The Seattle Kraken have had a busy few days, drafting eight new prospects over the weekend and then signing two players, Brandon Montour and Chandler Stephenson, to huge contracts on Monday.
John, Curtis, and Darren got together to give their reactions to these many moves.
While this isn’t the standard format for a Sound Of Hockey Podcast, the guys wanted to get this information out while it’s fresh, then return for a full episode later in the week.
After signing defenseman Brandon Montour to the largest contract in franchise history at the opening of free agency on Monday, Seattle Kraken general manager Ron Francis raised eyebrows for a second time by signing center Chandler Stephenson to a seven-year contract that carries a $6.25 million average annual value.
Like Montour, Stephenson is also 30 years old, but while Montour was brought in to help drive offense from the back end, Stephenson will be expected to slot in as a pivot on one of Seattle’s top two forward lines.
After a few low-production, bottom-of-the-lineup years with the Washington Capitals, Stephenson’s career blossomed with the Golden Knights after he was traded there in December, 2019. He ascended to a top-six role and became one of the key pieces that helped Vegas win the Stanley Cup in 2022-23.
How Stephenson fits
In the current makeup of the Kraken roster, Stephenson is a good fit. He’s a solid face-off guy, a two-way forward, and can chip in offensively, having produced at least 16 goals in each of the last three seasons.
Assuming Shane Wright becomes a full-time NHLer next season, and assuming no trades of centers, the Kraken now have Matty Beniers, Stephenson, Wright, and Yanni Gourde down the middle. In a way, Stephenson replaces Alex Wennberg, who went to the New York Rangers at the NHL Trade Deadline in March.
Last week, I predicted the Kraken would aim to add a 20-goal winger and a 20-goal center but did not predict an upgrade to the blue line, which came by way of Montour.
Jared McCann // Matty Beniers // NEW 20-GOAL WINGER Jordan Eberle // **Chandler Stephenson // Andre Burakovsky Eeli Tolvanen // Shane Wright // Oliver Bjorkstrand Tye Kartye // Yanni Gourde // Jaden Schwartz Brandon Tanev
We still think there’s a chance Seattle looks to snag a scoring winger either via trade or with a shorter-term deal for one of the remaining free agents out there.
Worth noting, Stephenson only broke that 20-goal plateau one time in 2021-22 when he notched 21 goals and 43 assists, so whether he really drives a big offensive improvement for Seattle remains to be seen.
Considering Stephenson’s age and the length of his contract, there are concerns that this deal could be a bad one to have on the books in a few years. The analytics community was overwhelmingly down on this signing, which is certainly concerning.
Chandler Stephenson (7×6.25m with Seattle) is coming off a horrific year with Vegas. Even if he bounces back to his career best, which seems unlikely to me, he'll only just be worth the money. pic.twitter.com/NmJjwTQg9w
— Micah Blake McCurdy (@IneffectiveMath) July 1, 2024
Still, as I noted with Montour, teams have to overpay to land some of the biggest names in free agency. Is this an example of an overpay? Yes. Could it end up being worth it? Maybe.
Cap situation
As I noted when writing about Montour earlier, the Kraken are reaching salary cap pinch territory. We still don’t know where new contracts for Eeli Tolvanen or Matty Beniers will land, and even without those factored in, Seattle is already down to about $8 million. Add in Tolvanen and Beniers, and they’re likely over the cap.
So, there are certainly moves coming to create space, and if the team does want to add one more forward, then multiple contracts will likely have to be dumped.
Aggressive moves
The Kraken have made no secret they want to be more competitive next season. These are now two splashy moves, and we do not believe they are done.
What say you, folks? Have the Kraken made themselves better?
Darren Brown
Darren Brown is the Chief Content Officer at soundofhockey.com and the host of the Sound Of Hockey Podcast. He is a member of the PHWA and is also usually SOH’s Twitter intern (but please pretend you don’t know that). Follow him @DarrenFunBrown and @sound_hockey or email darren@soundofhockey.com.
The Seattle Kraken are set to sign Brandon Montour, one of the top defensemen on the free agent market, to a seven-year, $50 million contract, as reported by Pierre Lebrun of The Athletic.
👀
Assuming accurate, Brandon Montour is one of the bigger free agent defensemen on the market. Was a key part of the Panthers' Stanley Cup win.
Puck-moving, right-shot defenseman will quarterback the power play. Fascinating signing at $7+ million per year. #SeaKrakenhttps://t.co/V0oh1lmMWn
Montour, 30, had a career year in 2022-23 with the Florida Panthers, racking up an impressive 73 points (16 goals, 57 assists) in 80 games. He missed the beginning of the 2023-24 season after offseason shoulder surgery, but still posted 33 points (8-25=33) in 66 games and added three goals and eight assists in the postseason, helping the Panthers win the Stanley Cup. Despite the injury and late start, he maintained a significant role, averaging over 23 minutes of ice time.
Originally from Ohsweken, Ontario, and a member of the Mohawk First Nations of the Grand River community, Montour was drafted by the Anaheim Ducks in the second round of the 2014 NHL Draft. After stints with Anaheim and Buffalo, he was traded to the Panthers in April 2021, where he became a key cog and a power play quarterback.
Montour is known for his offensive prowess, compete level, speed, and ability to creatively distribute with the manpower advantage, which addresses several areas of need for Seattle.
How Montour fits
I did surmise a while back on the Sound Of Hockey Podcast that the Kraken might consider looking to improve offensively by adding an offensive defenseman. But after plenty of discussion about it, we decided they would focus on adding scoring forwards, so admittedly, we did not see this signing coming.
This acquisition dramatically changes the look of Seattle’s defense corps. It does bring right-shot/left-shot balance again, but it also creates several new questions. Does Montour box out Ryker Evans from a full-time role next season? Does Brian Dumoulin get pushed out of the lineup? Or, is there another move coming that would make the existing pieces fit?
Here’s how things could theoretically shape up, if there isn’t a subsequent defense move coming.
Vince Dunn // Adam Larsson Jamie Oleksiak // Brandon Montour Brian Dumoulin // Will Borgen Ryker Evans
I only put Montour on the second pairing because I’m not a fan of having two offensive defensemen playing together, hence why I would leave Vince Dunn and Adam Larsson together.
Cap situation
In terms of salary cap management, Montour becomes the second-highest-paid player on the team after Vince Dunn’s $7.35 million AAV. By total dollars, it is the biggest contract on the Kraken and the largest deal ever signed by general manager Ron Francis.
According to Cap Friendly, the Kraken currently have $16.28 million in cap space before factoring in new deals for Matty Beniers and Eeli Tolvanen, who both received qualifying offers on Sunday. If those two take up, say, $10-$11 million (that’s a total guess) of the remaining space, that leaves Seattle with approximately $5-$6 million to strengthen its forward group. That’s not nearly enough to upgrade up front, so we have to think there’s a trade or two coming to create some additional room.
This is a huge deal for the Kraken to dish out, no question, especially considering that Montour will be 37 years old when this contract ends, and it more than doubles his previous $3.5 million cap hit. But, that’s the cost of doing business in unrestricted free agency. If you want to make a splash, you have to overpay.
Stay tuned. This could be an exciting day.
Darren Brown
Darren Brown is the Chief Content Officer at soundofhockey.com and the host of the Sound Of Hockey Podcast. He is a member of the PHWA and is also usually SOH’s Twitter intern (but please pretend you don’t know that). Follow him @DarrenFunBrown and @sound_hockey or email darren@soundofhockey.com.
After drafting Julius Miettenen toward the beginning of the second round, the Kraken returned at the end of the round to draft a third-straight center prospect, Nathan Villeneuve of the OHL Sudbury Wolves. The pick used to select Villeneuve was the selection acquired from the Rangers in the trade that sent Alex Wennberg to New York at the trade deadline in March.
If Villeneuve’s junior team sounds familiar, it’s because Seattle Kraken prospect David Goyette has played his entire junior career for Sudbury. Both Goyette and Villeneuve were drafted as centers and selected in similar spots in the draft—Goyette No. 61 overall in 2022 and Villeneuve No. 63 overall in 2024. Beyond that, their profiles are fairly different. Goyette is a skilled, playmaking forward who recently has been skating more on the wing. Villeneuve is a grit-and-grind, two-way center.
Evaluating Villeneuve, the prospect
Villeneuve’s motor never stops running. He beats junior competition with pace and work ethic. In particular, he delivers tenacious effort on defense, backed up by smarts and skill to shut down opponents.
He also qualifies as a pest, which is a high compliment in hockey parlance. Though he’s not a large player (he’s 5-foot-11), he nonetheless brings a menacing style, playing physically through the echo of the whistle. Add to that an agitating on-ice vocabulary, and fists that have been known to fly, and you have the archetypical “hard to play against” player—the player you only love if he plays for your team. The smile says it all really.
At the Scouting Combine in Buffalo, Nathan Villeneuve and Anthony Romani inquired about photos from the podium and FloHockey had their backs👍 Of course, we made sure to get a few shots just from us after they were drafted to the @SeattleKraken and @Canucks!#NHLDraftpic.twitter.com/4EUzaq0t4v
I watched at least a half-dozen of his games between monitoring Goyette and getting a feel for Sudbury’s 2024 NHL Draft prospects. His physical edge, not to mention a fight or two, always stood out. So too did his pro-ready movements and game. He’s not flashy but it all looks NHL-translatable, at least in a depth role.
Scouts see a true center in the long term, perhaps as a third liner or an outstanding fourth-line player.
But several analysts noted that he is one to watch for a late breakout beyond his current checking profile. Why? First, he has a high-end pedigree, having been drafted No. 3 overall in the 2022 OHL Draft on the strength of a well-rounded skillset.
