The Seattle Kraken finished their three-game homestand with two wins and an overtime loss to the best team in the league. The first game of the week, against the Montreal Canadiens, was one of the most memorable of the season. Fans witnessed the Kraken rally from a two-goal deficit, Jani Nyman’s first NHL goal, and an unforgettable overtime winner that will be seared into their memories.
It was probably the loudest I’ve heard Climate Pledge Arena in some time. It was a nice reminder of why I still love going to the games, even if playoff hockey isn’t in the cards this season.
The Jani Nyman experience
We’ve been talking about Jani Nyman all season as one of the Kraken’s most exciting prospects. He’s a ‘big man’ with a wicked shot that could be exactly what the Kraken need. After a relatively slow start to the season in Coachella Valley, Jani has scored goals consistently for the Firebirds. When he got called up early last week, there was a lot of anticipation over whether he could showcase his skill in the NHL.
Often, players take significant time adjusting to the NHL’s speed and size — we’ve seen it before with Ryan Winterton, Logan Morrison, and even Shane Wright. But Nyman wasted no time, scoring a beauty of a power-play goal from a gorgeous feed by Jordan Eberle in his first NHL game. He followed that up with another power-play goal on Sunday against the Winnipeg Jets. As mentioned on the Kraken Hockey Network, “Li’l Jani” became the second Kraken player to score a goal in two of his first three games, with Matty Beniers being the other.
Folks. Jani Nyman's First NHL Goal. It's a beauty set up by the captain (his third primary helper of the game) #SeaKraken
Pessimists might point out that both of his goals came on the power play, but it’s more than just the goals that should excite Kraken fans. Nyman looks like he belongs in the NHL, consistently putting himself in good spots to shoot and battling for pucks without hesitation. It’s early, but you have to like what you’ve seen from him in his first three NHL games. And let’s not forget — he’s still just 20 years old.
Checking in on the Swedish Hockey League
The Swedish Hockey League kicked off its postseason over the weekend, with two Kraken prospects still competing. Unsigned sixth-round draft pick from 2023, Zeb Forsfjäll, and Skellefteå AIK are taking on Färjestad BK in a No. 4 versus No. 5 seed matchup. Meanwhile, Oscar Fisker-Mølgaard and HV71 are once again battling in the relegation round against Modo. Unfortunately, HV71 is already down 0-2 in their best-of-5 series and will need to win three in a row if they are going to avoid being relegated.
Mølgaard had a solid regular season in a league where scoring is hard to come by, tallying 19 points in 38 games with a plus/minus of plus-six on a struggling team. At just 20 years old, he’s considered a strong two-way center and is expected to join the Coachella Valley Firebirds for a limited stint this season once his HV71 campaign concludes. The SHL has provided Mølgaard with an excellent development path, playing in a level of hockey that, outside the AHL, is the most similar to the NHL. He’s projected to play in Coachella Valley next season and is likely a season or two away from being NHL-ready.
Other musings
The Kraken have lost all three games against the league-leading Winnipeg Jets by a margin of one goal. Two of those games were overtime losses, while the other ended with Winnipeg scoring the game-winner with just 27 seconds remaining.
Across all three games against the Winnipeg Jets, the Kraken only trailed for 12 percent of the total time — the lowest percentage they’ve trailed against any Western Conference opponent this season.
To put that 12 percent trailing figure into context, the Kraken have trailed in 42 percent of their total game time this season. The only team with a higher trailing percentage is the San Jose Sharks.
After Brandon Montour’s brilliant game-winning goal against the Canadiens on Thursday, I spent the entire drive home talking about it being a set play. For the next 24 hours or so there was a lot of discussion about it on several platforms. I really loved how Troy Smith discussed it on the Sheet the next day. Alison also got some additional context here.
Eeli Tolvanen has stepped up as one of the new penalty killers in the absence of Yanni Gourde and Brandon Tanev. While he was used sparingly on the penalty kill over the past few seasons, it’s not a role he’s been asked to play much throughout his career.
Since two of their top penalty killers (Gourde and Tanev) last played on March 4, the Kraken’s penalty kill has operated at a 92.3 percent success rate, tied for second-best in the league.
No one should be too concerned about Shane Wright’s current deployment as the “fourth-line center.” It’s a strategic move to provide Jani Nyman with experienced players around him. Jared McCann was moved to center for Nyman and Burakovsky, which pushed Wright to the fourth line. This setup could also be an opportunity for Wright to work on his two-way game. He’s still getting power-play time and was on the ice for overtime.
Jani Nyman had just two goals in his first 10 games with Coachella Valley. However, in his last 10 games with the Firebirds before being called up, he scored eight goals.
The Kraken rank second in the league in the percentage of team goals scored by defensemen, with 20.8 percent of their goals coming from the blue line. Whether that’s a good or bad thing is still up for debate.
