Seattle Torrent expansion simulation

by | Jun 1, 2026 | 5 comments

News has been trickling out for weeks about the upcoming PWHL expansion draft, which will stock the four new teams joining the league this offseason. Rather than walk through every rule and sub‑rule of the process, I’m focusing on how this could realistically play out for the Seattle Torrent.

Phase 1: Existing team protections & foundational signings

This is when existing teams submit their three-player protected lists for players already under contract for 2026-27. There is a wrinkle: a team can sign and protect a pending free agent from another roster. I don’t see Seattle using that maneuver, but another club absolutely could target one of the Torrent’s UFAs.

Of the Torrent players currently under contract for next season, and therefore eligible to be protected in this phase, the list includes Cayla Barnes, Lexie Adzija, Hannah Bilka, Jenna Buglioni, Mikyla Grant‑Mentis, Hannah Murphy, Corinne Schroeder, Danielle Serdachny, and Anna Wilgren.

My shortlist comes down to Barnes, Bilka, Murphy, and Serdachny. You can make a case for any combination of the four, and I am sure there are people projecting Schroeder to be protected. I am also assuming that the team does not sign one of their pending UFAs with the hope that they make it through the next phase of expansion and re-sign at a later date.

  • Bilka looked like one of Seattle’s best players pre‑Olympics before her season‑ending injury. Her nine points in 14 games don’t jump off the page, but she led the team in points per game over that stretch and could really drive play with the puck on her stick.
  • Serdachny brings a lot of speed to the Torrent’s game, and that can be used to exploit teams in a league with a wide talent range which will get even wider with the addition of the four additional teams. She stood out post‑Olympics as one of the best Torrent forwards and averaged 0.75 points per game.
  • Barnes was the Torrent’s defensive anchor, logging the most ice time and regularly matching against top lines while running the power play.
  • Murphy, at 22, split starts with Schroeder and posted a .908 save percentage compared to Schroeder’s .915. It’s not a huge gap, and there’s no question in my mind that Schroeder is the better goalie right now. But Murphy’s age and upside matter here, which is why she made my short list over Schroeder.

Seattle could sign and protect a pending UFA like Hillary Knight or Alex Carpenter, but if I’m the Torrent, I roll the dice and hope they’re still available after Phase 3 since neither of them are signed for next season.

I’ve gone back and forth, but my current protection trio is Bilka, Serdachny, and Murphy, which likely means Barnes and Schroeder get scooped up. I don’t feel great about it, but that’s the math.

Phase 2: Expansion team foundational signing period

Existing teams sit this one out, but it’s the phase where the Torrent could lose players, both UFAs and players under contract. UFAs like Knight, Carpenter, and Theresa Schafzahl could sign with expansion teams at this stage.

Seattle could also lose up to three players under contract, depending on who was protected in Phase 1. The likeliest names in play: Barnes, Bilka, Murphy, Schroeder, Serdachny, and I’d add Anna Wilgren as a real possibility.

Phase 3: Preliminary open signing period

Any unprotected, unsigned players on expiring contracts can now negotiate with all 12 teams. Existing teams also get to protect three additional players, regardless of contract status, though protecting someone you haven’t signed feels like a wasted slot.

This is the window where Seattle could re‑sign Carpenter, Knight, or Schafzahl if they’re still on the board. I think there’s a chance Wilgren survives to this phase, and if she does, she’s probably one of Seattle’s three additional protections.

Phase 4: Expansion signing period

Expansion teams now select from the remaining unprotected and unsigned players to fill out their rosters up to 10 players.

It’s hard to get a clean read on where Lexie Adzija, Jenna Buglioni, or Mikyla Grant‑Mentis sit in the leaguewide hierarchy, but it wouldn’t surprise me if at least one of them are taken here. Adzija and Grant-Mentis were good contributors for the Torrent, and Buglioni was a rookie, so a team might be willing to take a chance on her potential.

Phase 5: Existing team-exclusive re‑signing period

Existing teams can now re‑sign any of their own players who remain without a contract for 2026-27.

For Seattle, that list could be long. Beyond the big names (Carpenter, Knight, Schafzahl), the Torrent would likely want to bring back Aneta Tejralova, Emily Brown, and Megan Carter.

Phase 6: Open signing period

At this point, any unsigned player can sign with any of the 12 teams.

Anything could happen

I’ve seen some national chatter and a bit of local speculation, but I’ve tried to avoid diving too deep so I’m not subconsciously influenced by other projections. I’ll be wrong about some of this (probably several things), but the exercise is still worthwhile.

What is clear is that the Torrent roster is going to look dramatically different next season.

So now I’m curious: Who are you protecting? Who do you think the Torrent re-sign?

5 Comments

  1. Jeremy Bieberitz

    For me, Bilka was always a “must protect”. As the season progressed, Serdachny attained that level too. My third pick vacillated between Barnes and Murphy. I think, like Bilka and Dachs, the youth and potential will win out and they opt for Murphy.

    Reply
    • John Barr

      I’m glad I am not the only one. Bilka was by far my favorite player (because of speed and skill) before the break. Always been a fan of Barnes but feel Murphy gets the nod because of the reasons you mention. However, I wonder if I am looking at this from an NHL standpoint and overvalue the future more than I should since the contract lengths and tenure in the PWHL are drastically shorter (so far) than in the NHL.

      Reply
  2. Richard Brodie

    I would hate to lose either Lexie or Mikyla. But I guess talent has to come from somewhere for the four expansion teams and the league needs to lean into its early success.

    Reply
    • John Barr

      I think Lexie will be fine, but Mikyla is probably not…but in a spirit of transparency, it’s hard for me to really gauge the talent across the league since I pretty much only watch the Torrent…and National teams.

      Reply
  3. Smitty

    I am curious to see how much power the best players will exercise. I know players offered the EFO, have to sign no matter what their preference, they just get to dictate the years and must get the higher of $100K+ or their previous salary. However, for the FPO it seems they could sign or not sign, and if they don’t sign then other teams have to offer them at least $73K…if they don’t find a team willing to pay them that they are ineligible to play for the season. A lot of the top talent exceed that level already so likely not a huge risk.

    So players like Carpenter and Barnes could have multiple teams try to sign them as FPOs but they could simply say I want to return to Seattle no matter what and come back as long as we pay them more than $73K. I wonder if Torrent roll the dice with Knight assuming she is not going to get an EFO since she has stated she wants to return to Seattle knowing they can sign her later in the process.

    I do wonder if Seattle has an advantage across the league given how much the team was embraced – our attendance was by far the highest in the league on average and they continued to open the upper bowl even when the team was in last place and continued to lose most games. I wonder how much players across the league saw the environment and wished that was their home crowd.

    Reply

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