Second, he was a bit limited by context during the 2023-24 season. He played behind a top-heavy all-star group of forwards for Sudbury this past season. Players like Goyette, Dalibor Dvorsky, and Quentin Musty consumed crucial offensive 5-on-5 minutes and No. 1 power-play opportunities. In this context, he was asked to drive a third line and take key penalty kill minutes, along with a second unit power-play role. Villeneuve excelled in his assignments, but there should be an opportunity for more offense with a top-six role and top-unit power-play time.
Particularly encouraging is this nugget from Elite Prospects: “Third-line minutes didn’t prevent Nathan Villeneuve from scoring at a near-point-per-game pace. Through the regular season, he amassed even-strength primary points per minute at a higher rate than Beckett Sennecke, Jett Luchanko, and multiple first-round NHL draft picks.” Sennecke was drafted No. 3 overall.
Both Corey Pronman of The Athletic and Elite Prospects see near-NHL-average skills across the board. When you combine that with a relentless work ethic and a coming opportunity to be a featured offensive player in the best junior league in the world, there are plenty of reasons to be optimistic that Villeneuve will avoid typical prospect setbacks and continue to ascend.
The Sound Of Hockey Big Board had Villeneuve as the No. 91 overall prospect. Superficially, one might surmise that Seattle would have had a shot at nabbing the forward at either of its third-round picks (pick Nos. 73, 88). However, Bob McKenzie’s scout-informed list had Villeneuve at No. 73 overall, and my data score analysis put Villeneuve at No. 71. These data points suggest Villeneuve may have been a candidate to go off the board shortly after pick No. 63 if Seattle did not draft him.
So, I don’t have issue with where the Kraken took Villeneuve, assuming they didn’t want to lose the player, nor do I have many qualms with the player himself. He’s precisely the type of player I love to watch.
My questions by this point in the draft were more focused on the players Seattle was bypassing—Zeev Buium at No. 8, Andrew Basha at No. 40, and now, at No. 63, a number of players with higher public scouting marks and scoring data profiles, including Henry Mews, for example. Seattle was having a solid draft, but was it leaving value on the table? Surely, Seattle’s draft board said no, and only time will tell.
Villeneuve’s highest rankings tracked on the Big Board came from HockeyProspect(dot)com, which had Villeneuve as the No. 29 overall prospect in the draft, Scouching, which had Villeneuve at No. 52, and McKenzie, who had the Sudbury center at No. 73. NHL Central Scouting had him as the No. 60 North American skater.
Video scouting Villeneuve
Scouting breakdown
Strengths:
“[Villeneuve’s] an all-around forward who plays with good pace and isn’t afraid to mix it up along the boards. Villeneuve loves to spend time causing havoc in front of the net and plays a strong off-puck game compared to many others around this point in the list. His energy and feistiness will give him a shot in the NHL, even if he doesn’t have the pure skill to burn.” – Steven Ellis, Daily Faceoff
“Villeneuve’s a feisty, high-pace attacker with a lockdown defensive game. When he’s not throwing hits and winning battles, he’s eliminating off-puck threats and pickpocketing the puck carrier. When the puck arrives on his stick, he instantly takes the middle or starts a give-and-go to attack the zone with speed.
“The high-pace transition game allows Villeneuve to create scoring chances off the rush, often by cutting in front of the defense or dropping the shoulder to cut to the net. He always makes sure to establish body positioning en route.” – Elite Prospects
Weaknesses:
“Villeneuve is bound to be penalized by NHL scouting staffs for his violation of the OHL’s social media policy that saw him earn a lengthy suspension (15 games) for inappropriate game-related comments, bringing his judgment into question…
“An early pick in his OHL draft year, Villeneuve has yet to truly reach his upside as an OHL player. His creativity and playmaking ability have not translated as well as anticipated, leaving some concerns over his NHL upside. However, he possesses a solid floor, but also some intrigue over his offensive ceiling once he receives more ice time.” – McKeen’s
Final thoughts
For me, Nathan Villeneuve wasn’t the highest-ranked player on the board when he was picked. Add in his involvement in and 15-game suspension relating to allegations that Sudbury players discussed putting a bounty on Barrie defenseman Kashawn Aitcheson after Aitcheson hit Villeneuve in a Jan. 18, 2024, game, and I admit to feeling some doubt about the wisdom of the pick at the time. That said, assuming Seattle is confident there are no lingering off-ice judgment concerns with the young man, I like Villeneuve’s game. I’d expect him to show well at the team’s Development Camp, which starts on-ice work on Tuesday, and follow that up with a step forward for Sudbury during the 2024-25 season.
Curtis Isacke
Curtis is a Sound Of Hockey contributor and member of the Kraken press corps. Curtis is an attorney by day, and he has read the NHL collective bargaining agreement and bylaws so you don’t have to. He can be found analyzing the Kraken, NHL Draft, and other hockey topics on Twitter and Bluesky @deepseahockey.
With their first two picks Friday and Saturday, the Seattle Kraken selected two Western Hockey League centers who won’t need to cross state lines to report to Kraken Development Camp this week. After selecting Berkly Catton of the Spokane Chiefs at No. 8 overall, the Kraken stuck around the Pacific Northwest and selected Julius Miettinen of the Everett Silvertips at No. 40.
This superficial similarity coincidence aside, the players are actually quite different. Catton has been in the WHL with Spokane for three years now and has long been scrutinized as a top prospect, whereas Miettinen just arrived in 2023-24, coming to Everett in the WHL import draft from Finland. Catton is a smaller, skilled transition dynamo capable of winning with complex maneuvers and high-end vision. Miettinen is a tall, physical, north-south player who prefers to grind in the corners and at the net front while playing a support role in transition.
Indeed, if you were to align their component skill grade profiles from Elite Prospects, you would find them almost mirror images of each other. One area of overlap, according to Kraken general manager Ron Francis, is their hockey intelligence; Francis was quick to compliment this aspect of Miettinen’s game after the draft Saturday. The Kraken certainly hope there is a future where the two compliment each other with Catton helping run the top of the lineup and Miettinen anchoring a bottom-six line.
Quick thoughts on the pick
Miettinen brings a player profile the Kraken system is currently lacking—a physically imposing, two-way forward who projects to stick at center long-term. Elite Prospectscompares him to Charlie Coyle or Boone Jenner. Like those players, at first his game may seem overly simple, but with repeated viewings you start to understand how he intelligently puts himself in positions to win more than his share of battles and grind out the production a team needs to win.
It took Miettinen some time to transition to the North American game, after playing junior hockey in Finland through his age 17 season. But his scoring production trended upward as the 2023-24 season continued. McKeen’sattributes this development to improved skating skill: “He still looked like an appealing prospect overall early on, but that was in spite of his skating and pacing, not because of it… But give full marks to the Everett staff, who helped him work on his feet and his conditioning, while also instilling in him the importance of being able to play fast. Somewhere along the way it all clicked, and now Miettinen’s speed and mobility are legitimate assets for him, with explosive acceleration and the balance and edge work to navigate himself through traffic.”
For this reason, there’s certainly reason to believe Miettinen should continue his upward ascent during the 2024-25 season with Everett. This pick is a bet on that continued improvement. There were superior scoring profiles available to the Kraken at pick No. 40—forward Andrew Basha who went one pick later to Calgary is an example. I always hesitate when a team drafts a player who plays like a bottom-six NHL projection in junior because those players rarely actually materialize in the NHL. This is a bet on Miettinen’s traits.
Julius Miettinen player profile
Center | Everett Silvertips | Age: 18 | Height: 6-foot-3 | Weight: 201 lbs | Left shot
Miettinen was drafted in the range anticipated by the Sound Of Hockey Big Board, which had him at No. 41 overall. I had Miettinen as my 61st-ranked prospect in my adjusted NHLe ranking. Craig Button of TSN had Miettinen as his No. 22 overall prospect, as did HockeyProspect(dot)com. Central Scouting had Miettinen as their 16th-ranked North American skater.
How does he look on the ice?
What are scouts saying?
Strengths:
“[Miettinen’s] details shine. Positionally sound and physical, he’s always in the right spot to push attackers wide and then win possession along the wall. Offensively, he skates every route to push back defenders, creates chaos around the net, and perfectly times rolls off the boards to get open in the slot.
“An ability to link all of these details together in a single shift separates Miettinen from forwards in this archetype. He never deviates from his off-puck game, making a consistent presence.
“With the puck, Miettinen mostly plays a quick-possession game. He shoots off the catch when inside the slot and finds the open teammate when not. But there are flashes of more.” – Elite Prospects
“Miettinen is a well-built, strong, 6-foot-3 center who works, wins battles, plays hard and can skate. He’s got some soft skill and power to his game. He protects the puck well and can play along the wall or go to the front of the net and make plays around the crease.” – Scott Wheeler, The Athletic
“With good size and a fairly well-rounded game, Miettinen could potentially go in the first round. He scored 31 goals and had over a point per game in his first WHL season after modest production a year ago in Finland’s U20 league.” – Chris Peters, Flo Hockey
Weaknesses:
“There are times where Miettinen is a little too unnoticeable for a player of his size, but when he’s at his best there’s power in his game that can be hard to come by.” – Chris Peters, Flo Hockey
“The only pressing question that still remains is just how much value, precisely, does he have as a prospect? Even though his toolbox eventually reached the point of overflowing, he barely maintained a point-per-game average on the season, while some of his forward teammates did so handily. And then when the playoffs came and went, he was pretty quiet. Are his inherent vision and creativity good enough for him to become a top-tier offensive threat? And while he seems like someone who could be a very good shutdown center and penalty killer at higher levels, the Silvertips haven’t used him often yet in those sorts of ways, so there’s not really much of a resume that can back up that hunch. All that being said, he’s already shown the ability to make major tweaks to his game, so that’s a great sign that he’s capable of doing it again.” – McKeen’s
Final thoughts
With so much focus on Seattle’s blue line depth coming into the 2024 NHL Draft, the Kraken selected only two borderline top-100 defense prospects in Alexis Bernier (73 overall pick; 122 on theBig Board) and Jakub Fibigr (202 overall pick; 98 on the Big Board). Francis strongly implied that Berkly Catton was the player Seattle was targeting all along at pick No. 8, but did Seattle try to add a higher-profile defenseman later in the draft only to be beaten to punch by other teams? It is possible.
