This will be a first pass at predicting the lines for the 2024-25 season. The picture will become a little clearer after training camp and preseason games, as we will see who is practicing together and if there is any chemistry between individual players. Obviously, to come up with line combinations, we have to make some assumptions on who will make the roster.
For purposes of this exercise, we will assume the following:
Ryker Evans and Shane Wright will be full-time Kraken players throughout the season.
This article was inspired by one of our Patreon Mailbags, where subscriber Katie had a question on what the special teams lines might be for the 2024-25 season. Thank you, Katie, for the question. (**Editor’s note: If you aren’t already a Patreon subscriber, you can become one today!) While we will mainly focus on special teams, we will also expand a bit on the original question and preview what Seattle could do for even-strength lines.
Remember, there was a handful of additions and departures that will alter the look of the upcoming season’s roster.
Departures
Alex Wennberg – Traded
Kailer Yamamoto – Free Agent
Tomas Tatar – Free Agent
Brian Dumoulin – Traded
Justin Schultz – Free Agent
Additions
Chandler Stephenson – Free Agent Signing
Brandon Montour – Free Agent Signing
Shane Wright – promoted from AHL
Ryker Evans – promoted from AHL
Josh Mahura – Free Agent Signing
All of the departures contributed to special teams at some point during the 2023-24 season, so there are open positions to fill. Factor in changes to the coaching staff as well, with Dan Bylsma, Bob Woods, and Jessica Campbell being brought in, we would expect special teams to change a lot from last season.
Power play lines
The power play looked different before and after the 2024 trade deadline, with the trade of Alex Wennberg and injuries to Andre Burakovsky and Vince Dunn. Here is how the Seattle Kraken power play lines looked at the end of the 2023-24 season:
Ryker Evans is expected to be on the roster full time and has had success on the power play in the AHL, but with the addition of Montour, he is at the bottom of the depth chart and will not be on the power play to start the year.
First power play line
Seattle’s two big free agent signings, Brandon Montour and Chandler Stephenson, will make an immediate impact on the top power play unit. Stephenson won 52.6 percent of his face-offs last season, which is better than all Seattle Kraken centermen. In fact, no Kraken center was above 48 percent in the face-off dot.
Montour played on the top power play line for the Florida Panthers, who were sixth in the NHL with 63 goals. Montour averaged 3:54 of power play time per game, over a minute more than the Kraken’s top power play quarterback, Vince Dunn, who averaged 2:49 per game.
Oliver Bjorkstrand and Jared McCann were the top-scoring power play players with 25 and 23 points respectively. They have earned their spots on the top unit and will likely continue playing there into next season. Andre Burakovsky had the worst season of his career and is poised for a bounce back. He also has skills as a puck carrier and will be called upon to carry the puck into the offensive zone. If Burakovsky does not produce quickly, he could be dropped to the second unit.
Oliver Bjorkstrand (Photo/Brian Liesse)
Jared McCann (Photo/Brian Liesse)
Second power play unit
We would expect Seattle’s second unit to feature Beniers, who struggled to score consistently during a sophomore slump. Jordan Eberle will be the puck carrier into the offensive zone. Dunn will start out as the quarterback on the second unit and figures to again be productive. Even though Montour had more time on his team’s power play, he only had one more point than Dunn at 17. Montour is only a year removed, though, from getting 33 points on the power play, which is why we think Dunn will start the year on the second unit. Dunn could certainly jump back to the first unit if Montour’s doesn’t click with the top group.
Vince Dunn
Shane Wright and Ryker Evans will likely not make the power play to start the season but will be ready to step in if an injury arises or if a player is not meeting expectations. With head coach Dan Bylsma and assistant coach Jessica Campbell both coming from the Coachella Valley Firebirds, they have seen firsthand both Wright and Evans succeeding on the power play and will be ready to insert them onto one of the units as the opportunity arises. Wright will definitely increase the competition for a power play role, which will only make the Kraken better.
Patreon member Katie also asked about the possibility of seeing two defensemen on a power play unit. With the depth the Kraken have at the forward position, I see them using four forwards on most nights. They do have Evans, though, so a game situation could come up where they would deploy him, but typically you will see one defenseman on the power play.
Penalty kill lines
Here’s how the penalty kill units looked at the end of last season.
As with the power play, the penalty kill unit had some departures. Wennberg and Brian Dumoulin were traded, and Pierre-Edouard Bellemare was not re-signed. Stephenson is used to playing in all situations and will replace Wennberg. The Montour signing and expectations that Evans will make the team led to Dumoulin getting traded. McCann filled the the vacancy created by Wennberg’s departure after the deadline and could stay on the penalty killing unit. That leaves two vacancies to fill in the PK units.
With penalty killing, teams want to make sure someone is on the ice that can win a face-off. Of the forwards, only Brandon Tanev lacks in that department. We think Yanni Gourde and Tanev will be on the top penalty killing line, as they will often be more rested due to limited playing time in other situations. Their high energy approach was effective last year and should disrupt opposing power play units. Adam Larsson and Jamie Oleksiak formed the top penalty kill defense pairing last year, and that will remain going into 2024-25.
The second unit will feature the two Kraken forwards that will play in all situations, Stephenson and McCann. Will Borgen has experience on the penalty kill and will take Evans under his wing. Do not expect there to be a true first and second line in terms of ice time, as they will most likely be deployed equally.
Even strength lines
Forward lines
There will be a few changes this year that might raise some eyebrows, but change is part of hockey, and it’s part of the Kraken striving to get better. Forward lines will change a lot during the course of the season, but here’s a combination we could see Bylsma trying at some point.
Beniers on the second line? The truth is Beniers scored only 37 points last year, which is not great for a first-line center. At the moment, Stephenson is the best center on the roster, and until Beniers or Wright develops past him, he will be on the first line.