As mentioned above, HV71 is facing Modo in the relegation series. Former Kraken and Seattle Thunderbird Alexander True is part of that Modo team.
Chart of the week
If there’s one thing I’ve loved about this season’s team, it’s their refusal to quit. I’ve probably mentioned this a couple of times this year, but last Wednesday against the Montreal Canadiens, the Kraken once again rallied from a two-goal deficit. They lead the league in wins after being down by two goals.
Goal of the week
There were lots of fun goals to choose from this week, but let’s give it up for Jani’s first NHL goal. For this one, we get the full clip, including Nyman’s parents’ reaction.
Here's a longer cut of Nyman's first goal… what a moment to be able to share! #SEAKraken
Jordan Eberle (SEA) – The Kraken captain has recorded one goal and six assists over his last four games, including a three-assist performance against the Montreal Canadiens last Wednesday.
Eeli Tolvanen (SEA) – Tolvanen scored three goals over the last three games and leads the Kraken in goals this season with 21, which also marks a career high for a single season.
Brandon Montour (SEA) – Montour has tallied three goals and three assists over his last three games. He also set a Seattle Kraken single-season record for goals by a defenseman, with 16 goals on the season, matching his career high. He was named the NHL’s Third Star of the Week.
The week ahead
The Kraken have three road games over the next eight days, starting with a back-to-back against the Blackhawks and Wild on Tuesday and Wednesday, followed by a Saturday matchup at the Edmonton Oilers.
The Blackhawks have struggled all season, holding the second-worst record in the league. However, the Kraken have already lost to the Blackhawks once this season, so it’s unwise to assume they’ll be an easy opponent.
Meanwhile, the Minnesota Wild have been struggling lately, going 3-6-1 over their last 10 games and averaging just 1.6 goals per game during that stretch. The Kraken will be on the second night of a back-to-back, though, and they are currently 0-10-0 in such situations this season.
And Edmonton…let’s just worry about Edmonton later.
The Seattle Kraken returned to action over the weekend following the 4 Nations Face-Off break, splitting a pair of games against the Florida Panthers and Tampa Bay Lightning.
On Saturday night, the Kraken edged out the Panthers in a tight 2-1 win. Captain Jordan Eberle made his return to the lineup after a lengthy absence due to a pelvic injury back in November. Despite the extended break for the team, the Kraken looked sharp, with Joey Daccord delivering a strong performance in net. Shane Wright recorded assists on both Kraken goals, scored by Kaapo Kakko and Jared McCann.
Sunday’s game against the Tampa Bay Lightning didn’t go as well, with the Kraken falling 4-1. While the Kraken didn’t generate many quality scoring chances, they also didn’t concede many. Seattle is now 0-9-0 in the second game of back-to-backs, making them the only NHL team without a point in that situation this season.
Return of the captain
Eberle looked solid in his return, especially considering the long layoff and the challenge of coming back from such a unique injury. He logged 14 minutes of ice time on Saturday, primarily in a fourth-line role, with 57 seconds on the power play in the first period. He registered two shots on goal and, more importantly, helped stabilize the fourth line, giving the other three lines more rest between shifts.
In the previous 10 games, Tye Kartye and Mitchell Stephens averaged less than nine minutes of ice time per game, while Brandon Tanev, the other fourth-liner, averaged under 13 minutes. With Eberle back, Coach Dan Bylsma was able to rely more on the Tanev-Eberle wing pairing, occasionally double-shifting Shane Wright to center the fourth line. This provided a more dynamic fourth-line threat compared to a Tanev-Stephens-Kartye combination. While it’s hard to measure the direct impact, in a close 2-1 win, even small advantages can make a big difference.
Eberle played just under 12 minutes on Sunday and had two notable turnovers. While his timing might take a few more games to fully return, the early signs are promising.
4 Nations Face-Off: Quick thoughts
The 4 Nations Face-Off was a hit, not only among die-hard hockey fans but also with casual viewers. I heard from several non-hockey-fan friends and coworkers who tuned in and loved the USA-Canada games. The gold-medal game between the USA and Canada drew 9.25 million viewers in the US—the largest audience for an NHL-sanctioned game. For context, last year’s Stanley Cup Final Game 7 between the Edmonton Oilers and Florida Panthers had 7.66 million viewers.
The tournament also introduced some creative elements worth considering for the NHL:
Three-Point System: The 4 Nations used a system where regulation wins earned three points, overtime or shootout wins earned two, and overtime or shootout losses earned one. This setup could encourage teams to take more risks late in regulation to secure a full three points, especially in tight playoff races.
10-Minute 3-on-3 Overtime: While extending overtime might reduce shootouts, research suggests the current system may not need much tweaking.