After the draft concluded Saturday, Director of Amateur Scouting Robert Kron indicated that Seattle may have had its eye on a few blue line prospects that were selected shortly before Seattle picked. Looking at how the draft played out, the most notable instance came when a cluster of blue line prospects went off the board from pick Nos. 34 to 39. Is it possible the Kraken had hoped one or more of those players would still be on the board at No. 40? We’ll likely never know for certain, but it’s a reasonable question to ask in light of Kron’s comments. As Miettinen’s career progresses, it will be interesting to compare it against the progress of the blueliners that went shortly before he did.
Curtis Isacke
Curtis is a Sound Of Hockey contributor and member of the Kraken press corps. Curtis is an attorney by day, and he has read the NHL collective bargaining agreement and bylaws so you don’t have to. He can be found analyzing the Kraken, NHL Draft, and other hockey topics on Twitter and Bluesky @deepseahockey.
Welcome to the Sound Of Hockey NHL Draft Live Blog. Assuming no trades, the Kraken will have eight draft picks today. We will continue to add information about their selections here throughout the day. The most recent updates will appear at the top, so scroll down to see earlier news. If you want to catch up on the Kraken’s first-round selection of Berkly Catton, check out Curtis Isacke’s breakdown here or Cameron Rigger’s profile on Catton from back in February.
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12:39 PM
That wraps up the 2024 NHL Draft. The Kraken ended up with eight picks in total. As a reminder, most of the players will be in Seattle this week as part of the Seattle Kraken Development Camp. Keep an eye on SoundOfHockey.com for deeper draft analysis and dev camp coverage.
Additionally, free agency opens Monday morning, and we anticipate some aggressive moves by the Kraken. We will cover it all right here.
12:22 PM
It appears the Seattle Kraken are done of the day. Here is how their picks shook out at the 2024 NHL Draft.
Here’s how Round 7 played out.
12:12 PM
Assuming no more trades, the Seattle Kraken use their last pick on defenseman Jakub Fibigr from the Mississauga Steelheads in the OHL. Fibigr is from Czechia but played his draft year in North America. Let’s let him give you his own scouting report and a bit more info on his background.
12:05 PM
Home stretch for the draft. Here are the results from Round 6.
11:55 AM
Everett Silvertips defenseman Eric Jamieson was selected by the Calgary Flames with their sixth-round pick. Jamieson is the third Silvertip to be selected so far.
11:35 AM
Round 5 is in the books. Lots of WHL players selected in this round.
11:19 AM
With that newly acquired selection, the Kraken have taken Clarke Caswell from the Swift Current Broncos. This was their fourth selection from the WHL this draft. This seems like a good value pick, as Caswell was ranked 79th on the SOH Big Board.
The #SeaKraken have acquired the 141st-overall pick in the 2024 NHL Draft from the Florida Panthers in exchange for Seattle’s 169th and 201st picks in this year’s draft.
— Seattle Kraken PR (@SeattleKrakenPR) June 29, 2024
11:18 AM
The Kraken made a trade to move up in the draft. They traded their sixth-round pick (169) and seventh-round pick (201) for Florida’s fifth-round pick (141).
11:01 AM
With the addition of center Oliver Josephson, the Kraken have now selected 15 centers since they came into the league. This is the second-most centers selected by any team since 2021, behind only the Chicago Blackhawks, who have taken 17. Several of these players will be converted to wing should they make the NHL, but it is an interesting data point in the Kraken’s draft strategy.
10:58 AM
Here are the results from Round 4.
10:24 AM
The Seattle Kraken selected another center, Oliver Josephson, with their fourth-round selection. Josephson is another shutdown-type forward. He plays for Red Deer in the WHL, so there should be plenty of opportunities to see him roll through Washington State when Red Deer plays the US teams.
10:20 AM
Round 3 is a wrap.
10:05 AM
With the 88th overall pick, the Kraken selected goalie Kim Saarinen from the HPK U20 team. Saarinen was predicted by Curtis in his Seattle Kraken mock draft earlier this week. This is the third Finnish goalie the team has selected over the last three drafts.
9:45 AM
With their first selection in the third round, the Seattle Kraken select defenseman Alexis Bernier from Baie-Comeau Drakkar of the QMJHL. This is the first defenseman the Kraken have selected.
Ma révélation québécoise des dernières semaines chez les espoirs 2024: Alexis Bernier, du @DrakkarBAC.
Il vient d'inscrire son 4e de la saison sur cette magnifique séquence.
With their second selection of the second round and 63rd overall, the Seattle Kraken selected centerman Nathan Villeneuve from the Sudbury Wolves of the OHL. As you might recall, one of Seattle’s top prospects, David Goyette, also played with Sudbury this season.
“Villeneuve’s a feisty, high-pace attacker with a lockdown defensive game. When he’s not throwing hits and winning battles, he’s eliminating off-puck threats and pickpocketing the puck carrier. When the puck arrives on his stick, he instantly takes the middle or starts a give-and-go to attack the zone with speed.” – Elite Prospects
9:15 AM
Another trade. We identified Tanner Jeannot as a good trade target for the Seattle Kraken, and at this price, it seemed reasonable, but it was not meant to be.
Utah acquired defenseman Mikhail Sergachev from the Tampa Bay Lightning in exchange for defenseman JJ Moser, center Conor Geekie, a 2025 second-round pick, and their 2024 seventh-round pick (No. 199 overall).
Utah also acquired defenseman John Marino from New Jersey in exchange for their 49th overall pick of the 2024 Draft and a 2025 second-round pick.
8:45 AM
The Seattle Kraken selected Julius Miettinen from the Everett Silvertips. Miettinen, an import from Finland, is known as a strong two-way center. He really shined in the back half of the season with Everett.
We also got a few firsts in the 2024 Draft. The first Swedish player was selected 35th overall, and the first goalie of the draft, Ilya Nabokov, was taken 38th overall.
8:30 AM – Round 2
Let’s begin Day 2! The Kraken will be selecting 40th and 63rd in this round.
8:00 AM
The Kraken will start the day with eight picks remaining in the 2024 NHL draft.
A couple things from Round 1 that I wanted to call out from yesterday before we get going:
For the third time ever, NCAA players went first and second overall in the NHL Draft. The last time this happened was in 2021 when Owen Power and Matty Beniers were selected back-to-back. The only other time was in 2000 when Rick DiPietro and Dany Heatley went first and second, respectively.
The run on defensemen did not occur as early as many analysts predicted. Most people expected a group of blueliners to start hearing their names called around the fifth overall pick.
This is the first time since 2010 that no Swedes were taken in the first round. Last year, six Swedes were selected on Day 1 of the draft, including second overall Leo Carlsson.
The 19 Canadian players selected in the first round Friday tied a mark set in 2020 for the most Canadians selected in the first round.
Here are the full results of the first round:
On a personal note, Marshawn Lynch is probably my favorite athlete of all-time.
The Seattle Kraken selected forward Berkly Catton of the Spokane Chiefs with the No. 8 overall pick during the first round of the 2024 NHL Draft Friday. Catton joins Lukas Dragicevic (Tri-City; 2023 second-round pick) and Kaden Hammell (Everett; 2023 fifth-round pick) as in-state WHL players drafted by Seattle.
“[Catton] has got elite hockey sense, real good speed, [and] high compete level. He’s a very high-end offensive player,” Ron Francis said Friday after the team made the selection. “That was the guy we wanted, so we’re excited.”
Catton led all CHL first-time draft-eligible prospects in points and was fourth overall in the WHL in scoring during the 2023-24 season.
Quick thoughts on the pick
This pick is at once unexpected and not surprising. It’s unexpected because a few high-end blueliners were still on the board at No. 8. The vast majority of industry analysts had Seattle taking a defenseman, even if it meant dropping into what I’d consider the second tier of players at that position, such as Carter Yakemchuk.
On the other hand, Berkly Catton was ranked No. 6 on the final Sound Of Hockey Big Board. And if you only remember one stat about Berkly Catton, try this one: he is one of four first-time draft eligible CHL players since 2000 to post 115-plus points and 50-plus goals. The other three? Sidney Crosby, Patrick Kane, and Connor Bedard.
Furthermore, we should not discount the position value if Catton can stick at center. In my mind, I had been projecting Catton as a play-driving winger in the longer term, but many scouts disagree, and Ron Francis spoke about Catton as a center prospect after the pick.
Elite Prospects, which grades the individual skills of draft-eligible prospects, had Catton as the third-best puckhandler, fourth-best skater, fifth-best passer, and 10th-best shooter in the draft. They also deemed him to have the fourth-best “hockey sense” in the draft, which is a stand-in for on-ice intelligence and gameplay instincts. All told, Elite Prospects gave Catton the sixth-highest average skill grade among skaters in the draft, with only his physicality grading below average.
In my pre-draft piece, I wrote that “Berkly Catton [] is a deadly offensive package, combining skill, skating, and offensive instincts. If he stood 6-foot-2 instead of 5-foot-10.25 with the same skill level, he’d be considered as early as the second overall pick.”
Chris Peters compared Catton toTim Stutzle. Corey Pronman though Catton reminded him of 2022 No. 3 overall pick Logan Cooley. For Elite Prospects, Catton brings shades of Cooley or Troy Terry.
So, Catton is a not a “reach” or “off-the-board” pick at all. Particularly given that Seattle has shown a willingness to take shorter forwards and is still looking for high-end offensive firepower in the organization, the pick makes plenty of sense and good pay significant dividends into the future.