With Wright making the team this year, he needs to play some sheltered minutes and be put in a position to score with wingers that can help contribute. A third-line role is perfect for this, and Jaden Schwartz and Eeli Tolvanen have good shots and solid forechecking skills that can contribute to Wright succeeding. Tye Kartye, Brandon Tanev, and Yanni Gourde are players people love to watch because of their hustle and grinding style of play. They will do well as a change-of-pace line that can put the other team on its heels.
Defensive pairings
The defense pairs are easier to work out as there are fewer lines and players. Larsson and Dunn have played well together during the first three years of Kraken hockey, and there is little reason to break them up. We foresee Montour sliding into a second pairing with Oleksiak. Will Borgen, who led the Kraken defense in hits last year will play a stay-at-home defensive role and allow Evans to continue to develop his puck moving skills.
Wrap up
Line combinations will be fluid as chemistries are found and the new Kraken coaching staff experiments with what works and what doesn’t. Without a doubt, the forward lines are all improved for the upcoming season. The question is if the Kraken as a whole have improved enough to sneak into a playoff spot.
If you have any thoughts on the Kraken lines, please share them below in the comments. You can follow me on the X at @blaizg.
As the smoke clears from an active opening to free agency, we at Sound Of Hockey, wanted to highlight some of the movements around the NHL. There were 190 signings on the first day of free agency and 252 signings and counting so far with more than $1 billion committed across the league. We will focus on the impacts to the Pacific Division teams, what the new additions to the Seattle Kraken mean for their chances, and touch on a few other teams that made significant moves around the NHL.
Seattle Kraken
General manager Ron Francis was not his usual conservative self and made a big splash, signing two big free-agent targets:
Brandon Montour (RD) – Seven years at $7.14M AAV ($50M total)
Chandler Stephenson (C) – Seven years at $6.25M AAV ($43.75M total)
"#SeaKraken reportedly signing defenseman Brandon Montour to a monster seven-year contract"@DarrenFunBrown gives quick analysis on the surprising seven-year signing and considers how Montour could fit with the Kraken.
"#SeaKraken make another splash, signing Chandler Stephenson for seven years" @DarrenFunBrown gives his reaction to the signing and an update on where Seattle sits after grabbing Stephenson and Brandon Montour.
The initial feedback has not been all positive. Both players are 30 years old and signed seven-year deals. If either player actually plays out the entirety of his contract, he will be in a small minority of players in the league at that point. Only 15 NHL players were 37 at the start of the 2023-24 season. The cost of each contract has been described as an overpay, but that is the cost of doing business in free agency, especially if you want to attract talented players.
There are some positives from these signings. Let’s start with a simple question, are the Seattle Kraken better with Montour and Stephenson? On paper, this is a resounding yes, they have strengthened the defense and improved at the center position. Montour will most likely play on the second defensive pairing, but is capable of a first-pairing role and led all Florida Panthers in ice time last season. Stephenson is an improvement over former Kraken center Alex Wennberg and provides a bit more offensive punch. Stephenson will also be able to fill the second-line center role, hopefully reducing some pressure on Shane Wright, who looks to make the Kraken roster full-time this upcoming season.
Contract length
Seven years is the longest contract the Kraken could award to these players. Offering this term was likely a driving factor in Stephenson and Montour choosing to play for Seattle, which does not have the allure of being a true Stanley Cup contender.
I’m not terribly worried about the contract length, though I know this is a big part of the discourse about these signings. The reason I’m not worried about it is because a lot can happen during seven years. Players can be traded, bought out, get injured, or retire. While I don’t hope for the last two, the reality is injuries happen in hockey, and it is possible these contracts get moved to long-term injured reserve after a number of years.
Average annual value (AAV)
The AAV also seems high, but remember, seven years ago the NHL salary cap was at $75 million. It has increased 17.33 percent to $88 million. If the cap continues to grow at this rate, these deals may not seem as rich in a few years. If they produce, $6 million and $7 million contracts could seem cheap a couple years from now.
Players tend to decline in performance as they age, but these are the only two contracts currently on the books from 2027-28 onward.
Acquired through free agency
There are four ways to acquire a player, drafting, signing as a free agent, trading, or claiming off waivers. It’s generally believed that the best way to build a team is to build from the draft, but that takes time. Trading or signing free agents can speed up the timeline, but both have positives and negatives.
The positive for signing a free agent is the prospect pool remains intact, whereas trading often costs draft picks and/or prospects. The Kraken have a promising prospect pool, so to be able to add two solid players to their current roster without giving up any futures is a positive. To me, keeping that pool intact is worth a few extra million in overpay.
Stanley Cup pedigree
Ron Francis has a penchant for signing players that have won the Stanley Cup. Both Montour and Stephenson have hoisted Lord Stanley’s Cup, and Francis believes that experience is valuable when it comes to the grind of the season and the playoffs. Other Stanley Cup winners that have been signed by Ron Francis include Jaden Schwartz, Andre Burakovsky, Philipp Grubauer, Justin Schultz, and Brian Dumoulin (and, of course, head coach Dan Bylsma).
Signings overall
The Seattle Kraken have improved their roster with these signings, and, at least for the next two-three years, fans will get to enjoy this benefit. Hopefully by the time the contracts start to age, we will see a boost in performance from Seattle’s prospects.
Other Signings
The Kraken also made the following signings, mainly to backfill for departures from the Coachella Valley Firebirds, although Ben Meyers and Josh Mahura will certainly be looking to secure spots on the NHL roster. Their one-way contracts give them each an inside track to these spots, but we will see how training camp shakes out.
Signed Ben Meyers (LW, C) – One year, 775K AAV one-way contract
Signed Mitchell Stephens (C) – Two year, 775K AAV, two-way contract
Signed Brandon Biro (LW) – One year, 775K AAV, two-way contract
Signed Nikolas Brouillard (D) – One year, 775K AAV, two-way contract
Signed Maxime Lajoie (LD) – One year, 775K AAV, two-way contract
Signed Josh Mahura (LD) – One year, 775K AAV, one-way contract
Kraken moves overall
The Kraken have improved on both the offensive and defensive sides of puck. But have they done enough to secure a playoff spot? Time will tell, but it is reasonable to expect growth from Matty Beniers, Eeli Tolvanen, and Ryker Evans, and Andre Burakovsky should have a rebound year as well. With the additions of two legit players, the Kraken have a deeper roster than before, and all four lines should produce offense closer to what they did two seasons ago. Seattle also has a new coach in Bylsma who hopefully can bring an uptick in production.