New Camera Angles: The tournament featured fresh perspectives, including cameramen on the ice after goals, new in-game angles, and a referee cam. While still needing refinement, these innovations show promise.
the on-ice camera for goal celebrations is such a nice addition to 4Nations… hope to see this in the postseason pic.twitter.com/4POY7hGcwY
Brandon Tanev played 16:19 against Florida on Saturday—his highest ice time since Dec. 10—including 2:26 in the final five minutes.
The Kraken are now 5-2-1 all-time against Florida but 1-6-1 all-time against Tampa Bay.
Joey Daccord’s win on Saturday was his 20th of the season, marking a career high.
Jani Nyman continues to impress, leading all AHL rookies with 23 goals. I expect we’ll see him with the Kraken later this season.
Prospect Berkly Catton reached 100 points in the WHL over the weekend. While he’d benefit from a more competitive setting next season, the NHL-CHL development agreement limits his options to either the NHL or the WHL. There’s a chance he could make the Kraken roster, which would make this a non-issue.
For context on Catton playing in the NHL next season, only six players from the 2023 NHL Draft have played more than nine games in the NHL this season.
The Kraken won two coach’s challenges over the weekend: goalie interference on Saturday against Florida and an offside call on Sunday against Tampa Bay.
Berkly Catton (SPO/SEA): The top Kraken prospect is riding a 12-game multi-point streak, with eight points over three games this weekend.
Nathan Villeneuve (SBY/SEA): The 2024 second-round pick had five points in his last three games. Despite flying under the radar, he’s a physical forward with 55 points in 47 games for the Sudbury Wolves.
Shane Wright (SEA): Wright tallied three points over the weekend and has 12 points in his last 10 games.
The week ahead
The Kraken play just two games this week, both against Western Conference teams vying for a wild-card spot. They’ll wrap up their road trip against the St. Louis Blues on Tuesday before hosting the Vancouver Canucks at home on Saturday.
St. Louis has struggled lately, going 3-5-2 in its last 10 games, while Vancouver is clinging to the final wild-card spot but dropped two regulation games over the weekend. Though the Kraken are out of playoff contention, they have a prime opportunity to play spoiler.
Trade deadline looming
As much as the focus should be on the ice this week, the NHL Trade Deadline is just 13 days away, and speculation is heating up. Under GM Ron Francis, the Kraken have historically made moves close to the deadline, so big changes may not happen until next week.
Darren Brown put together a solid primer on the Kraken’s trade deadline approach. I’ve mentioned it before, but I still think an extension for Yanni Gourde could be in the cards. The Kraken need a fourth-line center next season, and if the two sides can find common ground, it would be a smart move to keep him in Seattle.
If you have thoughts or reactions to anything in this post or anything Kraken-related, let me know in the comments section below!
The Kraken ended the week on a high note, sending us into the 4 Nations Face-Off break with a thrilling come-from-behind win against the Calgary Flames. That game marked the seventh time this season the Kraken have erased a two-goal deficit to win—a feat they accomplished more times this season than in the previous three seasons combined—and they still have 25 games remaining.
In my opinion, the Seattle Kraken’s ability to never quit is what makes this team so enjoyable to watch, but it’s also part of the frustration. They can compete with any opponent for stretches of a game, giving us glimpses of their potential.
Coincidentally, the Kraken nearly pulled off another two-goal comeback earlier in the week against Detroit at Climate Pledge Arena. They scored twice in the final 10 minutes of regulation to force overtime but eventually lost in a shootout. Despite the loss, it was an exciting game to watch. Both Shane Wright and Matty Beniers found the back of the net, while Chandler Stephenson tied the game with his 10th goal of the season with under three minutes left in regulation. On Saturday in Calgary, Wright also had a goal and an assist to lead the comeback charge, and Beniers had the game-winner in OT.
Sandwiched between the shootout loss to Detroit and the overtime win in Calgary was a lackluster effort against the Toronto Maple Leafs. It wasn’t the Kraken’s best game, but they didn’t mail it in either. They trailed 3-0 midway through the second period but got an early third-period goal to make things interesting. Toronto is a talented team with high-end players, and even though their “big four” didn’t score, their presence was felt as they controlled most of the play.
If you had told me heading into the week that the Kraken would take three points from three quality opponents, I would have been happy—and I am. This team continues to compete, and with Shane, Matty, and Kaapo Kakko, I’m still fully engaged as we head down the stretch.
The Kaapo Kakko impact
As everyone should know by now, Kaapo Kakko has been on a resurgence since his trade to the Kraken in mid-December. I’ve previously highlighted the production difference between his time in Seattle versus New York this season, but here’s a quick summary:
The numbers are even more striking when isolating the last 20 games. There’s no doubt he’s been a bright spot over the past six weeks. The Kakko-Beniers-Jaden Schwartz line has been clicking, so let’s take a look at Kakko’s impact on their numbers as well.