At the time the Kraken drafted, Catton was the second-highest ranked remaining player on the Sound Of Hockey Big Board at No. 6 overall. Only Zeev Buium was ranked higher at No. 5. (Buium ultimately fell to Minnesota at No. 12, so it seems the league did not agree with the Big Board on him.) I had Catton as the No. 10 overall player in the draft based on my data-only approach. Tony Ferrari of The Hockey News, Smaht Scouting, and Scouching all had Catton ranked as the No. 3 prospect in this class, his highest position on any public draft board we tracked.
How does he look on the ice?
What are scouts saying?
Strengths:
“Berkly Catton is one of the most fun players to watch in this draft. Give him time and space, and he’ll make you pay; try to take it away, and he’ll cut through your formation anyway like a hot knife through butter.
“It’s on the rush where he’s most effective. A series of crossovers allows him to build speed as he plans his attack, reading and reacting to what’s in front of him, using a series of weight shifts and handling moves to navigate the neutral zone as he drives play toward the opposition goal. With this ability comes cunning in the form of a sophisticated delay game that allows him to level up and attack with support or connect with trailing linemates as they enter the play.” – Elite Prospects
“Catton may be the best transition forward in the draft class, thanks to his combination of skating and intelligence. He can gash a defensive unit through the middle of the ice with ease. Catton identifies skating lanes and plays to his opponent’s weaknesses. He knows where to put the puck when attacking a defender 1-on-1, forcing them to defend in uncomfortable and compromising positions.
“Catton is arguably the smartest player in the NHL draft class, constantly looking to create small advantages, chain them together and eventually create a big advantage. Catton makes life easy on his teammates, allowing them to play to their strengths while he fills in their gaps. He is a playmaker at heart, but he showed this season he can make goalies pay if they don’t respect his shot, especially when he gets into the home plate area.” – Ferrari
“I value players who elevate others greatly. Players who can move the puck themselves, move the puck to others, find targets, hit them accurately, and finish chances they get from others. Catton checks every one of those boxes in my books. His tracked data is outstanding almost across the board… Brilliant with the puck with his pass lane creation skill and one of the few players I trust to run a line this year as he is, he’ll almost certainly be drafted too late and someone is going to be very happy.” – Scouching
Weaknesses:
“The Spokane center isn’t the biggest player, and he will need to bulk up, but he’s not some 5-foot-8, 150-pound forward who gets intimidated easily. Catton has the potential to stick at center long-term despite his size. He is the exception to the rule because of his mobility and smarts.” – Ferrari
“The only hangup is that he isn’t the most physical centre out there, but he’s so smart with his positioning and such a great support player that surrounding him with players that can fill that gap should give him the space to be [himself at the NHL level].” – Scouching
“Of course, there’s always a catch with any prospect, and this is true of Catton. In his case, it’s one of efficiency. He’s prone to throwing pucks away with hope passes and lacks that extra layer of patience that defines most top playmakers. One can wonder to what extent playing on a team with as little firepower as Spokane helped foster these bad habits, but they’re there all the same.
“There’s also the question of how well he will handle the rigors of the NHL game. His ability to take pucks off the wall and get inside was inconsistent across many of our viewings, and there’s a chance he struggles to generate offense when he’s not attacking in space or off the rush, which says nothing of whether he’ll stick at center or not.” – Elite Prospects
Expert reaction
“I’m a huge fan of Catton’s game. I thought he was one of the most dynamic players in the draft. Given how much Seattle needed a premier defense prospect, it’s a bit surprising that they went and took a forward, but if they were going to take one, Catton is more than reasonable at this slot. He has top-line forward potential and could be a star if he truly hits. Teams were worried by his size, but everything else about his game was a major positive.” – Corey Pronman, The Athletic
What’s next for Berkly Catton?
Catton will very likely return to the WHL next season and figures to compete for a WHL scoring title in a high-ice-time, first-line role for Spokane. After that, he will likely get a longer look with Seattle, but, as a January, 2006 birthdate, he’ll be in the position of returning to the WHL again for the 2025-26 season if he doesn’t make the NHL roster.
I’d still project him to slot on the wing eventually, particularly if Matty Beniers and Shane Wright remain in the fold, but he looks like a solid bet to produce 60-plus points annually as a top-six forward when he reaches his prime in about three years.
Final thoughts
While a team doesn’t go into the draft looking for a player at a “need” position in the first round like an NFL team might do, the organizational picture matters. So I can’t help but wonder whether the team might have more strongly considered taking a swing on a high-upside blueliner like Zeev Buium or Zayne Parekh if Eduard Sale were looking like the dynamic offensive player the team expected him to be when making him the 20th overall pick in 2023. I know Catton projects (for some) as a center, and Sale is a pure winger, but both are offense-first forwards.
On the other hand, the Kraken are a very analytically inclined organization, and macro studies of first-round pick success rates indicate that forwards hit at a better rate than defensemen. This likely factored into the team’s decision-making process too.
Kraken general manager Ron Francis has often said in the past the he looks to his scouts and analytics department to support each other before making a move. This looks like a pick where both sides of the front office were able to find common ground, even if it bucked the common wisdom that Seattle may look to add to their blue line.
The team figures to have opportunities to add a defenseman in the second round. Henry Mews, Spencer Gill, and Leon Muggli are three blueliners who could represent good value for Seattle at that point.
Curtis Isacke
Curtis is a Sound Of Hockey contributor and member of the Kraken press corps. Curtis is an attorney by day, and he has read the NHL collective bargaining agreement and bylaws so you don’t have to. He can be found analyzing the Kraken, NHL Draft, and other hockey topics on Twitter and Bluesky @deepseahockey.
Today is our third annual, seven-round Seattle Kraken mock draft.
Mock draft rules
As I did last year, I will presume that players will come off the board in the order predicted by the Big Board. For example, if a player is slotted at No. 37 on the Big Board, I treat that player as unavailable to the Kraken with their first second-round pick at No. 40. In highlighting potential “alternative” picks, I’ll mention a few players who could be in range if they “fall” to Seattle’s pick. For now, I won’t “predict” any trades, because this is both difficult and unlikely when it comes to a Ron Francis-led operation.
I’d love it if someone wanted to use the Sound Of Hockey Big Board and give me their alternative mock draft using these same rules. Send it in the comments below or on X, formerly known as Twitter, tagging @deepseahockey and @sound_hockey.
My first two picks for the Kraken in that midseason mock, Zeev Buium and Jett Luchanko, have been two of the biggest risers from the midseason Big Board to the final version I will use today. Buium jumped from No. 11 on the midseason Big Board to No. 5 on the final Big Board; Luchanko rose from No. 44 to No. 22. I take some pride in correctly identifying two players that I believed the market was undervaluing at the time, but the final Big Board has seemingly pushed both players out of reach for Seattle with its first two picks. I continue to like both players very much if they happen to linger on the board for Seattle.
OK, without further ado, let’s draft.
The 2024 Seattle Kraken mock draft
Round 1, Pick 8: Zayne Parekh, RD, Saginaw Spirit (OHL) Age: 18 | Height: 6-foot-0.25 | Weight: 178 | Shot: Right Big Board: 8 | Data Score: 3 | Goals: 33 | Assists: 63 | Games Played: 66
Scout’s view: “Parekh was far and away the best offensive defenseman in junior hockey this year, and I think the upside of him being a devastatingly good point producer will allow him to go early.” – Shawn Ellis, Daily Faceoff
One stat to know: Parekh scored the most points by a CHL defenseman in his draft-eligible season since 1989-90.
Notes: My gut tells me Seattle is most likely to end up with left defenseman Sam Dickinson after Zeev Buium (and perhaps Zayne Parekh) come off the board earlier. But the Sound Of Hockey Big Board has both Buium (No. 5) and Dickinson (No. 7) off the board by No. 8. The Big Board could prove precinct; with noted size-ist Bill Armstrong and Utah Hockey Club in need of a blueliner, it’s entirely possible Dickinson goes to Utah at No. 6.
Buium would be the ideal scenario for the Kraken at the eighth pick should he fall that far. His absolute ceiling may be a just shade below Parekh, but, unlike Parekh, I view his absolute floor as a middle-lineup NHL regular. Compared by analyst Chris Peters to Kris Letang, Buium should go before pick No. 8.
For my money, Parekh (No. 8 on the Big Board) has the highest upside of any defenseman in the draft. Compared to Erik Karlsson, he brings game-breaking offensive instincts and passing skill that rises the tide of offensive production around him. He projects as a power play ace who could almost single-handedly transform a team’s unit.
Defensively, the reviews are mixed at this point, but there is little doubt about his effort and commitment. With that endorsement, he should get to a competent level eventually. Even if you always have to protect him from the most difficult defensive matchups–as Karlsson’s teams have to do–Parekh will be playable if his current offense translates.
On the other hand, if his offensive skill and instincts continue to develop as some analysts expect, he could be a No. 1 offensive defenseman and complimentary face of the Kraken franchise with Matty Beniers and Shane Wright for the next decade.
Alternatives: Zeev Buium LD, Sam Dickinson LD
Round 2, Pick 40: John Mustard, F, Waterloo Black Hawks (USHL) Age: 17 | Height: 6-foot-1 | Weight: 186 pounds | Shot: Left Big Board: 50 | Data Score: 41 | Goals: 29 | Assists: 27 | Games Played: 60
Scout’s view: “[Mustard is] a tremendous skater who uses his speed to get out in transition, turn defenders with the puck, get on pucks and win races. A Providence commit, he should fit well with the Friars’ staff and identity as a hardworking forward who gets after it… His athleticism, skating, competitiveness, and well-rounded skill will carry him a long way. If he can continue to develop his feel for the game, he’ll be an NHLer.” – Scott Wheeler, The Athletic
One stat to know: Mustard is one of the youngest top players in the draft, born just 30 days before the cutoff to be draft eligible.
