!!

        Reply
  3. poivre

    So …. no member of the Thunderbirds is on the radar?

    Reply
    • Curtis Isacke

      Midseason big board has Bryce Pickford as a borderline draftable prospect. Hyde Davidson is in the same area on the Big Board, but hasn’t been particularly productive offensively. I think Pickford has the better chance. A big stretch run for them, but both may be looking at 2025.

      Reply
  4. Eric V

    Simon Lovsin of the Seattle Thunderbirds climbed up in the final nhl central board higher than Pickford. He was hurt early in the season than surged in the second part of the season.

    Reply

Leave a Reply

Discover more from Sound Of Hockey

Subscribe now to keep reading and get access to the full archive.

Continue reading