Matty’s points-per-game average has risen slightly from 0.515 to 0.583, but his goal production has more than doubled in nine fewer games played. If you extrapolate his nine-goal pace over 24 games across a full season, it projects to a 30-goal pace for Matty.
Shane Wright is staying hot
Another bright spot in recent months has been the emergence of Shane Wright. With two more points on Saturday night, he now sits at exactly a point per game over his last 10 outings. Since being a healthy scratch back in November, he has steadily produced, never dipping below a .5-point-per-game average over any 10-game span.
Between Kakko, Beniers, and Wright, you can see a young core starting to take shape—one that should give fans plenty to be excited about for the rest of the season.
Other Musings
Saturday’s game against Calgary was the 35th time this season the Kraken allowed the first goal. They continue to lead the league in that category.
I’m starting to warm up to the idea of the Kraken extending Yanni Gourde. The team needs a center next season, and Yanni has been a great leader since the inaugural season. It doesn’t need to be a “team-friendly” deal—just a fair one. As with any veteran contract, the term will be the tricky part.
Since Yanni went down with an injury, the Kraken’s penalty kill is just 64.3 percent. It was 77.8 percent before his injury.
Shane played 1:26 in overtime against Detroit last Tuesday—the most OT ice time he’s had all season. He was sitting on two goals at the time, so I wonder if it was an attempt to get him a hat trick or part of a new overtime strategy.
On Saturday, Shane and Matty both scored in the same game for the fourth time in their careers. The Kraken have won three of those four games, with the only loss coming in the shootout against Detroit.
I continue to wonder about Kaapo Kakko’s next contract.
Philipp Grubauer is 2-0 with a .933 save percentage in his first two starts with the Coachella Valley Firebirds since being reassigned.
This entire play was a thing of beauty—and it was even better to witness in person last Tuesday.
#SeaKraken make it interesting. A Tanev stretch pass connects with Stephenson who goes across the goal mouth unencumbered to make it 4-4 with just under three to play
Berkly Catton (SPO/SEA) – A regular in this section, Catton posted eight points in two games this past weekend, including a four-goal game against the Seattle Thunderbirds.
Carson Rehkopf (BRA/SEA) – Another frequent mention, Rehkopf, the Kraken’s 2023 second-round pick, had a six-point night against the Erie Otters. “Razor” remains one of my favorite prospects because he can score from anywhere.
Ready for a wild stat? 🤓#SeaKraken prospect Carson Rehkopf of the @OHLSteelheads scored the 10th hat-trick of his #OHL career on Friday, part of a six-point effort that brings him to 30 goals on the season! 🎥 pic.twitter.com/LNBmNQ2sbJ
Jani Nyman (CVF/SEA) – “Li’l Jani” continues to impress in his first full North American season, recording five points in his last four games. Of all the Kraken prospects, I believe he has the best chance of making the NHL roster next season. Hopefully, we get a glimpse of him at some point later this year.
The week ahead
The entire league is on break for the 4 Nations Face-Off. The Kraken won’t play again until Feb. 22, when they take on the Florida Panthers. I don’t know how many of you are excited to watch the 4 Nations Face-Off, but I certainly am—especially the USA versus Canada matchup on Saturday.
There likely won’t be a Monday Musings next week—unless your comments inspire me.
The Kraken just wrapped up a fun week of hockey at Climate Pledge Arena, winning two out of three games with victories against the Buffalo Sabres and the Pittsburgh Penguins. Their only loss came against the league-leading Washington Capitals. I won’t pretend it was the prettiest stretch of games, but let’s face it—winning is fun.
Saturdays are fun again
The win against the Penguins on Saturday marked the Kraken’s fourth home victory on a Saturday this season. Last season, they went 0-7-2 at home on Saturday nights. Pittsburgh seemed to dominate lengthy stretches of the game, but the Kraken capitalized on key opportunities and never trailed. An added bonus of Saturday’s game was the annual Kids Game, featuring several kids shadowing job functions during the event—not to mention the many young fans in the crowd, thanks to the family-friendly start time.
Face-off follow-ups
It was great to see people discussing my mention of Chandler Stephenson’s defensive capabilities on Reddit last week. Measuring defensive skills using public data is challenging because so many important events aren’t captured. Thinking out loud here: it would be great to have metrics like deflections of passes, elimination of passing lanes, coverage of players, possession in the defensive zone, controlled zone exits versus zone exits that immediately concede possession, and so on—all measured against the strength of the competition on the ice.
Someone in the Reddit thread pointed out Stephenson’s low face-off percentage in the defensive zone, as available on NHL.com stats. I commend the poster for digging into the data and investigating on their own. However, even that stat requires context.