Pacific Division
Anaheim Ducks
Added
Lost
Same/Better/Worse
Brian Dumoulin
Jakob Silfverberg
Same – Anaheim was bad last year and will continue to build this year.
Calgary Flames
Added
Lost
Same/Better/Worse
Anthony Mantha Ryan Lomberg
Jacob Markstrom Andrew Mangiapane
Worse – They still have some work to do to get a starting goaltender to replace Markstrom.
I would love to see Dustin Wolf get a crack at the starting job, but that seems farfetched. The Flames will need to find a starting goalie. Some Seattle Kraken fans will dream of Grubauer getting traded, but Seattle needs him, especially without Chris Driedger stashed in the AHL. Grubauer also has a 10-team no-trade list and a huge contract, so we don’t see him getting traded.
Edmonton Oilers
Added
Lost
Same/Better/Worse
Viktor Arvidsson Jeff Skinner
Warren Foegele
Better – Resigned many of their current team and added, if you can believe it, more offense.
Jeff Skinner is an excellent signing and should easily replace the offensive output of Warren Foegele. This should be the year Skinner finally gets to play in a playoff game.
Los Angeles Kings
Added
Lost
Same/Better/Worse
Warren Foegele Tanner Jeannot Joel Edmundson Darcy Kuemper
Pierre-Luc Dubois Cam Talbot Matt Roy Viktor Arvidsson Blake Lizotte
Worse – Dubois never panned out in LA, but Warren Foegele’s offensive ceiling is close to Dubois’ floor. Both had about 40 points this last season. It was Foegele’s best season and Dubois’ worst season.
San Jose Sharks
Added
Lost
Same/Better/Worse
Tyler Toffoli Alex Wennberg Macklin Celebrini (Draft) Barclay Goodrow (waivers)
Devin Cooley
Better – They definitely have an improved forward group, but their defense and goaltenders still need some help. They probably are not the favorite to land another first overall draft pick, but making the playoffs would still be a huge stretch.
Back in January, we at Sound Of Hockey predicted it would take between $4.5-$5.5M to re-sign Wennberg, and that is exactly what San Jose paid, coming in at $5M AAV for two seasons.
Alex Wennberg
Vancouver Canucks
Added
Lost
Same/Better/Worse
Jake DeBrusk
Ian Cole Elias Lindholm Nikita Zadorov Casey DeSmith
Same – Lindholm did not work out, but prior to him coming, Vancouver was good. DeBrusk brings some more offense, and Arturs Silovs proved he is worthy of a backup role in the NHL.
Jake DeBrusk has averaged a 24-goal pace for his NHL career.
Jake DeBrusk, signed 7x$5.5M by VAN, is a top six scoring winger with a well-rounded offensive game and good defensive metrics who plays in all situations. Lots of goal-scoring upside even if it's not the most consistent. #Canuckspic.twitter.com/ZAyIBKjxVe
Chandler Stephenson Jonathan Marchessault Anthony Mantha Logan Thompson
Slightly Worse – The Golden Knights lost a lot of offense, but they did add Hertl last year at the trade deadline. The goalie and defense situation should be similar to what it was before, even after trading Thompson.
Hertl can replace Stephenson’s offensive production. Olofsson is a proven 20-goal scorer and did it on only 14 minutes of ice time with the Sabres. However, he will not match Marchessault’s production, which has now moved on to Nashville. Samsonov might thrive in a 1B role after shedding the pressure of playing in Toronto.
Overall Pacific Division
After a few days of free agency, it is way too early to predict standings for next season, but I’ll give it a try…
The Edmonton Oilers and the Vancouver Canucks look poised to hold onto the top two spots in the Pacific Division. The Los Angeles Kings, Vegas Golden Knights, and Calgary Flames appear ready to slide in the standings and open the door for the Kraken to slip into a playoff spot. The Anaheim Ducks and San Jose Sharks are content in the cellar for another year.
There is a lot of offseason left, and these teams will continue to make moves. But if the season started today, here is my (way too early) prediction for the Pacific Division standings:
Edmonton Oilers
Vancouver Canucks
Seattle Kraken
Vegas Golden Knights
Los Angeles Kings
Calgary Flames
San Jose Sharks
Anaheim Ducks
Around the NHL
A handful of teams set off some fireworks in the early goings of free agency. We will not review every free agency move, but we will highlight some teams that made a big boom or lit a dud. Moves include trades and draft picks that happened around free agency as well. With it being a long 4th of July weekend, we will provide ratings using fireworks.
Boston Bruins
Players added: Elias Lindholm, Nikita Zadorov, and Joonas Korpisalo (trade)
Players that left: Jake DeBrusk and Linus Ullmark (trade)
Firework rating: Firecracker thrown from your hand. Definitely made a bang with their signings, but there is risk in signing Lindholm at $7.75M AAV after his struggles in Vancouver. I like the Kraken’s signing of Stephenson better.
Carolina Hurricanes
Player added: Shayne Gostisbehere
Players that left: Jake Guenztel (traded rights away), Brady Skjei, Teuvo Teravainen
Firework rating: Bottle rocket dud. Carolina was not able to capitalize on Guenztel, who seemed to fit into their system, scoring 34 points in his 28 games after being acquired at the deadline.
Nashville Predators
Players added: Steven Stamkos, Jonathan Marchessault, and Brady Skjei
Players that left: Anthony Beauvillier and Jason Zucker
Firework rating: Mortars with report. Nashville was not happy with its first-round exit and brought in some big names on offense and defense. This improved team might be able to exceed its 18-game point streak from last season.