Notes: Ideally, the Kraken catch a player who falls from the borderline first-/second-round tier here like the team did in 2022 when it grabbed Jagger Firkus in this range. Brantford Bulldog winger Marek Vanacker is a player I’d like to see Seattle grab from the bottom of that tier.
For his part, Mustard reminds me a bit of the Carson Rehkopf–a toolsy forward with natural skating and scoring skill who is just starting to put it together and could explode in his draft-plus-one season. Mustard’s calling card is his pace and straight-line speed. Together with an NHL-caliber frame, he’s an easy projection as a scoring middle-six winger if he can continue to meet development milestones.
Worth noting, John Mustard also has an incredible name.
Alternatives: Marek Vanacker F, Henry Mews RD, Luke Misa F, Matvei Gridin F, Leon Muggli LD
Henry Mews is a high-upside offensive right-shot defenseman who reminds a bit of Lukas Dragicevic with better skating fundamentals. He’s the best value projected to be on the board at No. 40 based on my “data score” approach. Luke Misa, brother of the “exceptional” Michael, plays at a high pace and scored at a high level in the OHL, but is a smaller player and faces some questions about whether his game will translate. He reminds me a bit of David Goyette as a draft prospect. Matvei Gridin led the USHL in scoring for the Muskegon Lumberjacks. He’d be a decent data-based wager, similar to several Kraken second round draft picks in the last few drafts. Muggli may not have terrific upside, but he looks like an easy projection to the NHL in a middle-lineup role to me.
Round 2, Pick 63: Spencer Gill, RD, Rimouski Océanic (QMJHL) Age: 17 | Height: 6-foot-3.75 | Weight: 186 pounds | Shot: Right Big Board: 67 | Data Score: 48 | Goals: 12 | Assists: 34 | Games Played: 65
Scout’s view: “Gill sure is one big boy, and while there are still times where he looks like a baby moose on skates, it has been great to watch him make more and more progress with his footwork as he continues to grow into his body. He likes to regularly join the rush, and when he does, he can really push opposing defenders back because he can cover so much ice in just a few strides. He also keeps progressively adding power to both his upper and lower body, which will continue to help support the good instincts that he already has and utilizes at both ends of the ice.” – McKeen’s
One stat to know: Gill was third in scoring among first-time draft-eligible CHL defensemen at least 6-foot-3, behind only consensus top picks Sam Dickinson and Carter Yakemchuk.
Notes: In my opinion, Gill has been a perplexing miss by public scouts. Throughout the development of the 2024 Sound Of Hockey Big Board, Gill was hovering in the 70’s. Viewing him higher than that, I had been locked into this slot in my early iterations of this mock draft. Thankfully for Gill it seems like NHL teams haven’t been sleeping on him quite as much as the public analysts. Bob McKenzie’s list for TSN published on Tuesday–which is built on interviews with NHL scouts–had Gill at No. 53. That feels a bit more reasonable for Gill and means we should put this mock pick in pencil, not ink.
Gill is an almost 6-foot-4 right-shot defenseman with offensive instincts and scoring data to support a mid-second-round pick, and he plays for a junior team in Rimouski reputed for developing NHL defensemen. He’s raw in many areas and will have to work hard to clear the developmental hurdles ahead of him, but the upside is a top-of-the-lineup right-shot defenseman. This profile is often talked about in the first round. Indeed, players like EJ Emery, Dominik Badinka, Charlie Elick, and others are commonly referenced as borderline first rounders despite similarly significant flaws and worse scoring production than Gill. I’m betting on Gill.
Alternatives: Luca Marrelli RD, Jacob Battaglia F, Anthony Romani F
Round 3, Pick 73: Anthony Romani, F, North Bay Battalion (OHL) Age: 18 (re-draft) | Height: 6-foot-0 | Weight: 179 pounds | Shot: Right Big Board: 104 | Data Score: 18 | Goals: 58 | Assists: 53 | Games Played: 68
Scout’s view: “The first thing that stands out about Romani’s game is his hockey IQ. Even last year, that was something that popped, and the results followed with a 68-point increase to 111 this year in his third campaign with North Bay… He has a remarkable shot and his skating continues to get better, but he needs to work on his defensive game still.” – Steven Ellis, Daily Faceoff
One stat to know: Anthony Romani led the OHL in goal-scoring, surpassing Carson Rehkopf despite being six months younger than the Kraken forward.
Notes: The skills aren’t flashy like they are with Rehkopf, but Romani has strong offensive instincts, and you cannot ignore the immense production. He may not have the athleticism to be a long-term NHL lineup stalwart, but if he is able to maximize his traits and traverse a path similar to Tye Kartye, there is enough goal-scoring talent there to succeed.
Alternatives: Jacob Battaglia F, Andrei Krutov F, Jakub Fibigr LD, Clarke Caswell F
Round 3, Pick 88: Kim Saarinen G, HPK (U20 SM-sarja) Age: 17 | Height: 6-foot-4 | 181 pounds Big Board: 105 | Data Score: N/A | GAA.: 2.41 | Save percentage: .917
Scout’s view: “[Saarinen’s] 6-foot-4 frame does offer some clear advantages, especially covering high when he’s down in the reverse-VH position, but he plays a surprisingly active style for someone of his stature. He keeps excellent access to his edges and remains patient when the puck is passed around the zone, capable of making quick adjustments in either direction. He’s tough to beat because of his edgework, even when the opponent is able to pull off quick-developing passing plays.” – Elite Prospects
Notes: The Kraken have drafted a European goalie in each of their first three drafts. General manager Ron Francis, for his part, has drafted a goalie in each of his previous seven drafts as a GM. I can’t claim to be a goalie expert, but I noted that Saarinen is frequently ranked as the second Finnish goalie in this draft behind Eemil Vinni (No. 78) and was atop the depth chart for Finland at international junior tournaments. His junior production was also mildly better than that posted by Vinni. Elite Prospects, which grades component goalie skills, gave him the fourth-highest composite skill grade in this class.
Alternatives: Pavel Moysevich G, Ilya Nabakov G, Veeti Louhivaara G
Round 4, Pick 105: Riley Patterson, F, Barrie Colts (OHL) Age: 18 | Height: 6-foot-0.25 | Weight: 193 | Shot: Right Big Board: 118 | Data Score: 57 | Goals: 29 | Assists: 33 | Games Played: 68
Scout’s view: “[T]he floodgates opened and the points really started to come [for Patterson] in the second half [of the 2023-24 season], climbing to a point per game as one of the Colts’ top offensive players by season’s end. He had some learning to do defensively to start the year in the OHL in terms of picking up marks and keeping his feet moving, but he adjusted quickly and showed a real commitment to improving his play off of the puck and upping his pace when he doesn’t have it (he has really gotten after it and shown a real desire to get to pucks so that he can make plays as the year has progressed).” – Scott Wheeler, The Athletic
Notes: Patterson gets above-average grades on his shot and his skating from Elite Prospects. He plays with free-and-easy mobility at a size that looks NHL-projectible. His skating and production are both a tick behind Mustard, but otherwise he brings a similar profile. His production ascended in his draft year similar to David Goyette’s draft-eligible year.
Alternatives: Mac Swanson F, James Reeder F, Ilya Protas F, Jiri Tichacek LD
Round 6, Pick 169: Austin Burnevik, F, Madison Capitols (USHL) Age: 19 (re-draft) | Height: 6-foot-4 | Weight: 201 pounds | Shot: Left Big Board: 170 | Data Score: 59 | Goals: 40 | Assists: 31 | Games Played: 61
Scout’s view: “A St. Cloud State commit, Burnevik is a well-rounded player. He has a clear understanding of the power game he knows he needs to play to be successful. He controls the wall well, but he’s also very focused on getting pucks to the middle of the ice and to the net. He plays physical. He has good hands. He is a committed and effective two-way player. His future success will be completely tied to his ability to continue to improve his skating. It’s already improved from last year, especially his stride length and top speed. However, there’s still work to go. We love Burnevik’s progression and believe that he could end up being a quality bottom-six NHL player in the future.” – McKeen’s
Notes: A re-draft candidate who didn’t break through with the U.S. National Team Development Program in 2022-23, Brunevik found his game in 2023-24 for Madison, potting 40 goals and demonstrating a combination of skill and size that looks projectable to the NHL to me. Scouts are down on his skating, but it doesn’t look disqualifying to me, particularly in a development system run by Jessica Campbell.
Alternatives: Kenta Isogai F, Gavin Hodnett F
Round 7, Pick 201: Kaden Pitre, F, Flint Firebirds (OHL) Age: 18 | Height: 5-foot-11 | Weight: 168 pounds | Shot: Left Big Board: 231 | Data Score: 91 | Goals: 10 | Assists: 20 | Games Played: 35
Scout’s view: “Right now, Pitre’s impact is most visible along the walls and inside the defensive zone. He’s a proactive, engaged defender who chokes out attacks early through his supporting movement and physicality. He doesn’t just enter battles with speed; he goes out of his way to make early contact and never stops battling. He finishes every check and creates chaos around the net. Pitre also has the beginnings of a dynamic transition game. He beats opponents with weight shifts and fakes, then drives the net or cuts inside if the defense backs off.” – Elite Prospects
Notes: It’s rare to see a player with center potential and pedigree available this late in the draft, but Pitre was a bit underexposed in his draft season because of an injury. He has breakout potential as a tenacious bottom-six center.