For most of the season, Stephenson has been part of the first penalty kill unit, meaning he takes a lot of face-offs while the team is shorthanded. Being shorthanded naturally reduces a team’s chances of winning a face-off. League-wide, shorthanded teams win only 46.9 percent of face-offs in all scenarios. Meanwhile, Stephenson’s face-off percentage while shorthanded is 50.8 percent.
I should also point out that face-offs are an incomplete stat because what you really want is possession, which isn’t the same as simply winning the face-off. That said, face-off percentages are the best we have right now and are generally a good indicator of possession—though not 100 percent of the time.
Sign or trade
In case you missed it, we did an exercise on the Sound Of Hockey Podcast last week called “Sign or Trade,” focusing on the Seattle Kraken’s pending unrestricted free agents. Using the AFP Analytics midseason extension projection model, we analyzed a couple of players and shared our opinions on whether the Kraken front office should re-sign or trade them based on their forecasted cap hits.
Yanni Gourde’s projected cap hit was $4.1 million AAV over three years. We all agreed the Kraken should trade him if that is what it would require to re-sign him, but I wonder—at what point does the AAV start to make sense for the team? The Kraken need another center for next season, and there doesn’t appear to be anyone in the pipeline who could fill the fourth-line center role. So, if Yanni would stay for $3.5 million, would you consider it?
The other part of the equation is what the Kraken could get for Yanni on the trade market. As I mentioned last week, if a first-round draft pick is on the table, you have to make the trade regardless of Yanni’s potential re-signing number. You could always try to bring him back in free agency, but that rarely happens—so I wouldn’t count on it.
The other interesting player is Brandon Tanev, whose projected cap hit is $2.4 million AAV for two years. Tanev has played very well this season, and at those numbers, re-signing him would definitely be worth considering.
Other musings
The Kraken improved to 6-2-0 all-time against the Pittsburgh Penguins. The only Eastern Conference team they have a better record against is the Buffalo Sabres, who they defeated on Monday. Seattle is now 7-1-0 against the Sabres.
Fans at the Capitals and Penguins games this week had the chance to see goals from Alexander Ovechkin and Sidney Crosby. Neither player had scored at Climate Pledge Arena since the Kraken’s inaugural season.
With their win on Saturday, the Kraken’s record improved to 12-5-3 in games where they score first. When the opposition scores first, Seattle’s record is 10-20-0.
At this point, it feels like a stretch to consider Seattle, Anaheim, and Nashville in the playoff race. However, Nashville has been the hottest team in January and is inching back into the conversation.
I haven’t completely given up on the Kraken making things interesting, but until further notice, they are out of the playoffs and are likely sellers at the trade deadline.
The Kraken have two games against the Calgary Flames before the 4 Nations Face-Off break. Two regulation wins in those matchups would certainly make things more interesting.
The Capitals looked very strong when they played the Kraken last Thursday. Impressively, the Caps also boast one of the best prospect pools in the league—not bad for a team that hasn’t tanked. They’ve only missed the playoffs once in the last 10 seasons.
The big trade on Friday between the Carolina Hurricanes and Colorado Avalanche officially kicked off trade season. There’s usually a major trade in late January that starts to grease the trade gears—last year it was Elias Lindholm, and the year before, Bo Horvat. Expect trades to pick up steadily as we approach the March 7 trade deadline.
Matty Beniers is playing his best hockey of the season right now. His performance seemed to improve after the Kaapo Kakko trade. Since Kakko joined the team, Beniers has scored seven goals in 17 games; before that, he had just four goals in 33 games.
Speaking of the Kakko trade, Will Borgen signed a five-year contract with the New York Rangers over the weekend. The average annual value clocked in a $4.1 million. I’m happy for Will and, at the same time, thankful the Kraken did not sign for that price tag.
Buoy attended one of those mascot night events at a Portland Trail Blazers game. I wonder if all those mascots get together after work to enjoy a few “college sodas.”
Jared McCann (SEA) – McCann’s goal-scoring is off pace compared to previous seasons, but he’s contributing in other ways. He recorded one goal and four assists over the Kraken’s last three games.
Tyson Jugnauth (POR/SEA) – The unsigned Kraken prospect is on an active 10-game point streak, tallying six goals and 13 assists during that span.
Joey Daccord (SEA) – Daccord is 4-2-0 in his last six starts with an impressive .928 save percentage. Even in his two losses, he’s kept the Kraken competitive with a chance to win.
The week ahead
The Kraken face a tough matchup on Monday when they head to Edmonton to play the Oilers in Connor McDavid’s first game back after his three-game suspension. It’s hard to expect much from the Kraken in that game, as Edmonton has been playing well lately, winning seven of its last 10 games. Adding the best player in the league back into the lineup certainly won’t hurt the Oilers.