Breaking: The Predators are adding star forward Steven Stamkos, former Conn Smythe winner Jonathan Marchessault and Carolina Hurricanes defenseman Brady Skjei. pic.twitter.com/a7CRkcLkcJ
Firework rating: Ground Snake. Lou Lamoriello was able to keep this signing quiet, but Duclair is a solid pick-up.
Tampa Bay Lightning
Player added: Jake Guentzel
Players that left: Steven Stamkos, Tanner Jeannot (trade), and Matt Dumba
Firework rating: Ground Fountain. Tampa is out with the old and in with the new. It will be a new era in Tampa Bay with long-time captain Stamkos moving to Nashville. Guentzel was a nice piece of work, though.
Toronto Maple Leafs
Players added: Chris Tanev and Oliver Ekman-Larsson
Players that left: Tyler Bertuzzi, T.J. Brodie, and Ilya Samsonov
Firework rating: Saturn missile. You never know which way the missiles are going to fire. This year, Toronto is adding veteran defense and a new coach in Craig Berube. The team should be playoff bound again, but it will be interesting to see how this roster responds to the offseason changes.
Washington Capitals
Players added: Jakob Chychrun, Logan Thompson, Andrew Mangiapane, Pierre-Luc Dubois, and Matt Roy
Players that left: Nick Jenson and Darcy Kuemper
Firework rating: 500-gram firework cake. The Capitals did most of their moves through trades, but they have brought in a good group of players. These players should be able to improve Washington’s record, but the Caps are currently projected to be ~$13M over the cap. So, some work still needs to be done.
Wrapping up
It has been a busy start to the summer with all the free-agent signings, the trades, the NHL Draft, and Kraken Development Camp all hitting at about the same time. We are only a couple weeks into the official offseason, and I am already looking forward to the start of next season.
Please let me know your thoughts on the players acquired or traded and how you think this impacts the Kraken and/or league. You can follow @blaizg on x.com
It’s no secret that the Seattle Kraken need to score more goals next season. Goal-scoring issues plagued the team from the start of last season, with only three goals in their first four games to start. The Kraken finished the 2023-24 regular season 28th in the league with an average of 2.61 goals per game, down 25 percent from the 2022-23 season. Clearly, targeting goal scorers in the offseason is crucial. One way they can do that is in free agency that opens July 1. To help us all prepare, I put together a list of potential targets for the Kraken in free agency.
Assumptions
Roster spots: Assuming no trades happen before free agency, the Kraken will have four or five forward spots to fill from last season. Shane Wright is likely to take one of these spots, and two more spots will be depth pieces that are not expected to produce a lot of goals but can fill in down the lineup and help in case of injuries. For the purposes of this exercise, we will focus on the two remaining roster spots that will be expected to contribute offensively.
Budget: I estimate the Kraken will have less than $10 million in AAV to sign these two players. This may be a conservative estimate, but without knowing the pending RFA contracts of Matty Beniers and Eeli Tolvanen, we’ll use this constraint. Additionally, targeting a center would allow Jared McCann to move back to wing.
Contract estimates: I will mostly use contract estimates from AFPAnalytics NHL projections for 2024-25, published in May. This ensures reasonable contract projections. While I typically reference Evolving Hockey contract projections, sharing their work does not feel right since their work is behind a subscription paywall (I will use one of their contract projections for this exercise).
Target free agents
Viktor Arvidsson – RW – $4.7M AAV Arvidsson, 31, had an injury-plagued season last year, playing just 18 games for the Los Angeles Kings. He’s a proven shooter, and if healthy, can score 20-plus goals. His age and recent injuries might provide a discount for the signing team.
Anthony Duclair – LW/RW – $4.3M AAV Duclair, 29 this summer, is a speedy goal scorer who missed most of the 2022-23 season due to an Achilles injury. He returned in 2023-24 and managed 24 goals across two teams, and despite some defensive flaws, his goal-scoring ability is worth considering.
Jake DeBrusk – LW – $5.8M AAV DeBrusk has been a potential Kraken target since February. Reliable for close to 20 goals a season, his $5.8M AAV might seem high compared to Arvidsson or Duclair, but his health and consistency make him a safer bet.
Chandler Stephenson – C – $5.6M AAV Stephenson could replace Alexander Wennberg but with more goal scoring. A second- or third-line center who can play on special teams, Stephenson has scored 15-plus goals in each of the last four seasons. Although pricey at $5.6M AAV, his experience and two Stanley Cups add value.
Great right pad save by Hill on Burakovsky at one end.
Chandler Stephenson scores on Vegas's first shot of the game at the other end.
Sean Monahan – C – $2.9M AAV Monahan is a cost-effective option that allows for spending elsewhere. As a solid third-line center with some defensive weaknesses, he logged 26 goals last season. Despite a history of injuries, he played 83 games in 2023-24. His face-off skills are notable, though we all know face-offs don’t matter. Evolving-Hockey has Monahan north of $5 million AAV so this might not be as affordable as we thought.
The reality of landing a target
There’s a common misconception that teams can acquire specific players in free agency by simply outbidding others. In reality, most free agents have a shortlist of preferred teams, and agents gauge interest from those teams. This means teams have less than a 15 percent chance of even engaging in discussions with their desired players. Even with a match in interests from both parties, competition remains fierce.
Addressing the Kraken’s goal-scoring issues in free agency requires realistic expectations and working within the constraints of the situation. It is conceivable that most of the goal scoring forwards might not want to play in Seattle given a perceived unlikelihood the Kraken could contend for a Stanley Cup in the next several years.
What are your thoughts? Who do you think the Kraken should target in free agency?
After almost daily NHL postseason hockey action since the start of the Stanley Cup Playoffs, this past week has been a long one. The Florida Panthers are finally set to face-off against the Edmonton Oilers on Saturday.