Alternatives: Dylan Hryckowian F, Beau Jelsma F, Dalyn Wakely F
Round 7, Pick 202: Tommaso De Luca, F, HC Ambrì-Piotta (NL) Age: 19 (re-draft) | Height: 6-foot-0 | Weight: 187 pounds | Shot: Left Big Board: 324 | Data Score: 39 | Goals: 11 | Assists: 9 | Games Played: 41
Scout’s view: “In transition, De Luca uses weaving rushes that get defenders moving in the wrong direction, deft passes through defenders, and sudden delays to wait for support. He reads opponents’ momentum, fakes, then cuts inside the space they exited. Constant changes of pace confuse defenders, while shot fakes and look offs in open ice extend passing lanes.” – Elite Prospects
Notes: De Luca was productive with the Spokane Chiefs in 2022-23 but went undrafted. He subsequently returned to Europe and produced in the top Swiss professional league, one of the best leagues in the world. The defense is still a question mark, but he has sufficient athleticism and skating skill, and the scoring production has been there. Plus, he’s Italian, and I did a fair amount of my 2024 NHL Draft preparations from that beautiful country. Will that factor into the Kraken’s decision here? Probably not, but you never know.
Alternatives: Hugo Fransson LD, Ben Robertson LD, Jere Lassila F
Last draft thoughts
With a few last draft thoughts still rattling around in my head, let’s test the patience of the editor in chief, who surely is ready to smash his computer due to the length of this article, and dive into a six pack of odds and ends.
1. Reviewing the 2023 Seattle Kraken mock draft
While it’s only a one-year sample size, my “rules” yielded a plausible Kraken draft last year. In fact, all but the last two selections I mocked to the Kraken last year were actually available to Seattle at the specified picks, and most went very shortly after:
2023 Big Board rank: 246 | Actual 2023 NHL Draft pick: 110 (Montreal)
With another year of data, I’ll readily admit that would not have been a perfect draft. But, one year on, when looking at stats only, it rivals Seattle’s actual draft–headlined by Musty, Brzustewicz, and Hameenaho, all of whom are trending toward NHL futures, with Conmy, Bertucci, and McCarthy close behind.
2. The Russia factor
The Kraken have not drafted a player who resides in Russia or Belarus since the conflict involving those countries commenced more than two years ago. There are a few potential explanations.
First, it is possible this is mere coincidence. The Kraken continue to scout and rank those players on their draft board, but it could be that they’ve happened to see value elsewhere the last two years.
Second, it is also possible those players are off their board entirely until these external factors are resolved to the team’s satisfaction.
Third, it may be that Seattle is open to drafting a Russian player, in theory, but the team is downgrading those prospects due to concerns about those players coming to the NHL and because in-person scouting viewings are not as possible as they were three years back. The consequence may be the same as scenario No. 1 above, but the team’s view is different.
The third option strikes me as the most likely, but I don’t have any inside information on it. I admit that I did not view the Russian players as closely as others, given the team’s track record. But I am curious to find out: Will the Seattle Kraken draft a Russian or Belarusian player this year?
3. Beckett Sennecke chatter piques my interest
As I mentioned yesterday, I think there is a top-seven in this class: Celebrini, Buium, Parekh, Dickinson, Levshunov, Demidov, and Lindstrom. And it just so happens the Kraken draft eighth–meaning the team could theoretically miss out on all seven.
This is why it piqued my interest when Chris Peters, on a recent episode of his excellent Talking Hockey Sense podcast, said there was a “deafening rumor” coming from scouts around the NHL that Beckett Sennecke could be in play to be drafted in the six-to-eight range. We never hear anything from Seattle, but it’s implied by this rumor that Seattle could have interest in drafting the player.
Maybe this is true and can be taken at face value, but I almost wonder whether Seattle is at least partially supportive of this chatter in order to drive up Sennecke’s stock so that Sennecke ultimately leaps into the top-seven–which would all but guarantee one of the top defensemen falls to Seattle at No. 8.
4. With three defensemen in focus, thoughts on first round alternatives for Seattle
While I don’t believe in drafting for need, I think this happens to be a scenario where opportunity matches need at the top of the draft for Seattle. Assuming one or more is available, I’ll be very surprised if Seattle doesn’t select one of three defensemen at No. 8: Zeev Buium, Zayne Parekh, or Sam Dickinson. As mentioned above, my board is: Buium, Parekh, Dickinson, in that order (though Parekh and Dickinson are fairly close). Buium is the best overall. Parekh is both a right defenseman and the biggest upside swing. Dickinson is perhaps the most likely to be the actual pick at No. 8 and a clean projection to Seattle based on Francis’ historical demonstrated preferences.
But what about a scenario where all three players are off the board because none of Sennecke, Iginla, Silayev, Catton, or Yakemchuk have jumped into the top seven? Cam Robinson of Elite Prospects floated a spicy scenario where Celebrini is immediately followed by a run of five defensemen. What then?
Konsta Helenius (Big Board: No. 11 | Data Score: No. 7) is a Finnish center with the potential to step into an NHL lineup as soon as next season. He may not have much more than middle-six center potential, but he could be a natural successor to Yanni Gourde with the Kraken and a vital complementary roster piece soon. There is a lot of appeal to this pick even if there isn’t flashy offensive upside.
Tij Iginla (Big Board: No. 9 | Data Score: No. 21) is well known in Seattle after playing two years with the Seattle Thunderbirds of the WHL. He plays an NHL-ready game on the wing, combining scoring touch with heavy forechecking ability and wall skills.
Berkly Catton (Big Board: No. 6 | Data Score: No. 10) is a deadly offensive package, combining skill, skating, and offensive instincts. If he stood 6-foot-2 instead of 5-foot-10.25 with the same skill level, he’d be considered as early as the second overall pick.
Finally, Corey Pronman of The Athletic has linked Seattle to Carter Yakemchuk, a 6-foot-3, right-shot defenseman from the Calgary Hitmen of the WHL at No. 8. Yakemchuk is an interesting player with an abundance of tools who scored 30 goals from the blue line in the WHL this season. I’d be happy to have him in the Kraken system, but there are a few too many question marks in his defensive game and how his offensive style will translate for my taste early in Round 1. If the Kraken were drafting at No. 20 again, it would be a different story.
5. Mocking the top seven 2024 picks
We all know that team dynamics affect draft selections, even if there is broad consensus about the quality of various prospects. This is why mock drafts differ from draft rankings.
I suspect there may be some chaos near the top of the draft this year relative to the Big Board order–and, for his part, Ron Francis seems to agree–so I figured I’d try my hand at a top seven mock draft.
Round 1. Pick 1. San Jose Sharks: Macklin Celebrini, C, Boston Univ. (NCAA) (Big Board rank: 1 | Data score rank: 1)
No need to overthink this one. Second straight consensus star forward at No. 1 overall.
Round 1. Pick 2. Chicago Blackhawks: Artyom Levshunov, RD, Michigan State Univ. (NCAA) (Big Board rank: 3 | Data score rank: 4)
The top defenseman on the Sound Of Hockey Big Board gives Chicago a projected No. 1 blueliner, filling a role others in the organization, including Kevin Korchinski, don’t project to fill.
A little bit off the board, but Anaheim doesn’t bow to convention and Silayev has many advocates, including the scouts at NHL Central Scouting, who ranked him above Ivan Demidov in their final rankings. A defensive defenseman to complement the team’s stable of offensive blue line prospects.
Round 1. Pick 4. Columbus Blue Jackets: Cayden Lindstrom, C, Medicine Hat Tigers (WHL) (Big Board rank: 4 | Data score rank: 19)
Lindstrom is a risk given that a back injury knocked him out for most of his draft-eligible season. He seems to have been medically cleared, but it reduced an already small scouting sample size before a team is forced to invest a high draft pick. At his best, he’s a skilled, high-end skating center who happens to be built like a truck at 6-foot-3.
Round 1. Pick 5. Montreal Canadiens: Ivan Demidov, F, SKA St. Petersburg (MHL) (Big Board rank: 2 | Data score rank: 6)
All of Montreal lets out a sigh of relief when their Canadiens do not pass on an elite Russian talent for the second straight year.
Round 1. Pick 6. Utah Hockey Club: Sam Dickinson, LD, London Knights (OHL) (Big Board rank: 7 | Data score rank: 5)
For whatever reason, this is the pick I feel least confident about. It feels like it could be where Beckett Sennecke lands. As mentioned there has been a lot of smoke about Sennecke jumping into the top eight, and Bill Armstrong seems like the type of general manager who would take the shot on this late-rising, power winger. Even so, the team has a short- and long-term need on the blue line. Ignoring Zeev Buium at this point would be malpractice in my opinion. However, history tells us that if all things are equal, Armstrong prefers to draft size at the top of the draft, which could mean Sam Dickinson. I’ll put Dickinson here, even though part of my brain is screaming Buium.
Parekh is a native of the Ontario area and a unique offensive talent from the blue line. If Ottawa is comfortable that his floor outcome is still an NHL player, they may not be able to pass on his Erik Karlsson-like upside. If they think Parekh is too big a risk, Sennecke seems like he could be the pick.
***
If Buium is the pick at No. 6, there would be some disappointment at Seattle’s draft table with two dynamic offensive defensemen going off the board at picks six and seven. That said, I don’t think it would take too long for the team to settle on Dickinson in that scenario. If it breaks as I’ve laid it out above, though, I’d wager Seattle sprints to the stage to select left defenseman Zeev Buium.
6. My favorite draft sleepers
I’ve gone an inch deep and a mile wide watching hundreds of draft prospects in preparation for this draft. I’ve also crunched a few numbers and compiled dozens of analyst rankings and scouting reports. Based on all of these factors–which admittedly only take me so far–here are a few potential value choices. These are the prospects I believe have a chance to substantially outperform their Sound Of Hockey Big Board ranking. I added an asterisk to my very favorites.