After Monday, the schedule lightens up with home games against Anaheim on Tuesday, San Jose on Thursday, and a Sunday game against Calgary. Both Anaheim and San Jose have been struggling recently. Anaheim is 3-5-2 in its last 10 games, while San Jose has managed just one win in its last 10. I don’t take anything for granted this season, but if there are two games you expect to win, these are them.
Calgary presents a bigger challenge. The Flames currently hold the last wild card spot and have been stingy on defense. One potential advantage for the Kraken is that Calgary will be playing the night before against the Red Wings, which might mean Seattle faces backup goaltender Dan Vladar instead of Calder Trophy candidate Dustin Wolf. That said, Vladar played well against the Kraken earlier this season, allowing just two goals in an overtime loss back in October.
I’ve accepted that a playoff push is unlikely, but I’d still like to see the Kraken make things interesting the rest of the way. Six points this week, including a regulation win against Calgary, are almost mandatory if they hope to have any shot at climbing back into the playoff picture. Either way, I still enjoy the winning—especially at home—so I’d probably be satisfied with a couple of home victories this week.
The Seattle Kraken have magically won three of their last five games, just missing out on at least another point in their one loss of the week against the Winnipeg Jets. That loss came after the Jets scored off a fluky bounce with 30 seconds remaining. Regardless of the season’s overall outlook, the Kraken are playing some fun hockey right now.
The importance of context
I’m not fully prepared to delve into the societal impacts of social media and sensational headlines, but too often, I see people forming opinions based on a tweet or headline without digging deeper. To truly understand something, it’s essential to put it into context. In life, understanding context helps you gain clarity, make better analyses, and avoid misunderstandings. Hockey is no different.
Take Saturday night as an example: the Kraken were outshot 17–1 in the third period. There’s no denying that’s bad, but the context matters. The Kraken entered the third with a 3–2 lead and prioritized a conservative defensive mindset, which ultimately secured the victory. I wouldn’t recommend sitting back for 20 minutes to protect a one-goal lead, but understanding the situation provides perspective if you only look at the shot totals. Either way, it worked.
Shifts and impacts on time on ice
On the topic of context, we got a question in our Patreon Mailbag last week about Shane Wright’s relatively low ice time. I also received a few texts about it. I get where the concern comes from—you hear that Wright is playing well, then check the box score and see he’s third or fourth among Kraken centers in minutes. The reality is you need to dig deeper to understand the situation.
More often than not, differences in ice time are driven by special teams and line deployment. For example, in a one-goal game, Chandler Stephenson and Matty Beniers double-shifted during the last five minutes. Up until that point, Wright hadn’t missed a regular shift. A different situation came up when his linemate Jared McCann committed two penalties on back-to-back shifts, sidelining his linemates for an extended period of time.
Center deployment context
At a recent Patreon watch party, someone brought up some interesting stats about where Kraken centers are taking face-offs. They pointed out that Stephenson is handling a disproportionate number of face-offs in the defensive zone. This makes sense: coaches typically deploy a defensively responsible center in those situations, and Stephenson is not only the team’s best face-off winner but also considered its strongest defensive center.
I had the conversation on Thursday, so by Saturday, I was focusing on who was taking face-offs in the defensive zone. With Yanni Gourde on injured reserve, I noticed Beniers was out there quite a bit, which made me want to see how the face-off deployments were trending over the season.
Sprong sound bite
A sound bite often lacks context, which can distort the full picture of an interview or statement. A recent example is Daniel Sprong’s comments to the media after his first game with the Coachella Valley Firebirds. The quote that made headlines was, “I want to prove that I don’t belong here.” This sounds like a disgruntled employee, but the full quote tells a different story:
“It’s been a tough couple of days, and my mindset is to help the young guys promote to the big team. I’ve been a young guy before, and I try to lead by example and help with the little things. And for myself, I want to prove that I don’t belong here. You know, my performance in the NHL over the last two years speaks for itself, and these are the cards I’ve been dealt right now. Personally, I want to prove that I don’t belong here. For now, I’ll help the young guys, work hard, and try to fix my game a little bit.”
To me, the full context softens the edge of his statement. Sprong understands his assignment and will support his teammates in Coachella Valley, but ultimately, he wants to return to the NHL. I have no issues with that mindset.
Other musings
Adam Larsson had two notably long shifts on Saturday night. In the second period, he was on the ice for about 85 seconds when Chandler Stephenson committed a penalty, and he stayed on for another 80 seconds to kill the first part of the penalty. He also played the final 2:29 of the game.
Saturday night was one of the best games I’ve seen all season from Matty Beniers. He was strong on the puck and was a big contributor defensively in the third period that helped the Kraken lock it down.