Here is the series schedule:
Game 1: Saturday, June 8 – Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers – 5 p.m. PT
Game 2: Monday, June 10 – Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers – 5 p.m. PT
Game 3: Thursday, June 13 – Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers – 5 p.m. PT
Game 4: Saturday, June 15 – Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers – 5 p.m. PT
Game 5: Tuesday, June 18 – Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers (if needed) – 5 p.m. PT
Game 6: Friday, June 21 – Florida Panthers at Edmonton Oilers (if needed) – 5 p.m. PT
Game 7: Monday, June 24 – Edmonton Oilers at Florida Panthers (if needed) – 5 p.m. PT
There’s a ton of distance between Sunrise and Edmonton, but every time the teams travel between Florida and Edmonton and vice-versa, there will be two days of rest. This could extend the series to a maximum of 17 days. It will be interesting to see how this extended schedule affects the rhythm of the players.
How they got to the Final
The Florida Panthers’ path to the Stanley Cup Final was through the Tampa Bay Lightning, the Boston Bruins, and most recently through the Presidents’ Trophy-winning New York Rangers. The Panthers have looked like the better team in each series and earned their result. As the higher-seeded team, they will receive home-ice advantage, where they hold a 7-2 record in the playoffs.
The Edmonton Oilers’ road to the Stanley Cup Final started in Los Angeles, then went through Vancouver before a hard-fought series against Dallas. Facing a heavily favored Stars team in the Western Conference Finals, Edmonton looked to be hanging on by a thread at times. But hang on they did, winning three straight to close out the series.
The Florida Panthers swept the season series, but take that with a grain of salt. With only two games, it is really too small of a sample to take anything meaningful away. Here are some interesting notes from those regular-season matchups:
Aleksander Barkov only played one of the two games due to injury. Connor McDavid had two goals in the game Barkov missed (Nov. 20). In the Dec. 16 game with Barkov in the Florida lineup, Connor McDavid was limited to one assist.
Many of the stars for both teams showed up and contributed multiple points in the games between the two teams. However, Matthew Tkachuk was held to a single assist.
In both games, Edmonton started their backup goaltender, former Seattle Thunderbird, Calvin Pickard.
After both games, Edmonton would go on to lose one additional game and then rattle off substantial win streaks. After the Nov. 20 loss, the Oilers won eight straight, and after the Dec. 16 loss, they won 16 straight games.
How they match up
It was mentioned in the previous NHL playoff previews that since Kris Knoblauch’s hiring on Nov. 12, the Edmonton Oilers have been the best team in the NHL. They have amassed 58 wins (regular season plus playoffs). The Florida Panthers are second with 55 wins (regular season plus playoffs).
Florida Panthers (Reg/Playoffs)
Edmonton Oilers (Reg/Playoffs)
Goal Differential
+67 / +16
+56 / +16
Power Play
23.5% / 23.3%
26.3% / 37.3%
Penalty Kill
85.2% / 88.2%
82.2% / 93.9%
Goals For Per Game
3.23 / 3.24
3.56 / 3.50
Goals Against Per Game
2.41 / 2.29
2.88 / 2.61
Shots Per Game
33.7 / 33.2
33.8 / 28.9
Statistically, the teams were pretty even in the regular season. Both can score and prevent goals. Special teams for Edmonton have been elite, scoring 19 power-play goals while killing 93.9 percent of all penalties.
The Edmonton Oilers led the league in shots per game in the regular season with 33.8 but have lost almost five shots per game during the playoffs. Florida, on the other hand, was second in the league and has continued to maintain its shots on goal in the playoffs. In Edmonton’s last game, it only mustered 10 shots against the Stars and played a defense-first style.
When it comes to scoring, both teams are close and averaging over three goals a game in the playoffs. Florida’s top scorer is Tkachuk with 19 points. Edmonton is top heavy and has four players with 20 points or more.
Connor McDavid – 5G, 26A, 31 points
Leon Draisaitl – 10G, 18A, 28 points
Evan Bouchard – 6G, 21A, 27 points
Ryan Nugent-Hopkins – 6G, 14A, 20 points
Zach Hyman comes into the Final with 14 goals and four assists for 18 points and gets and honorable mention as a top producer for the Oilers. He leads the playoffs in goals.
What they need to do to win
At this point in the season, both teams have a legitimate claim to win the Stanley Cup. Here are some keys for each team to be able to lift hockey’s greatest prize.
Florida Panthers
Continue to roll, they have looked liked the better team in every series.
Play disciplined hockey. The Panthers are not afraid to mix it up, but this year’s playoff team is more reserved than last year’s. Tkachuk and Sam Bennett will do their thing, but they are out there to win games, not to stir up chaos.
Get more solid play of Sergei Bobrovsky.
Edmonton Oilers
Special teams need to continue to click.
Stuart Skinner needs to remain the starter for the entire series and instill confidence for his team.
Edmonton’s game is focused on a high-octane offense, so they need to keep shooting the puck and not fall into a defensive game that can allow a talented Panthers roster a way back into games.
McDavid needs to carry on his scoring ways when up against Barkov.
Prediction
Part of this is going with who I want to root for, as either team has a shot to lift the Cup. Connor McDavid is arguably the best hockey player in the world, and having him win a Stanley Cup checks a major box in his career.
I believe the Edmonton Oilers will hoist the Stanley Cup at home in six games over the Florida Panthers.
Sound Of Hockey Patreon NHL Bracket update
The Sound Of Hockey Patreon NHL Bracket Challenge became a little clearer with the elimination of the Dallas Stars and New York Rangers who were picked in a whopping 60.0 percent of the brackets to win the Stanley Cup.
There are two brackets that correctly picked an Oilers versus Panthers Stanley Cup Final. Congratulations to users mipmipmipmip and friend of the pod, dontgoglove. Both users only have one incorrect series pick, but user mipmipmipmip correctly predicted the length of three series and earned nine bonus points to put themselves in first place with 279 points. If Edmonton hoists the Stanley Cup, mipmipmipmip will win the bracket challenge.