*Liam Greentree | F | OHL | Windsor Spitfires | Big Board: 16 | Data Score: 11
Michael Hage | F | USHL | Chicago Steel | Big Board: 20 | Data Score: 9
Terik Parascak | F | WHL | Prince George Cougars | Big Board: 32 | Data Score: 14
*Marek Vanacker | F | OHL | Brantford Bulldogs | Big Board: 35 | Data Score: 22
Matvei Gridin | F | USHL | Muskegon Lumberjacks | Big Board: 37 | Data Score: 13
Henry Mews | D | OHL | Ottawa 67’s | Big Board: 42 | Data Score: 15
*John Mustard | F | USHL | Waterloo Black Hawks | Big Board: 50 | Data Score: 41
Luke Misa | F | OHL | Mississauga Steelheads | Big Board: 53 | Data Score: 27
Leon Muggli | D | NL | EV Zug | Big Board: 55 | Data Score: 25
*Spencer Gill | D | QMJHL | Rimouski Océanic | Big Board: 67 | Data Score: 48
Luca Marrelli | D | OHL | Oshawa Generals | Big Board: 71 | Data Score: 24
Jacob Battaglia | F | OHL | Kingston Frontenacs | Big Board: 73 | Data Score: 45
Jakub Fibigr | D | OHL | Mississauga Steelheads | Big Board: 98 | Data Score: 37
Timur Kol | D | VHL | Omskie Krylia | Big Board: 102 | Data Score: 40
Anthony Romani | F | OHL | North Bay Battalion | Big Board: 104 | Data Score: 18
Mac Swanson | F | USHL | Fargo Force | Big Board: 107 | Data Score: 23
Ondrej Becher | F | WHL | Prince George Cougars | Big Board: 117 | Data Score: 65
*Riley Patterson | F | OHL | Barrie Colts | Big Board: 118 | Data Score: 57
*Ilya Protas | F | USHL | Des Moines Buccaneers | Big Board: 124 | Data Score: 54
Jiri Tichacek | D | Czechia | Rytíři Kladno | Big Board: 159 | Data Score: 17
*James Reeder | F | USHL | Dubuque Fighting Saints | Big Board: 165 | Data Score: 47
*Austin Burnevik | F | USHL | Madison Capitols | Big Board: 170 | Data Score: 59
*Kenta Isogai | F | WHL | Wenatchee Wild | Big Board: 189 | Data Score: 83
Kaden Pitre | F | OHL | Flint Firebirds | Big Board: 231 | Data Score: 91
*Ben Robertson | D | NCAA | Cornell Univ. | Big Board: 239 | Data Score: 76
Dylan Hryckowian | F | NCAA | Northeastern Univ. | Big Board: 284 | Data Score: 85
*Tommaso De Luca | F | NL | HC Ambrì-Piotta | Big Board: 324 | Data Score: 39
*Beau Jelsma | F | OHL | Barrie Colts | Big Board: 452 | Data Score: 122
*Hugo Fransson | D | SHL | HV71 | Big Board: 474 | Data Score: 77
*Jere Lassila | F | Liiga | JYP | Big Board: 481 | Data Score: 100
Curtis Isacke
Curtis is a Sound Of Hockey contributor and member of the Kraken press corps. Curtis is an attorney by day, and he has read the NHL collective bargaining agreement and bylaws so you don’t have to. He can be found analyzing the Kraken, NHL Draft, and other hockey topics on Twitter and Bluesky @deepseahockey.
It’s no secret that the Seattle Kraken need to score more goals next season. Goal-scoring issues plagued the team from the start of last season, with only three goals in their first four games to start. The Kraken finished the 2023-24 regular season 28th in the league with an average of 2.61 goals per game, down 25 percent from the 2022-23 season. Clearly, targeting goal scorers in the offseason is crucial. One way they can do that is in free agency that opens July 1. To help us all prepare, I put together a list of potential targets for the Kraken in free agency.
Assumptions
Roster spots: Assuming no trades happen before free agency, the Kraken will have four or five forward spots to fill from last season. Shane Wright is likely to take one of these spots, and two more spots will be depth pieces that are not expected to produce a lot of goals but can fill in down the lineup and help in case of injuries. For the purposes of this exercise, we will focus on the two remaining roster spots that will be expected to contribute offensively.
Budget: I estimate the Kraken will have less than $10 million in AAV to sign these two players. This may be a conservative estimate, but without knowing the pending RFA contracts of Matty Beniers and Eeli Tolvanen, we’ll use this constraint. Additionally, targeting a center would allow Jared McCann to move back to wing.
Contract estimates: I will mostly use contract estimates from AFPAnalytics NHL projections for 2024-25, published in May. This ensures reasonable contract projections. While I typically reference Evolving Hockey contract projections, sharing their work does not feel right since their work is behind a subscription paywall (I will use one of their contract projections for this exercise).
Target free agents
Viktor Arvidsson – RW – $4.7M AAV Arvidsson, 31, had an injury-plagued season last year, playing just 18 games for the Los Angeles Kings. He’s a proven shooter, and if healthy, can score 20-plus goals. His age and recent injuries might provide a discount for the signing team.
Anthony Duclair – LW/RW – $4.3M AAV Duclair, 29 this summer, is a speedy goal scorer who missed most of the 2022-23 season due to an Achilles injury. He returned in 2023-24 and managed 24 goals across two teams, and despite some defensive flaws, his goal-scoring ability is worth considering.
Jake DeBrusk – LW – $5.8M AAV DeBrusk has been a potential Kraken target since February. Reliable for close to 20 goals a season, his $5.8M AAV might seem high compared to Arvidsson or Duclair, but his health and consistency make him a safer bet.
Chandler Stephenson – C – $5.6M AAV Stephenson could replace Alexander Wennberg but with more goal scoring. A second- or third-line center who can play on special teams, Stephenson has scored 15-plus goals in each of the last four seasons. Although pricey at $5.6M AAV, his experience and two Stanley Cups add value.
Great right pad save by Hill on Burakovsky at one end.
Chandler Stephenson scores on Vegas's first shot of the game at the other end.
Sean Monahan – C – $2.9M AAV Monahan is a cost-effective option that allows for spending elsewhere. As a solid third-line center with some defensive weaknesses, he logged 26 goals last season. Despite a history of injuries, he played 83 games in 2023-24. His face-off skills are notable, though we all know face-offs don’t matter. Evolving-Hockey has Monahan north of $5 million AAV so this might not be as affordable as we thought.
The reality of landing a target
There’s a common misconception that teams can acquire specific players in free agency by simply outbidding others. In reality, most free agents have a shortlist of preferred teams, and agents gauge interest from those teams. This means teams have less than a 15 percent chance of even engaging in discussions with their desired players. Even with a match in interests from both parties, competition remains fierce.
Addressing the Kraken’s goal-scoring issues in free agency requires realistic expectations and working within the constraints of the situation. It is conceivable that most of the goal scoring forwards might not want to play in Seattle given a perceived unlikelihood the Kraken could contend for a Stanley Cup in the next several years.
What are your thoughts? Who do you think the Kraken should target in free agency?
Everything is happening this week. The Florida Panthers held on by the tips of their claws to claim the Stanley Cup. The Coachella Valley Firebirds got mired in Hershey mud tantalizingly close to an AHL Championship for the second straight postseason.
Off the ice, former Firebirds coach Dan Bylsma must immediately turn his attention to building out his Kraken coaching staff. Meanwhile, the Kraken professional scouts and front office are focused on acquiring some scoring to boost Seattle’s floundering offense as the calendar year turns on July 1.
Today, we adjust our focus squarely onto the Kraken and preview the 2024 NHL Draft from the team perspective, reviewing the front office’s historical approach, where the team stands, what opportunities it has, and where it may go when the 2024 NHL Draft kicks off on Friday at 4:00 p.m. PT. With a hat tip to John Barr for data visualizations and the Seattle Kraken PR Department for additional historical draft information, let’s dive in.
Drafter Ron, a history
This is the fourth NHL Draft in Seattle Kraken history, all led by general manager Ron Francis and the current front office. Overall, this draft will be the eighth helmed by Francis, after he managed four drafts as the GM in Carolina.
Ron Francis
Francis made 33 total draft picks in Carolina from 2014 to 2017, with 14 of those drafted players surpassing 100 NHL games played. 12 of those draft picks logged at least one NHL game played during the 2023-24 season.
The Hurricanes utilized their top draft pick in each of Francis’ first three drafts on rangy (6-foot-1 or taller), two-way blue line prospects: Haydn Fleury (No. 7 overall in 2014), Noah Hanifin (No. 5 overall in 2015), and Jake Bean (No. 13 overall in 2016). After that, Francis’ Hurricanes took two forwards with mid-to-late first-round picks: Julien Gauthier (No. 21 overall in 2016) and Martin Necas (No. 12 overall in 2017). Two of those first-rounders qualify as success stories in Hanifin and Necas, with Bean an additional solid defenseman. Fleury and Gauthier remain in the league as depth options.
2015 was a banner year for Francis as a drafter. As mentioned, the Hurricanes drafted Hanifin at No. 5 overall that year–the highest Francis has selected a defenseman–and followed that up by selecting Sebastian Aho at No. 35 near the top of the second round. Hanifin has played in 678 NHL games, the most of any Francis pick. Aho has scored 557 points, the most of any player drafted by a Francis team. Hanifin and Aho join Seattle’s Matty Beniers as Francis’ three draft picks to have been named to a NHL All-Star Team.
Francis’ Carolina teams found above-average success uncovering NHL players in the second and third rounds. Aho is joined by Warren Foegle (67 overall in 2014), Eetu Luostarinen (42 overall in 2017), and Morgan Geekie (67 overall in 2017) as regular NHL contributors with 200-plus NHL games played, having been drafted in the second or third rounds of Francis’ four Carolina drafts. Francis’ four-for-nine, 44 percent hit rate in generating players logging 200-plus games played in this range dwarfs the league average of approximately 20 percent from this time period.