I’m loving what I’m seeing from Kaapo Kakko. After notching three assists on Saturday, Kakko has more than doubled his points-per-game average with the Kraken compared to his time with the Rangers this season. Some context: he’s averaging three more minutes of ice time per game with the Kraken and has been on the ice for 41.7 percent of the team’s power play time since joining, compared to 23.0 percent with New York.
It’s probably too early for the Kraken front office to start negotiating Kakko’s next contract, but it’s shaping up to be an interesting conversation. As a Restricted Free Agent this offseason with one year remaining under team control, Kakko can take the qualifying offer and hit the open market in 2026 if he chooses. Assuming he continues to play at this level, the Kraken will likely try to lock him up long-term.
The Kraken have played seven overtime games so far, while Vancouver has played 14. The resulting seven “loser points” are the exact difference between the two teams in the standings (Kraken 43, Vancouver 50).
I checked in on the Kraken’s shooting percentage this season and was surprised to see it’s above league average and closer to last season’s numbers.
Hockey insider Frank Seravalli made a case for Yanni Gourde potentially fetching a first-round draft pick ahead of the trade season. While I think that’s a stretch, I do think Gourde could bring back a second-round pick and a late-round pick. If that’s the case, I’d love to see Nick Robertson come to Seattle in a trade with Toronto.
I really hope we get to see Yanni Gourde play at least one more home game at Climate Pledge Arena.
Goal of the Week
As Curtis pointed out on Friday, Kraken prospect Jani Nyman is really hitting his stride for the Coachella Valley Firebirds. Li’l Jani is starting to set up his own office on the power play which could be a unique option for the Kraken next season.
Jani Nyman alkaa päästä vauhtiin AHL:n 2x finalisti Coachella Valley Firebirdsin paidassa. 🔥
Nyman on joukkueen tehokkain pelaaja: 33 matsiin 12+9. Kolmen ottelun maaliputkessa. 192cm, 94kg.
Jaden Schwartz – It was great to witness a hat trick last Saturday. Schwartz has been one of the Kraken’s best players over the last month and has been a consistent contributor all season.
Jaden Schwartz picks up the fifth hatty of his career! 🎩🎩🎩
Lleyton Roed – In his first full season of pro hockey for Coachella Valley, Roed has a five-game point streak and eight points over that stretch. I wonder if he might get a call-up in the spring after the trade deadline.
Kaapo Kakko – I can’t stop talking about Kakko. He had three assists on Saturday night, and that line with Schwartz and Beniers is performing at a level we haven’t seen all season.
The week ahead
The Kraken have three home games this week that should be entertaining at the least. The Sabres will be looking for redemption after surrendering six unanswered goals to the Kraken in Buffalo nine days ago. Then the revitalized Washington Capitals will visit Climate Pledge Arena on Thursday where Alexander Ovechkin continues his pursuit of Wayne Gretzky’s goal-scoring record. The week is then capped off on Saturday when the Penguins come to town. The Caps are surging right now, with points in their last 10 games, including seven wins. Meanwhile, Pittsburgh is reeling, losing eight out of their last 10 games.
At this point of the season, I just want to see the Kraken maintain the compete level that we’ve seen over the last week. That is fun and enjoyable hockey to watch, which is all I need now.
Just when you think it can’t get any worse, it does. The Kraken went 1-3-0 over the last week, with two of those losses standing out as some of the worst games the team has ever played—a pair of 6-2 defeats in Columbus and Detroit. In classic 2024-25 Kraken fashion, it was one disastrous period in each game that sealed their fate. They surrendered four goals in the second period against Columbus and another four in the first period against Detroit. In those stretches, the Kraken looked out of sync, outclassed, and outcoached, resembling a 90’s expansion team.
You could also include the first period of the game against the Buffalo Sabres, where they allowed two goals and were outshot 15-7. While not quite as disastrous as the other two games, it was still a rough period. I hate to be so harsh, but those three periods stand out as some of the worst hockey this team has played all season.
To their credit, and consistent with what we have seen from the Kraken all year, they didn’t quit and battled through the rest of each game. However, in the cases of Columbus and Detroit, it was too little, too late. Certainly, injuries have taken a toll on this team. You might also excuse some of the sluggishness in the Detroit game as it was the second game of a back-to-back. But the issues run deeper than that.
Missing Yanni Gourde
I mentioned it last week, but this team really misses Yanni Gourde. While I don’t know how vocal he is in the locker room, his on-ice energy and effort often seem to inspire the team. The Gourde line has consistently set the tone, and in his absence, that spark has been missing.
In the last three games he played, the Kraken went 2-0-1, with his line providing a jumpstart when the team needed it most. Gourde also seems to deliver crucial energy boosts in pivotal moments. Unfortunately, while he’s eligible to return from injured reserve, he is not with the team on this road trip, and his return remains uncertain.