However, we will have a tie-break situation on our hands if the Florida Panthers win the Stanley Cup. With possibly the best bracket name, Garth’s life jacket currently has 179 points and has the Panthers winning the Cup. A Panthers win would give Garth’s life jacket 100 points and move them into a 279-point tie with mipmipmipmip.
If you do not get the reference to Garth’s life jacket, I highly recommend checking out Tenny’s talks on YouTube, where Ryker Garth Evans can be seen wearing a life jacket in a kiddie pool.
Sound Of Hockey picks update
John, Darren, Curtis and myself (Blaiz) picked the Dallas Stars to win the Cup and were incorrect. Shame, Shame, Shame. Cameron Riggers picked the Edmonton Oilers to win the Stanley Cup and is looking pretty smart at the moment.
To save some face, Curtis and I did pick the Panthers to make it to the Stanley Cup Final. One out of two is not bad.
Stanley Cup Pick
Cameron Riggers
Edmonton in 7
Darren Brown
Edmonton in 6
John Barr
Panthers in 5
Curtis Isacke
Panthers in 6
Blaiz Grubic
Edmonton in 6
Wrap Up
It is an exciting time when the Stanley Cup will come out, and a new champion will be crowned. There are two obvious front runners for the Conn Smythe Trophy, awarded to the playoff MVP, in Connor McDavid for the Edmonton Oilers and Aleksander Barkov for the Florida Panthers. Whichever of those two players has the better series probably leads his team to a championship. Sit back and enjoy the ride.
For a quick AHL update, the Coachella Valley Firebirds are up 3-1 in the AHL Western Conference Finals and could be headed for a repeat of last season’s Calder Cup Finals against the Hersey Bears. The Hersey Bears are also up 3-1 in the Eastern Conference Finals, so both teams still have work to do but are in good positions.
With four teams remaining, the conference finals are upon us. In the second round, we saw some great hockey with three series going to six games and one going to seven. For full transparency, I did not do well at predicting the outcomes in my series previews for Round 2, picking just one correct winner out of four. Oops! The Edmonton Oilers were the only correct pick, but I had called out that the remaining series had no clear-cut favorites.
Now, we will preview the two conference finals series, give an update on the Sound Of Hockey Patreon Bracket Challenge, and provide some additional Stanley Cup predictions from the Sound Of Hockey crew.
Onto the conference finals! We have the Dallas Stars taking on the Edmonton Oilers in the Western Conference, and the New York Rangers taking on the Florida Panthers in the Eastern Conference.
Dallas Stars vs. Edmonton Oilers
Season series
Nov. 2 – Dallas won 4-3
Feb. 17 – Edmonton won 4-3 in overtime
Apr. 3 – Dallas won 5-0
The Dallas Stars won the season series 2-1 with the most recent victory being a 5-0 shellacking. The Oilers only win against the Stars was in overtime, and three-on-three (where the high-flying Oilers theoretically have an advantage) no longer exists in the playoffs.
Road to the Western Conference finals
The Dallas Stars finished the regular season with 113 points, good for best in the West and one point behind the Presidents’ Trophy winners, the New York Rangers. Dallas has beaten out the last two Stanley Cup champions in the first two rounds, knocking off the Vegas Golden Knights in Round 1 and the Colorado Avalanche in Round 2.
After an abysmal start to the Edmonton Oilers season, a change was made that brought in Kris Knoblauch to take over the head coaching job. Since his hiring on Nov. 12, the Oilers have been the best team in the NHL, matching their captain’s jersey number with 97 points.
The Oilers made quick work of the Los Angeles Kings in Round 1, winning the best-of-7 series in five games. The only game Edmonton lost in that series came in overtime. The second round brought more of a challenge in the Vancouver Canucks, who pushed the series to its seven-game limit. Even so, it felt like it was just a matter of time before the Oilers would prevail, being that they heavily outshot the Canucks 203 to 149 in the series.
How they match up
Edmonton and Dallas are very close in goals scored, goals against, and power play percentage. The biggest gap is in the penalty kill percentage, where Edmonton was 15th overall during the regular season, and Dallas was eighth.
Dallas Stars
Edmonton Oilers
Goals scored
294 (3rd)
292 (4th)
Goals against
232 (8th)
236 (10th)
Power play percentage
24.2% (6th)
26.3% (4th)
Penalty kill percentage
82.0% (8th)
79.5% (15th)
Dallas will focus on improving special teams play
In the postseason, the gap in penalty kill percentage has flipped and widened, with the Oilers’ penalty killing percentage now a league best at 91.4 percent. Dallas has struggled in this department with a 69.2-percent kill rate.
This statistic is slightly misleading, as Dallas has been the least penalized team remaining in the playoffs with only 5:13 of penalty minutes (PIM’s) per game. The next closest team is the Rangers, who have almost double what Dallas has at 10:12 PIM’s per game. Special teams will be important in this series, though, and Dallas will need to regain its regular-season form on the PK to slow down Edmonton’s lethal power play that has hummed along at 37.5 percent in the playoffs.
Edmonton goaltending
Edmonton is averaging 2.75 goals against per game, which is highest for the remaining teams. The Oilers have not been confident in the play of Stuart Skinner and even gave the nod to former Seattle Thunderbird goaltender, Calvin Pickard, for Games 4 and 5 against Vancouver. Skinner has since reclaimed the net, winning Games 6 and 7.
For Edmonton to advance, this needs to be Skinner’s crease going forward. Even though the 2.75 GAA is high, it is actually lower than Edmonton’s regular-season total of 2.88. Edmonton lives and dies by the success of its offense.
Prediction
Even with Edmonton’s high-powered offense, Dallas just eclipsed the Oilers with 294 goals in the regular season, good for third in the NHL (Edmonton was fourth at 292). Dallas has played harder competition in the first two rounds, and with its disciplined play and incredible depth, I believe the Stars will limit Edmonton’s special teams impact.