The early returns from Francis’ Seattle drafts suggest that Francis and his staff may have continued that run of success drafting between the 30’s and 90’s. In my data-only ranking of 2023-24 NHL-affiliated prospects, I had six of Seattle’s second- and third-round picks within the top 125 of prospects in the NHL: Jani Nyman (49 overall in 2022), Carson Rehkopf (50 overall in 2023), David Goyette (61 overall in 2022), Jagger Firkus (35 overall in 2022), Ryan Winterton (67 overall in 2022), and Ryker Evans (35 overall in 2021).
And credit the Seattle Kraken PR Department for this tidbit: Winterton is one of only two third-round draft picks selected in the last three years to play in a regular-season NHL game so far. Indeed, his nine games played is most by a player drafted in the third round over the last three years, ahead of Columbus Blue Jacket Stanislav Svozil who registered two NHL games in 2022-23.
With the arguable exception of Evans, none of Seattle’s second- and third-round picks have yet established themselves as NHL regulars, so the jury is still out. But I’d wager the run of above-average success will continue.
Unlike in Carolina, though, Francis’ Seattle drafts have clearly tilted toward offense early. Each of Seattle’s first-round picks have been forwards: Matty Beniers (2 overall in 2021), Shane Wright (4 overall in 2022), and Eduard Sale (20 overall in 2023). Drawing back further, Seattle has drafted eight forwards against only two defensemen, and one goaltender in the first two rounds in Francis’ three drafts.
(Author’s note: The charts above cover drafted skaters only.)
Finally, while Francis and his staff have been active in making trades at the trade deadline during his Carolina and Seattle tenures–adding 14 draft picks in eight different trades–the same cannot be said for his teams’ draft day approach.
Francis’ teams tend to stick-and-pick, having completed only one trade during his seven drafts–a 2022 deal that saw the Kraken send fourth- and fifth-round picks to the Boston Bruins for a third-round pick the team used to select Ben MacDonald. (The Kraken continue to hold MacDonald’s rights as he plays at Harvard University, but the forward has not signed a contract with the team.)
Furthermore, Francis’ teams have never traded a current year’s draft pick for a player in the run up to a draft. (The Oliver Bjorkstrand trade happened after the 2022 draft, using 2023 draft picks.) Context is important here, though. Francis’ teams in Carolina and Seattle have been in the building phase during his tenures. That is a fact worth knowing given the sense among fans that there is urgency for the Kraken to add to the NHL roster now using draft or prospect assets. This would be a departure for Francis.
The Kraken system, deep with NHL-caliber forward talent, lacks the same depth on the blue line
Public analyst opinions on the Kraken prospect pool vary, ranging from approximately average to elite. My data-only evaluation is fond of Seattle’s prospect pool, placing it among the best in the league.
All agree that the Kraken are remarkably deep in the forward ranks, particularly for an organization that has only existed for three years. Rankings that have the Kraken lower tend to emphasize the lack of depth on the blue line and in goal, as well as the absence of players that project as high-end scorers at the NHL level.
While the latter point is not entirely unfounded, I think it undersells Shane Wright’s 2023-24 season, which was quietly excellent (and continued on a historic pace in the AHL postseason). Even beyond Wright, Jani Nyman, David Goyette, Jagger Firkus, and Carson Rehkopf all turned in high-scoring seasons that ought not be discounted entirely merely due to scouting and projection questions.
I also think public analysts may be sleeping on the potential of goalie Niklas Kokko, whose combined regular season and postseason save percentage (.921) was second in Liiga, behind only 36-year-old goaltender Niko Hovinen. Indeed, his strong postseason play led Pelicans to the Liiga Finals. He may be hurt by the fact that his worst few weeks of the season fell during the World Junior Championships, when the most eyes were on him. I tend to subscribe to the view with goalies that you believe it when you see it at the NHL level, but Kokko is checking every box so far. He’ll likely be part of a goalie tandem in Coachella Valley in 2024-25.
As far as blue line depth goes, I think the critique is fair, though Seattle’s short history is important context. Drafted players typically follow a two-to-five-year timeline to the NHL, and the Kraken are still toddler-aged as a franchise.
It appears likely the team’s highest-drafted blueliner, left defenseman Ryker Evans (35 overall in 2021), will surpass our 200 games played threshold. Beyond Evans, though, questions emerge.
Ryker Evans
Righty Ty Nelson (No. 68 overall in 2022) has produced at the junior level but plateaued slightly and faces developmental questions surrounding his height. Righty Lukas Dragicevic (57 overall in 2023) has one standout junior season under his belt, scoring 75 points in 2022-23, but his offensive production regressed in 2023-24, and his defensive game remains suspect. Left defenseman Tyson Jugnauth (100 overall in 2022) has been on a slower development path, but he provided high-end production after joining the Portland Winterhawks in December, 2023. Finally, right-shot Ville Ottavainen (99 overall in 2021) impressed with his height-speed-skill package in Coachella Valley this past season but will search for a bit more consistency in the coming years.
All told, there are more questions than answers on defense. A couple defensemen–perhaps Evans and Ottavainen–could emerge as bottom-half NHL contributors, but the odds of a top-of-the-lineup player emerging seem slim. Dragicevic may have that potential, but he has a long, long way to go.
Teams are allocated seven draft picks for each entry draft. But for the third straight year, the Kraken will exceed that standard allocation by virtue of accumulating draft picks in trades. Here is a snapshot of Seattle’s draft capital entering Friday night:
The No. 8 overall pick is the third-highest assigned pick in Kraken history. Seattle traded its own fifth-round draft choice (No. 137 overall) to Colorado on Dec. 15, 2023, for Tomas Tatar.
The strength of the 2024 NHL Draft is in a handful of high-end blue line prospects
As detailed in our Sound Of Hockey Big Board post, our data-only analysis sees four standout defense prospects after consensus top-choice Macklin Celebrini: Zeev Buium (No. 2), Zayne Parekh (No. 3), Artyom Levshunov (No. 4), and Sam Dickinson (No. 5). The scouts largely agreed, ranking all four within the top-eight: Buium (No. 4 on the Big Board), Parekh (No. 8), Levshunov (No. 3), and Dickinson (No. 7).
For my money, I see a group of seven players at the top of the draft: the four defensemen mentioned above, and forwards Celebrini, Cayden Lindstrom, and Ivan Demidov. After that I see a second tier that drops off in talent in the teens, and a third tier that tails off around No. 40. From the Kraken perspective, the hope would be to secure a player in the top group and then another in the third tier with the team’s first two picks.
Projecting Seattle’s approach in the 2024 NHL Draft
Based on the confluence of organizational need and players likely to be available, I’d lean toward Seattle selecting its first-ever first-round defenseman on Friday.
In particular, Buium and Dickinson stand out to me as players that meet the high-end, two-way profile Francis sought at the top of the draft in Carolina. Dickinson has even been compared to Noah Hanifin by several analysts, including by friend of the SOH Pod, Chris Peters, and is probably the “best” fit for the “Francis profile,” given his 6-foot-3 frame.
Buium is just a bit shorter than Francis’ previous picks at 6-foot-0, but his frame isn’t so far off from Vince Dunn, whom Francis signed to the largest contract, on annual average value basis, ever awarded by a Francis team.
Levshunov is an intriguing fit who checks all of the boxes like Dickinson, but he’s almost certain to be off the board as early as the second overall pick.
Parekh is a bit less conventional and may not fit the two-way profile Francis has drafted early in the past. But that is not to say Parekh wouldn’t be the pick if he were available at No. 8. He has been compared by some to Erik Karlsson, and I’ll simply tease that we have some content coming on Parekh tomorrow.
In the past I have voiced caution against overdrafting defensemen in the first round. Macro analyses of draft success rates suggest that forwards drafted high tend to hit at a higher rate than their counterparts on defense. It strikes me that most of this differential is likely attributable to overvaluing the defensive defenseman profile. Such prospects often fail because they can never add competent offensive capacity to their game. I’m not as concerned about the four blueliners listed above in this regard because each potentially profiles as a play-driving offensive defenseman.
What else can we predict? We should see the team select a goaltender at some point in the draft. In each of Francis’ drafts, his team has tabbed a goalie somewhere in the second-to-sixth rounds: Visa Vedenpää (168 overall in 2023), Niklas Kokko (58 overall in 2022), Semyon Vyazovoi (163 overall in 2021), Eetu Mäkiniemi (104 overall in 2017), Jack Lafontaine (75 overall in 2016), Callum Booth (93 overall in 2015), and Alex Nedeljkovic (37 overall in 2014). I’d expect that trend to continue since the team has only signed Kokko to a contract to date. (The team also signed undrafted goalie Victor Ostman this spring.)
Could we see a trade? As we recounted above, history suggests that it is unlikely. But a few contextual factors lead me to believe that a trade is still possible.
I don’t view the 2024 NHL Draft as particularly deep through the second and third rounds where the Kraken have four picks. If Seattle sees one of its last highly ranked players slipping towards the end of the first round or in the middle of the second round between its picks, could the Kraken package multiple selections to move up? It’s not inconceivable.
For the same reason, if there is an appealing veteran on offer for a second- or third-round pick that could deliver on the team’s urgent NHL need for scoring, the Kraken would at least need to consider it.
Finally, the team has now built out a solid prospect pipeline, which it could not legitimately say as recently as one year ago. This could alter the team’s calculus on the volume of draft selections it needs to make.
Parting thoughts
We have one more pre-draft post coming on Friday morning. Do you have any last minute draft thoughts, predictions, or questions? Let us know in the comments below or on X @sound_hockey or @deepseahockey.
Curtis Isacke
Curtis is a Sound Of Hockey contributor and member of the Kraken press corps. Curtis is an attorney by day, and he has read the NHL collective bargaining agreement and bylaws so you don’t have to. He can be found analyzing the Kraken, NHL Draft, and other hockey topics on Twitter and Bluesky @deepseahockey.