All eyes on the trade deadline
While I’ll continue rooting for the Kraken for every remaining second of the season, it’s hard to ignore the looming trade deadline on March 7. It seems likely that both Brandon Tanev and Yanni Gourde will be traded. Those are the obvious names, but could there be others?
I’ve loved Jaden Schwartz’s play this year. He’s been one of the team’s bright spots and could be an appealing trade target for a contender. With a Stanley Cup win (Blues, 2019) under his belt and one year remaining on his contract at $5.5 million, Schwartz could fetch a solid return if the Kraken decide to move him.
Another player that could be appealing for playoff teams is Oliver Bjorkstrand. He is tied for first on the team with 13 goals and is the type of depth scoring that could be attractive to teams that think they are Stanley Cup contenders. The thought of Oliver not being on this team pains me, but you’ve got to consider just about anything at this point, and for the right price, no one is untouchable.
The bigger question is what the Kraken are looking for in return. They had two huge drafts in 2022 and 2023, picking up nine first- or second-round selections, and seem to have had another solid draft in 2024. Do they want to stockpile more draft picks, or are they targeting younger players on the cusp of breaking into the NHL?
I’ve been championing a deal for Nick Robertson since the beginning of the season. Toronto might be a logical landing spot for Yanni Gourde, and a deal involving Robertson could make sense for both sides.
While trades will start to pick up in late January and early February, most of the action will likely happen closer to the trade deadline in March. Stay tuned—this next stretch could shape the Kraken’s future.
Other musings
Kaapo Kakko appears to be part of the long-term solution in Seattle. He has five points in his last five games, including two goals on Saturday in Buffalo. Notably, he set a franchise record by scoring the fastest two goals by a single player in Kraken history, just 1:40 apart.
Kakko remains the only Kraken player named to a 4 Nations Face-off roster. There’s an outside chance that Eeli Tolvanen could join Team Finland as an injury replacement. Erik Haula has been named to the Finnish roster but hasn’t played for the Devils since Jan. 4 due to a sprained ankle.
The Kraken have allowed the first goal in each of their last five games, going 1-4-0 in that stretch. This continues a season-long trend, as they are 9-19-0 when conceding the opening goal.
Despite being one of the league’s most disciplined teams this season, averaging just 2.9 penalties per game, the Kraken committed 13 penalties over the weekend. Three of Detroit’s six goals in their matchup came on the power play.
After clearing waivers last week, Daniel Sprong made an immediate impact for Coachella Valley, scoring three goals and adding an assist in his first two games. Prior to this, he hadn’t played since Dec. 28.
The Utah Hockey Club is implementing a creative initiative to attract more fans to their games, which reminds me of my 2020 pitch for an innovative program to increase attendance at Kraken games. As the saying goes, “The best time to plant a tree was 25 years ago. The second-best time is today.” Dear Kraken, again….please steal this idea!
Jacob Melanson played his first game since early November for Coachella Valley on Sunday after being sidelined with a long-term injury. A fifth-round pick in the 2021 NHL Entry Draft, Melanson had a strong start to the season, scoring three goals in his first seven games. Earlier in the campaign, there was speculation that he could be one of the first forward call-ups, but the injury set him back. Known for his physicality, Melanson brings an edge to his game that could be a valuable asset for the Kraken when he’s ready to make the jump.
If you are looking for reasons to be optimistic about the future, listen to the latest episode of the Sound Of Hockey Podcast where we chatted with Seattle Kraken director of player development, Jeff Tambellini.
Berkly Catton (SPO/SEA): The Kraken’s first-round pick in the 2024 NHL Entry Draft had an incredible performance on Saturday, racking up seven points in a single game against the Wenatchee Wild.
Lleyton Roed (CVF/SEA): The undrafted free agent signed by the Kraken last spring continues to impress, tallying two goals and three assists in two games over the weekend. Roed now has 11 points in his last 10 games.
Carson Rehkopf (BRA/SEA): Since returning from the World Juniors, Rehkopf has been on fire, recording six points in just three games.
The Kraken will snap out of this funk eventually, but the road ahead doesn’t get much easier. They’ll face a desperate Pittsburgh Penguins team on Tuesday, followed by a tough matchup against the Winnipeg Jets on Thursday to close out the road trip. After that, the Kraken return to Climate Pledge Arena on Saturday to take on the Los Angeles Kings.
While I’m still rooting for wins, what I’d most like to see this week is consistency throughout the games—even if the results don’t go the Kraken’s way.
On a positive note, I’m excited to see the continued progress of Shane Wright, Matty Beniers, and Kaapo Kakko. All three have been playing some of their best hockey of the season, and they look poised to become key parts of the future core of this franchise.