Prediction: Dallas in 6 games
New York Rangers vs. Florida Panthers
Former Seattle Kraken Alex Wennberg is now a member of the New York Rangers. (Photo/Brian Liesse)
Season series
Dec. 29 – Florida won 4-3
Mar. 4 – Florida won 4-2
Mar. 23 – New York won 4-3 in a shootout
The New York Rangers lost the season series to Florida 1-2-0. There are only three teams the Rangers lost to twice during the regular season, and Florida is one of those teams; the other two are the Washington Capitals and the Columbus Blue Jackets. New York surrendered points in all three games to Florida, who’s lone win came via a shootout, which again will not apply in the playoffs.
How they match up
New York Rangers
Florida Panthers
Regulation wins
43
42
Goal differential
+53 (7th)
+68 (1st)
Goals-against average
2.76 (7th)
2.42 (1st tied)
Road to the conference finals
The Rangers won the Presidents’ Trophy for having the best record in the regular season with 114 points. They were the only team to sweep their first-round matchup against the Washington Capitals and looked poised to sweep the Carolina Hurricanes after going up 3-0 in Round 2, but then lost Games 4 and 5 before winning the series in six games. The Hurricanes almost pushed the series to seven games, entering the third period in Game 6 with a 3-1 lead, but Chris Kreider scored a natural hat trick in under nine minutes to put the Rangers ahead for good.
The Florida Panthers are making a return appearance to the conference finals. After surprising last year as the second wild-card team, they come in this year as the No. 1 seed from the Atlantic Division and have surprised nobody by reaching this stage. Florida had to go through two tough teams in the Tampa Bay Lightning in Round 1 and the Boston Bruins, for the second straight year, in Round 2. The Panthers finished the season third overall in the Eastern Conference with 110 points behind the Carolina Hurricanes (111 points) and their conference finals opponent, the New York Rangers (114 points).
Prediction
Florida proved to be the New York Rangers’ hardest opponent during the regular season, but again, the regular season no longer matters. Both teams have played well in the postseason, getting great goaltending and scoring above 3.5 goals per game.
Florida’s goaltending statistics were second in the league during the regular season, but this is skewed a bit as their backup played most of the “easy” games and turned in a .925 save percentage. Sergei Bobrovsky had a great season with a .915 save percentage and has continued his solid play in the playoffs. Barring an injury, Bobrovsky will play every game. Even so, I will have to give the goaltending edge to Ranger netminder, Igor Shesterkin, who has been lights out with a .931 save percentage in the postseason. The Rangers have to shake the dreaded Presidents’ Trophy curse, and Florida has what it takes to beat them.
Prediction: Florida in 7 games
Sound Of Hockey Patreon Bracket challenge update
Sound Of Hockey Patreon members were able to participate in the NHL Bracket Challenge, and there are some talented (and/or lucky) Sound Of Hockey supporters out there. Amazingly, 16.4 percent of the brackets correctly picked the four conference finals teams.
Here are some other tidbits of how the Sound Of Hockey Patreon members filled out their brackets:
Percentage of conference finals’ teams picked to win the Stanley Cup:
Dallas Stars – 45.5%
New York Rangers – 14.5%
Edmonton Oilers – 7.3%
Florida Panthers – 3.6%
With New York and Dallas being the top two teams in the regular season, it is fitting they ranked 1 and 2 in Patreon members selecting them to win. Dallas was the Sound Of Hockey fan-favorite pick by a long shot.
Percentage of Stanley Cup Final matchups picked:
Dallas Stars vs. New York Rangers – 32.7%
Dallas Stars vs. Florida Panthers – 5.5%
Edmonton Oilers vs Florida Panthers- 5.5%
Edmonton Oilers vs. New York Rangers 3.6%
There are currently two perfect brackets remaining. Congratulations to IcedKraken, who has Dallas over Florida, and GianniKraken, who has Dallas winning over New York.
There are seven brackets left that have a shot at winning the bracket challenge:
If Dallas wins over Florida – IcedKraken
If Dallas wins over New York – GianniKraken
If Edmonton wins over Florida – mipmipmipmip
If Edmonton wins over New York – PhantomX182
If New York wins over Dallas – Rob the Crow Ally
If New York wins over Edmonton – stdbone
If Florida wins over either Dallas or Edmonton – “Garths life jacket”
If you would like to support Sound Of Hockey, you can become a Patreon member here.
Sound Of Hockey staff picks
Name
Western Conf. Pick
Eastern Conf. Pick
Stanley Cup Pick
John Barr
Dallas Stars in 6
New York Rangers in 7
Dallas Stars
Cameron Riggers
Edmonton Oilers in 6
New York Rangers in 7
Edmonton Oilers
Darren Brown
Dallas Stars in 5
New York Rangers in 6
Dallas Stars
Curtis Isacke
Dallas Stars in 6
Florida Panthers in 6
Dallas Stars
Blaiz Grubic
Dallas Stars in 6
Florida Panthers in 7
Dallas Stars
Wrap up
Based on the NHL bracket picks and the Sound Of Hockey crew’s picks, the Dallas Stars are a heavy favorite to win the cup. In reality, all four remaining teams are extremely talented and have what it takes. The conference finals will be two fun series to watch, so sit back and enjoy.
Game 1 between the Rangers and Panthers is Wednesday evening, and Oilers/Stars gets underway Thursday.
May 22 – 5:00 pm Pacific – Panthers at Rangers – Game 1
May 23 – 5:30 pm Pacific – Oilers at Stars – Game 1
Feel free to comment below with your picks for the conference finals and eventual Stanley Cup champion.
The Dallas Stars have punched their ticket to the second round after winning a decisive Game 7 on Sunday night, making them the last of eight teams to advance through the opening series. We reviewed the Eastern Conference here, and in this article we will preview the two upcoming Western Conference series. As with the Eastern Conference preview, we will call out potential unrestricted free agents that have some offensive upside. This can give Kraken fans some players to keep an eye on while watching the rest of the Stanley Cup Playoffs.
Out of all first-round series there was only one “upset,” and that was the Colorado Avalanche over the Winnipeg Jets. The Vegas Golden Knights had Dallas on the ropes but ultimately took a first-round exit, guaranteeing a new Stanley Cup champion will be crowned this year. Meanwhile, there are only two Canadian teams remaining, and since they are playing each other, there will be one in the Western Conference Finals and one hitting the golf course.
Dallas Stars vs Colorado Avalanche
Former Dallas Stars defenseman Jamie Oleksiak. (Photo/Brian Liesse)
Season series between Colorado and Dallas
Nov. 18 – Colorado won 6-3
Jan. 1 – Colorado won 5-4 in overtime
Feb. 27 – Colorado won 5-1
Apr. 7 – Dallas won 7-4
The Colorado Avalanche won the season series 3-1. More impressively, Colorado scored four or more goals in each game.
The Avs stumbled into the playoffs, losing seven of their last 11 games. Their offense woke up in their first-round matchup with the Winnipeg Jets, though, and scored five or more goals in every game. That came against a Winnipeg team whose save percentage and goals-against average were the best in the NHL during the regular season.
The Dallas Stars are coming off a hard-fought seven-game series with the defending Stanley Cup champions. Dallas showed resilience in coming back from a 0-2 start in the series. Wyatt Johnston has had an amazing sophomore season, leading the Stars in goals with 32 during the regular season. His skill has been on full display in the playoffs, and he has scored some big timely goals and led the team with four goals and seven points in Round 1.
Jake Oettinger was also strong in the first round, posting an impressive 1.95 GAA and .925 save percentage while playing all seven games of the series.
Trade Deadline acquisitions
The Trade Deadline was a busy time for the Avalanche, who added Casey Mittelstadt, Brandon Duhaime, Yakov Trenin, and Sean Walker. They also moved on from Ryan Johansen, but had to part ways with Bowen Byram to shore up the second-line center role with Mittelstadt. Mittelstadt had a bit of a slow start but has blossomed in the playoffs with six points in five games.
Trenin and Duhaime have retooled Colorado’s fourth line. Walker is playing a depth role and helping out on the third defensive pairing.
The Dallas Stars added to their defensive corps at the deadline by trading for Chris Tanev. Former Kamloops Blazer, Logan Stankoven, also cracked the Stars lineup and has definitely turned some heads while chipping in 14 points in 24 games.
Key UFA’s to watch during this series
Series outcome
This series has two Stanley Cup favorites going toe-to-toe, and fans should sit back and enjoy the ride. With the recency bias of Colorado handling Winnipeg, we think they have the slight edge going into the series.
Prediction: Colorado wins in seven games (though I will be pulling for Dallas to win)
Vancouver Canucks vs Edmonton Oilers
Former Kraken defenseman Carson Soucy, now with the Vancouver Canucks. (Photo/Brian Liesse)
Season series between Vancouver and Edmonton
Oct. 11 – Vancouver won 8-1
Oct. 14 – Vancouver won 4-3
Nov. 6 – Vancouver won 6-3
Apr. 13 – Vancouver won 3-1
The Vancouver Canucks swept the season series winning all four games. However, three of those games took place during the first month of the season when Edmonton could do nothing right.
Canucks goaltending
The Canucks all-star goaltender, Thatcher Demko, sustained a knee injury in Game 1 of Vancouver’s first-round matchup with the Nashville Predators. He is listed as week-to-week and has yet to participate in practice, but has been seen skating. Coach Rick Tocchet has ruled Demko out for at least Game 1 of the series.
Furthermore, Vancouver’s backup goaltender Casey DeSmith was also injured in Game 3 in the first round series. Arturs Silovs was thrust into action and has thrived with a 1.70 GAA and .938 save percentage in three games. He seems to have taken the de facto starting job for now, even as DeSmith has recovered from injury. Silovs is set to start game one vs Edmonton.
Having uncertainty in your goaltending is not something you want as you set to start a playoff series against the top two NHL point leaders over the past nine year. Connor McDavid has scored 982 points and Leon Draisaitl has scored 841. Nobody else in the NHL has scored even 800 points in the last nine years
Edmonton on a roll
The Edmonton Oilers’ standings points from the regular season are a bit misleading. On Nov. 6, after the Oilers lost to Vancouver, they had five total points and were in 31st place. They fired Jay Woodcroft, hired Kris Knoblauch, and since then, they have have been on a tear, earning 99 points to finish the season, best in the NHL over that span. The Oilers continued on that pace into the first round of the playoffs, disposing of the Los Angeles Kings in five games.
Trade Deadline
To prepare for the playoffs, Vancouver swung for the fences and traded for center Elias Lindholm. However, he has not panned out as well as the Canucks front office imagined. His 0.46 points per game (12 in 26 games) is well below his career average of 0.68 points per game.
The Edmonton Oilers acquired Adam Henrique to help round out their top six. Henrique has landed a dream role of playing with Connor McDavid, but his point totals have declined from his time with the Anaheim Ducks.
Series outcome
Although neither team hit home runs with their deadline acquisitions, they are still excellent teams that had success in the regular season. Edmonton has the edge in goals scored per game, power play percentage, and penalty kill percentage.
It should not be overlooked that Vancouver was 4-0 versus Edmonton. The Canucks have the ability to win on any night. Ultimately, though, the carousel in goal is what will cause the Canucks to lose this series.
Key UFA’s to watch during this series
Prediction: Edmonton Oilers win in six games
Second round wrap-up
As with the Eastern Conference, a case could be made for all four teams remaining to be able to hoist the Stanley Cup. It has been speculated all year that a team will have to run the gauntlet to make it out of the East, but the West is no easier. The team that emerges will have gone through battle.
There is not a clear-cut favorite in any of the remaining series, and as a hockey fan, I am here for it. Crack a college soda (or your favorite beverage) and enjoy the playoff hockey as much as you can. If you need more beyond the NHL, the Coachella Valley Firebirds best-of-five series is tied 1-1.
